A year from today, it all will have been decided
It’s time to say the “E” word again. One year from today — barring any recounts or protested election results — it will all have been decided. Let’s take a look at the political crystal ball and see where we’ll be that first Wednesday in November 2018.
At the federal level, either Maryland’s senior senator, Democrat Ben Cardin, will have secured a third term, or someone new will be representing us in Washington. And in the House, either Rep. Steny Hoyer (DMd., 5th) will have won a 19th full term in Congress (with or without carrying St. Mary’s), or a challenger will have knocked him out of office.
At the state level, either Larry Hogan will have become the first Republican governor re-elected in Maryland since Theodore McKeldin in 1954, or one of the many Democrats who lined up to topple him will have done so.
Sen. Steve Waugh (R-St. Mary’s, Calvert), who four years ago ousted the longtime incumbent Democrat, Roy Dyson, will either have won re-election or been similarly turned out by an asyet-unknown challenger. Waugh has not yet filed, but is fully expected to do so.
Also in Annapolis, all three state delegate seats representing St. Mary’s will have been decided. And at this writing, while all three of the Republican incumbents are expected to defend their seats, neither Del. Matt Morgan (29A), Del. Deb Rey (29B) nor Gerald “Jerry” Clark (29C, which also encompasses southern Calvert) had officially filed. Democrat Brian Crosby of Great Mills has entered the race to compete for Rey’s southern St. Mary’s spot, while Julia Nichols of Leonardtown is vying for Clark’s post.
It’s guaranteed that a year from now there will be at least one new county commissioner. Tom Jarboe (R) has already announced he will not defend his District 1 seat, but Republicans Eric Colvin and Mike Daras have filed, as has Democrat Timothy Ridgell, already assuring a general election contest for that commissioner post.
Commission President Randy Guy (R) has not filed yet, but there’s already competition for his spot, since Democrat Howard Thompson has filed. And Commissioner Mike Hewitt (R) — who has not yet filed to try for a second term — has at least one contender for his District 2 seat in AnnMarie Abell of Leonardtown, a Democrat.
A year from now, Commissioner John O’Connor (R) will either have won a second term, or been replaced by a now-unknown challenger in District 3. And no one had filed as of yesterday for the District 4 seat occupied by Commissioner Todd Morgan (R) — including the incumbent.
Sheriff Tim Cameron (R) will either have secured a rare fourth term leading the county’s law enforcement, or will have been toppled by primary opponent Tom Phelan or Democrat Ted Belleavoine. The incumbent, who had never faced any opposition since winning his first term in 2006, has not yet filed, but is expected to do so.
Richard Fritz (R) will either have won his sixth and, according to him, final term as state’s attorney, or a yet-unknown challenger will prevail. As of now he has no opposition.
Also, the two school board positions in play this time around — now held by Rita Weaver in District 1 and Karin Bailey in District 3 — will have been decided. Neither incumbent has filed for re-election thus far, nor have any challengers.
Obviously, a lot will change between now and the June 26 primary. Many will wait until after the turn of the year to file for office, but the ballots will fill. And as the campaigns wage and the winners emerge, you can count on The Enterprise to report on all of it, every step of the way.