“I vi­o­lated the ‘Noah Rule.’ Pre­dict­ing rain doesn’t count. Build­ing arks does.” — in­vestor War­ren Buf­fett af­ter one of his rare un­suc­cess­ful ven­tures.

The Denver Post - - FEATURES - By Frank Ste­wart

In today’s deal, the de­fense took two di­a­mond tricks, and West shifted to a trump. South drew trumps and cashed the queen and ace of hearts -- and East showed out. South then led a club from dummy to his queen, but West took the king and re­turned a club. When South fi­nessed with the ten, East’s jack won the set­ting trick.

“Hor­ri­ble luck,” South said. “I had a bad feel­ing about that deal.”

It’s not enough to imag­ine the pos­si­bil­ity of a bad break; you must do some­thing to guard against it. Af­ter South draws trumps and takes the queen of hearts, he can lead low to dummy’s ten. If East could win, South would be sure of four heart tricks and 10 tricks in all.

Yes, if North-South had been us­ing “trans­fer” re­sponses to 2NT, North would have be­come de­clarer at four spades. He would likely make an over­trick.

Daily Ques­tion: You hold: & 765 h 7 ( A109642 $ J 9 5. Your part­ner opens 1NT. The next player passes. What do you say?

An­swer: To pass might work. If part­ner could use your di­a­monds, he would win seven or more tricks. But most play­ers would sign off at a di­a­mond partscore. If a re­sponse of two di­a­monds would be con­ven­tional, you must agree on some other way to sign off: maybe a jump to three di­a­monds, or a re­sponse of two clubs fol­lowed by three di­a­monds.

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