The bal­lots

Our crit­ics on who should win, will win and should have got­ten a nod.

The Washington Post Sunday - - ARTS & LIFESTYLE - style@wash­post.com

PIC­TURE

“La La Land” “Moon­light” “Manch­ester by the Sea” “Ar­rival” “Fences” “Lion” “Hid­den Fig­ures” “Hack­saw Ridge” “Hell or High Wa­ter”

Will win: Ann Hor­na­day: “La La Land” Michael O’Sul­li­van: “La La Land” Stephanie Merry: “La La Land”

Should win: A.H.: “La La Land” M.O.: “Hell or High Wa­ter” S.M.: “Moon­light”

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: “Lov­ing” M.O.: “20th Cen­tury Women” S.M.: “Jackie”

DI­REC­TOR

Damien Chazelle, “La La Land” Barry Jenk­ins, “Moon­light” De­nis Vil­leneuve, “Ar­rival” Ken­neth Lon­er­gan, “Manch­ester by the Sea” Mel Gib­son, “Hack­saw Ridge”

Will win: A.H.: Barry Jenk­ins M.O.: Damien Chazelle S.M.: Damien Chazelle

Should win: A.H.: Barry Jenk­ins M.O.: De­nis Vil­leneuve S.M.: Barry Jenk­ins

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: David Macken­zie, “Hell or High Wa­ter” M.O.: David Macken­zie, “Hell or High Wa­ter” S.M.: Jeff Ni­chols, “Lov­ing”

AC­TRESS

Natalie Port­man, “Jackie” Emma Stone, “La La Land” Is­abelle Hup­pert, “Elle” Meryl Streep, “Florence Foster Jenk­ins” Ruth Negga, “Lov­ing”

Will win: A.H.: Emma Stone M.O.: Natalie Port­man S.M.: Natalie Port­man

Should win: A.H.: Natalie Port­man M.O.: Natalie Port­man S.M.: Natalie Port­man Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: Amy Adams, “Ar­rival” M.O.: An­nette Ben­ing, “20th Cen­tury Women” S.M.: Greta Ger­wig, “Mag­gie’s Plan”

ACTOR

Ryan Gosling, “La La Land” Casey Af­fleck, “Manch­ester by the Sea” Den­zel Wash­ing­ton, “Fences” An­drew Garfield, “Hack­saw Ridge” Viggo Mortensen, “Cap­tain Fan­tas­tic”

Will win: A.H.: Casey Af­fleck M.O.: Casey Af­fleck S.M.: Casey Af­fleck

Should win: A.H.: Casey Af­fleck M.O.: Casey Af­fleck S.M.: Den­zel Wash­ing­ton

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: Don Chea­dle, “Miles Ahead” M.O.: Jake Gyl­len­haal, “Noc­tur­nal An­i­mals” S.M.: Joel Edger­ton, “Lov­ing”

SUP­PORT­ING AC­TRESS

Vi­ola Davis, “Fences” Michelle Wil­liams, “Manch­ester by the Sea” Oc­tavia Spencer, “Hid­den Fig­ures” Naomie Har­ris, “Moon­light” Ni­cole Kid­man, “Lion”

Will win: A.H.: Vi­ola Davis M.O.: Vi­ola Davis S.M.: Vi­ola Davis

Should win: A.H.: Vi­ola Davis M.O.: Vi­ola Davis S.M.: Vi­ola Davis

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: Janelle Monae, “Moon­light” and/or “Hid­den Fig­ures” M.O.: Elle Fan­ning, “20th Cen­tury Women” S.M.: Molly Shannon, “Other Peo­ple”

SUP­PORT­ING ACTOR

Ma­her­shala Ali, “Moon­light” Jeff Bridges, “Hell or High Wa­ter” Lu­cas Hedges, “Manch­ester by the Sea” Dev Pa­tel, “Lion” Michael Shannon, “Noc­tur­nal An­i­mals”

Will win: A.H.: Ma­her­shala Ali M.O.: Ma­her­shala Ali S.M.: Ma­her­shala Ali

Should win: A.H.: Ma­her­shala Ali M.O.: Ma­her­shala Ali S.M.: Ma­her­shala Ali

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: Ralph Fi­ennes, “Hail, Cae­sar!” and/or “A Big­ger Splash” M.O.: Si­mon Hel­berg, “Florence Foster Jenk­ins” S.M.: Is­sei Ogata, “Si­lence”

