New bat­tle­grounds

The Washington Times Weekly - - Politics -

“Af­ter all the spec­u­la­tion of Democrats’ ex­panded play­ing field this year, a new poll sug­gests John McCain may be the one mak­ing in­roads,” re­porter Stephen Dinan writes in a blog at www.wash­ing­ton times.com.

“A Quin­nip­iac Uni­ver­sity Poll of New Jer­sey vot­ers puts McCain within three per­cent­age points of Barack Obama, trail­ing 48-45. A month ago, the same poll showed McCain trail­ing 51-41,” Mr. Dinan said.

“Now it’s not likely McCain wins New Jer­sey, just as it’s not likely Obama wins Vir­ginia. And the two states are a good com­par­i­son — both are qua­dren­nial teases that never turn into the bat­tle pun­dits think they should. For ex­am­ple, in 2004 late-sea­son polling showed Pres­i­dent Bush com­pet­i­tive with John Kerry in New Jer­sey, but in the end Kerry won the state 53-46.

“Still, that mar­gin was closer than the nine per­cent­age-point victory Bush won in Vir­ginia — a state that, once again, Democrats and some pun­dits put in the tossup cat­e­gory.”

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