“I violated the ‘Noah Rule.’ Predicting rain doesn’t count. Building arks does.” — investor Warren Buffett after one of his rare unsuccessful ventures.
In today’s deal, the defense took two diamond tricks, and West shifted to a trump. South drew trumps and cashed the queen and ace of hearts -- and East showed out. South then led a club from dummy to his queen, but West took the king and returned a club. When South finessed with the ten, East’s jack won the setting trick.
“Horrible luck,” South said. “I had a bad feeling about that deal.”
It’s not enough to imagine the possibility of a bad break; you must do something to guard against it. After South draws trumps and takes the queen of hearts, he can lead low to dummy’s ten. If East could win, South would be sure of four heart tricks and 10 tricks in all.
Yes, if North-South had been using “transfer” responses to 2NT, North would have become declarer at four spades. He would likely make an overtrick.
Daily Question: You hold: & 765 h 7 ( A109642 $ J 9 5. Your partner opens 1NT. The next player passes. What do you say?
Answer: To pass might work. If partner could use your diamonds, he would win seven or more tricks. But most players would sign off at a diamond partscore. If a response of two diamonds would be conventional, you must agree on some other way to sign off: maybe a jump to three diamonds, or a response of two clubs followed by three diamonds.