ORIG­I­NAL SCREEN­PLAY

“La La Land” “Hell or High Wa­ter” “Manch­ester by the Sea” “The Lob­ster” “20th Cen­tury Women”

Will win: A.H.: “Manch­ester by the Sea” M.O.: “La La Land” S.M.: “Manch­ester by the Sea”

Should win: A.H.: “Hell or High Wa­ter” M.O.: “Hell or High Wa­ter” S.M.: “Manch­ester by the Sea”

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: “Paterson” M.O.: “Paterson” S.M.: “Sing Street”

ADAPTED SCREEN­PLAY

“Moon­light” “Ar­rival” “Lion” “Fences” “Hid­den Fig­ures”

Will win: A.H.: “Moon­light” M.O.: “Moon­light” S.M.: “Moon­light”

Should win: A.H.: “Moon­light” M.O.: “Moon­light” S.M.: “Moon­light”

Should have been nom­i­nated: A.H.: “Love & Friend­ship” M.O.: “Love & Friend­ship” S.M.: “Noc­tur­nal An­i­mals”

OTHER NOM­I­NEES:

FOREIGN FILM

“Toni Erd­mann” “The Sales­man” “Land of Mine” “A Man Called Ove” “Tanna”

AN­I­MATED FEA­TURE

“Zootopia” “Kubo and the Two Strings” “Moana” “The Red Tur­tle” “My Life as a Zuc­chini”

DOC­U­MEN­TARY FEA­TURE

“O.J.: Made in Amer­ica” “13th” “I Am Not Your Ne­gro” “Fire at Sea” “Life, An­i­mated”

ORIG­I­NAL SONG

“How Far I’ll Go,” “Moana” “City of Stars,” “La La Land” “Au­di­tion (The Fools Who Dream),” “La La Land” “Can’t Stop the Feel­ing!” “Trolls” “The Empty Chair,” “Jim: The James Fo­ley Story”

ORIG­I­NAL SCORE

“La La Land” “Moon­light” “Lion” “Jackie” “Pas­sen­gers”

CIN­E­MATOG­RA­PHY

“Moon­light” “La La Land” “Ar­rival” “Si­lence” “Lion”

PRO­DUC­TION DE­SIGN

“La La Land” “Fan­tas­tic Beasts and Where to Find Them” “Ar­rival” “Hail, Cae­sar!” “Pas­sen­gers”

COS­TUME DE­SIGN

“La La Land” “Fan­tas­tic Beasts and Where to Find Them” “Florence Foster Jenk­ins” “Jackie,” “Al­lied”

MAKEUP AND HAIR STYLING

“Star Trek Be­yond” “Sui­cide Squad” “A Man Called Ove”

VIS­UAL EF­FECTS

“The Jun­gle Book” “Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” “Doc­tor Strange” “Deep­wa­ter Hori­zon” “Kubo and the Two Strings”

FILM EDIT­ING

“La La Land” “Moon­light” “Hack­saw Ridge” “Ar­rival” “Hell or High Wa­ter”

SOUND EDIT­ING

“La La Land” “Hack­saw Ridge” “Ar­rival” “Sully” “Deep­wa­ter Hori­zon”

SOUND MIX­ING

“La La Land” “Hack­saw Ridge” “Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” “Ar­rival” “13 Hours: The Se­cret Sol­diers of Beng­hazi”

AN­I­MATED SHORT

“Piper” “Pearl” “Bor­rowed Time” “Pear Cider and Cig­a­rettes” “Blind Vaysha”

DOC­U­MEN­TARY SHORT

“The White Hel­mets” “Ex­tremis” “Watani: My Home­land” “4.1 Miles” “Joe’s Vi­o­lin”

LIVE AC­TION SHORT

“Time­code” “Sing (Min­denki)” “Silent Nights” “En­ne­mis In­terieurs” “La Femme et le TGV”

Stephanie Merry

Michael O’Sul­li­van

Ann Hor­na­day

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