A successful missile defense test: It’s welcome news
You wouldn’t know it from the lack of headlines, but the U.S. Navy and Missile Defense Agency recently made history with something that should help make all Americans safer.
Specifically, they successfully shot down an intercontinental-range ballistic missile using the Navy’s Standard Missile SM-3 Block IIA interceptor launched from a Navy destroyer.
Missile defense is nothing new, of course. The U.S. has had one for years. But until now, we’ve tested its ability to defend the homeland from incoming missile attacks only with the Groundbased Midcourse Defense system.
This system consists of 44 groundbased interceptors deployed in Alaska and California, poised to intercept incoming missiles in their midcourse phase as they fly through space before reentering the atmosphere.
These interceptors are a crucial component of U.S. policy to defend the homeland from rogue threats such as North Korea and Iran, both of which have been working to improve their nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities.
Gen. Terrence O’Shaughnessy, former commander of U.S. Northern Command, certified to the U.S. Senate earlier this year that the Ground-based Midcourse Defense system can defend against the North Korean threat today — but the future is less certain.
Two factors drive this uncertainty. First, the North Korean threat is advancing, as Pyongyang’s display of its new “monster” ICBM in a parade last month demonstrates. It’s only a matter of time before its force will become large enough to overwhelm our fleet of 44 interceptors.
Second, the fate of the Ground-based Midcourse Defense system is uncertain. The Pentagon is pursuing the Next Generation Interceptor program to both increase the capacity of our missile defense system to 64 interceptors and eventually replace our current interceptors, which are old.
The Missile Defense Agency aims to begin fielding the Next Generation Interceptor by 2028, but it would be naive to assume such an acquisition program would be free from risk of delay.
Enter the SM-3 Block IIA interceptor. This year, the Pentagon proposed developing a homeland defense “underlay” — a second layer of interceptors that can take a shot at incoming missiles if our Ground-based Midcourse Defense system’s interceptors miss. The SM-3 Block IIA interceptor can launch from Navy destroyers or from Aegis Ashore missile defense systems, and is originally designed to intercept theaterrange missiles.
The Missile Defense Agency and Navy accomplished a remarkable feat with this intercept, marking the first use of a theater-range, ship-launched interceptor to shoot down a long-range missile. If SM-3 Block IIA interceptors can defend against ICBMs, then the United States could deploy them as a hedge against impending uncertainty in homeland defense.
The Missile Defense Agency can now proceed with a more complex test, potentially against an ICBM target armed with decoys or other countermeasures.
The next administration will then have to decide how to employ the SM-3 interceptor to defend the homeland.
The next administration could also pursue a series of Aegis Ashore deployments across the country to establish a permanent SM-3 Block IIA intercept capability. This longer-term option would require more resources and a concerted effort from the Pentagon to figure out how many Aegis Ashore systems would need to be built, and where.
The Russians and Chinese claim advancing U.S. missile defenses will threaten strategic stability by encouraging the United States to launch a first strike without fear of assured retaliation.
Despite these charges, an underlay of SM-3 interceptors simply cannot defend against Russia’s and China’s advanced arsenals, whose sizes alone can overwhelm U.S. homeland defense.
As preparations take place for the next administration and a new Congress, homeland missile defense must remain a top priority. Pursuing the SM-3 Block IIA interceptor is now a potential path toward a stronger homeland defense.