Volatile Ohio

The Washington Times Weekly - - Politics -

“A strik­ing fea­ture of the Uni­ver­sity of Cincin­nati’s Ohio Poll, which was re­leased [Sept. 12], was that while McCain is winning the sup­port of 90 per­cent of Repub­li­can vot­ers, Obama is only pick­ing up 82 per­cent of the Democrats,” Wal­ter Shapiro writes at www.sa­lon.com.

“Th­ese dif­fer­ing lev­els of party loy­alty — which might (note the con­di­tional tense) be at­trib­uted to Palin for the Repub­li­cans and Obama’s African-Amer­i­can her­itage on the Demo­cratic side — partly ex­plain why McCain leads 48 to 44 per­cent in the sur­vey. (A Quin­nip­iac Uni­ver­sity poll gave Obama a 49-44 edge in Ohio over McCain, which un­der­scores why slav­ishly fol­low­ing the gy­rat­ing sur­veys can be an ex­er­cise in frus­tra­tion.)

“But polls, which tend to put the un­de­cided vote in sin­gle dig­its, may un­der­state the volatil­ity of the race. In the Ohio Poll, 19 per­cent of the state’s vot­ers said that they could change their minds be­fore Elec­tion Day and an­other 4 per­cent were un­de­cided. ‘I think vot­ers know less at this point about Obama than they do about McCain,’ said Eric Rademacher, the co-di­rec­tor of the Ohio Poll. ‘The peo­ple who were say­ing that they could change their minds are those who nor­mally don’t pay at­ten­tion to pol­i­tics un­til af­ter the con­ven­tion.’ ”

Greg Pierce can be reached at 202/636-3285 or gpierce@wash­ing­ton­times.com.

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