2 Bil­lion Cli­mate Refugees by 2100?

Trillions - - In This Issue -

A new Cor­nell Univer­sity study in­di­cates that cli­mate change could force 1.4 bil­lion people to be­come refugees by 2060 and 2 bil­lion by 2100.

Those who once lived on coast­lines will face dis­place­ment and re­set­tle­ment bot­tle­necks as they seek hab­it­able places in­land.

With cer­tain seg­ments of the hu­man pop­u­la­tion un­able or un­will­ing to con­trol their breed­ing, on its cur­rent tra­jec­tory, Earth’s pop­u­la­tion is ex­pected to top 9 bil­lion people by 2050 and climb to 11 bil­lion people by 2100.

“We’re go­ing to have more people on less land and sooner that we think,” said lead au­thor Charles Geisler, pro­fes­sor emer­i­tus of de­vel­op­ment so­ci­ol­ogy at Cor­nell. “The fu­ture rise in global mean sea level prob­a­bly won’t be grad­ual. Yet few pol­icy mak­ers are tak­ing stock of the sig­nif­i­cant bar­ri­ers to en­try that coastal cli­mate refugees, like other refugees, will en­counter when they mi­grate to higher ground.”

“The col­lid­ing forces of hu­man fer­til­ity, sub­merg­ing coastal zones, res­i­den­tial re­treat, and im­ped­i­ments to in­land re­set­tle­ment is a huge prob­lem. We of­fer pre­lim­i­nary es­ti­mates of the lands un­likely to sup­port new waves of cli­mate refugees due to the residues of war, ex­hausted nat­u­ral re­sources, de­clin­ing net pri­mary pro­duc­tiv­ity, de­ser­ti­fi­ca­tion, ur­ban sprawl, land con­cen­tra­tion, ‘paving the planet’ with roads and green­house gas stor­age zones off­set­ting per­mafrost melt,” Geisler said.

Droughts, floods and high tem­per­a­tures are al­ready cre­at­ing mil­lions of cli­mate refugees and few are find­ing a wel­com­ing new home.

Cul­tural con­flict be­tween im­mi­grant Mus­lims and their host na­tions will con­tinue to drive anti-refugee sen­ti­ment in many coun­tries that could host cli­mate refugees.

Now is a good time to start build­ing a new sus­tain­able cul­ture and civ­i­liza­tion that is free of the ig­no­rance, ap­a­thy, cor­rup­tion and stu­pid­ity that has brought us to this point.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from USA

© PressReader. All rights reserved.