The short take on the Louisiana primary on Saturday: Pollsters predict that Mitt Romney will lose this one to Rick Santorum, who’s already wooed the Deep South with much down-home success. Numbers from a new Rasmussen Reports survey find Mr. Santorum in the lead with 43 percent of voter support, followed by Mr. Romney at 31 percent, Newt Gingrich at 16 percent and Rep. Ron Paul at 5 percent.
There will be cozy talk, and justifiably so, that Mr. Santorum still commands respect and strong sentiment from voters who admire the man’s tenacity, faith and family values. Mr. Romney is not “inevitable,” they say, fingers crossed. Yeah, well. Then along comes the latest Gallup daily tracking poll revealing Mr. Romney’s highest positive review yet: He’s got 38 percent of Republican support nationwide, with Mr. Santorum garnering 27 percent.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of 2007’s “The Black Swan,” will appear at a $2,500-a-plate fundraiser for Ron Paul May 1 in Bel Air, Calif.