‘Ex­perts’ are more of­ten wrong than right

The Washington Times Daily - - Opinion -

Most of us re­mem­ber hear­ing, be­gin­ning in the late 1990s, that on Jan. 1, 2000, al­most ev­ery com­puter on the planet would go hay­wire be­cause it might not be able to in­ter­pret dates like 01/01/00. Busi­ness, gov­ern­ment, non­profit or­ga­ni­za­tions and even in­di­vid­u­als spent a col­lec­tive for­tune try­ing to fig­ure out what to do about the prob­lem.

As New Year’s Day ap­proached, we all held our breath, and noth­ing hap­pened. The com­put­ers ac­cepted the new date just fine, even with an­ti­quated soft­ware.

More re­cently, the dire fos­sil-fuel short­age we were told we faced was blown away by huge new dis­cov­er­ies of nat­u­ral gas right here in the United States. Again, the “ex­perts” got it wrong.

In re­cent weeks, we were warned of all the dread­ful things that might hap­pen be­cause of a record-size so­lar flare (“So­lar storm shakes Earth mag­netic field,” Web, Fri­day). It would dis­rupt satel­lites, com­mu­ni­ca­tion, avi­a­tion and who knew what else — all start­ing on March 8. But again, noth­ing hap­pened.

The “ex­perts” seem to be a Greek cho­rus, con­stantly warn­ing of this cri­sis or that, and none of their pre­dic­tions seems to de­velop as pre­dicted. So my ques­tion is this: Why, when the sci­en­tists and “ex­perts” who make these pre­dic­tions are so of­ten wrong, should we slav­ishly be­lieve them when they tell us about all the evils of global warm­ing, or any­thing else, for that mat­ter? LYNDA MEY­ERS Ar­ling­ton

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