De­spite good sci­en­tific rea­son to be skep­ti­cal of of­fi­cial pro­nounce­ments on cli­mate change, the CRU e-mail rev­e­la­tion cer­tainly sheds more light on cli­mate-sci­ence machi­na­tions. But, let’s face it, the train haul­ing cargo boldly la­beled “Hu­mans are Causi

The Washington Times Weekly - - Commentary -

as to their con­fi­dence in the hy­poth­e­sis that hu­mans are sub­stan­tially re­spon­si­ble for chang­ing the global cli­mate.

In ad­di­tion, the of­fi­cial charge to the IPCC mem­bers is “to as­sess on a com­pre­hen­sive, ob­jec­tive, open and trans­par­ent ba­sis the sci­en­tific, tech­ni­cal and so­cio-eco­nomic in­for­ma­tion rel­e­vant to un­der­stand­ing the sci­en­tific ba­sis of risk of essence, mem­bers seem­ingly are ex­pected to sup­port the theme of hu­man-in­duced cli­mate change, not to in­ves­ti­gate the ex­is­tence of such change.

As for mod­el­ing, al­though ter­rific for re­search and un­der­stand­ing the dy­nam­ics of the at­mos­phere, cli­mate mod­els are rather crude, in­ac­cu­rate tools for long-term cli- la­tor. As stated in the past, the global at­mo­spheric tem­per­a­ture is “sub­stan­tially con­trolled by wa­ter in all its forms, as in­vis­i­ble va­por in air, as liq­uid in oceans and clouds, and as solid ice crys­tals, snow cover and glaciers.” But, gov­ern­ment reg­u­la­tion of wa­ter based on the tac­tic that it’s a danger­ous pol­lu­tant is a more dif­fi­cult sell than the CO2-is-bad-for-po­lar-bears ruse. Be­sides, the claim that “CO2 is caus­ing global warm­ing” is it­self a rather shal­low propo­si­tion.

Deep ice core records go­ing back hun­dreds of thou­sands of years show that global tem­per­a­ture in­creases lead global CO2 in­creases — that is, tem­per­a­ture goes up first fol­lowed by a rise in CO2. Surely such ev­i­dence should put the brakes on cli­mate hys­te­ria.

De­spite good sci­en­tific rea­son to be skep­ti­cal of of­fi­cial pro­nounce­ments on cli­mate change, the CRU e-mail rev­e­la­tion cer­tainly sheds more light on cli­mate-sci­ence machi­na­tions. But, let’s face it, the train haul­ing cargo boldly la­beled “Hu­mans are Caus­ing Longterm Cli­mate Change” has lon­gago de­parted the sta­tion — and now it is head­ing full-throt­tle to the next stop in Copen­hagen.

Though it’s too late to flag the train be­fore it pulls into the de­pot, at least the pub­lic is prob­a­bly beginning to re­al­ize the train’s boldly la­beled con­tain­ers may in fact be empty.

An­thony J. Sadar is a cer­ti­fied con­sult­ing me­te­o­rol­o­gist and co-au­thor of “En­vi­ron­men­tal Risk Com­mu­ni­ca­tion: Prin­ci­ples and Prac­tices for In­dus­try” (CRC Press/Lewis Pub­lish­ers, 2000).

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