“After all the speculation of Democrats’ expanded playing field this year, a new poll suggests John McCain may be the one making inroads,” reporter Stephen Dinan writes in a blog at www.washington times.com.
“A Quinnipiac University Poll of New Jersey voters puts McCain within three percentage points of Barack Obama, trailing 48-45. A month ago, the same poll showed McCain trailing 51-41,” Mr. Dinan said.
“Now it’s not likely McCain wins New Jersey, just as it’s not likely Obama wins Virginia. And the two states are a good comparison — both are quadrennial teases that never turn into the battle pundits think they should. For example, in 2004 late-season polling showed President Bush competitive with John Kerry in New Jersey, but in the end Kerry won the state 53-46.
“Still, that margin was closer than the nine percentage-point victory Bush won in Virginia — a state that, once again, Democrats and some pundits put in the tossup category.”