Os­car fore­cast

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The Os­car nom­i­na­tions will be an­nounced Tues­day. Nat­u­rally, ev­ery film afi­cionado has a the­ory about who and what­may be rec­og­nized with a nod. In that spirit, here are five po­ten­tial sur­prises and/or snubs that could greet us when the nom­i­nees are re­vealed this week.

Po­ten­tial snub: The Coen broth­ers

If pre­vi­ous Os­car win­ners Ethan and Joel Coen are over­looked as best di­rec­tor con­tenders, it won’t be be­cause their vividly ren­dered work on “ True Grit” was un­wor­thy. It will be be­cause the com­pe­ti­tion in that cat­e­gory is ex­cep­tion­ally tough.

Po­ten­tial sur­prise: Hailee Ste­in­feld for best ac­tress

Para­mount is cam­paign­ing for Ste­in­feld in the sup­port­ing ac­tress cat­e­gory, de­spite the fact that she’s clearly the pro­tag­o­nist of “ True Grit.” Academy mem­bers may choose not to con­sider that and in­stead re­ward the plucky 14-year-old with an un­ex­pected lead nod.

Po­ten­tial snub: “127 Hours”

Even in the ex­panded best-pic­ture field of 10, there’s a bat­tle for slots. We fear that the briefly grue­some, ul­ti­mately in­spir­ing story of a trapped hiker (Os­carnom­i­nee-def­i­nite James Franco) who am­pu­tates his fore­arm may be— oh, we had to go there, didn’t we?— cut from the race.

Po­ten­tial sur­prise: John Hawkes

The vet­eran char­ac­ter ac­tor (“Dead­wood”) was nom­i­nated for a Screen Ac­tors GuildAward and an In­de­pen­dent Spir­itAward for his portrayal of an oc­ca­sion­ally men­ac­ing­meth ad­dict in “Win­ter’s Bone.” He could sneak in as a sup­port­ing ac­tor Os­car con­tender, too.

Po­ten­tial snub: An­drewGarfield

If some­one likeHawkes en­ters the sup­port­ing ac­tor race, some­one else­may need to exit to make room. Might it be Garfield, who brings to life the most re­lat­able char­ac­ter in “The So­cialNet­work”? We hope not; even the way he says “Lawyer up, [ex­ple­tive]” is al­most charm­ing.

Pop Cul­ture Pulse: Anne Hath­away The ac­tress is pre­par­ing to co­host the Os­cars, guest star on “Glee” and, as an­nounced this week, play Cat­woman in “The Dark Knight Rises.” Now that’s a pop cul­ture hat trick.

Coen The

(“True broth­ers get Grit”) ina snubbed crowded

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