Hur­ri­cane threat­ens Mex­ico, South­west

Cat­e­gory 3 Bud could bring re­lief for drought but also flash flood­ing

USA TODAY International Edition - - NEWS - Doyle Rice

Hur­ri­cane Bud, now swirling off the west coast of Mex­ico as a Cat­e­gory 3 storm, is fore­cast to bring heavy rain to Mex­ico and pos­si­bly the South­west U.S. over the next few days.

While rain­fall from Bud or its rem­nants would be ben­e­fi­cial to the drought-stricken South­west, it could also cause flash floods if too much falls too quickly, ac­cord­ing to Ac­cuWeather.

The worst drought in the U.S. is in the South­west, with the most se­vere con­di­tions in Ari­zona, New Mex­ico, Utah and Colorado.

As of 2 p.m. EDT, Bud had winds of 120 mph and was mov­ing to the north­west at 7 mph. It was lo­cated about 450 miles south-south­east of the south­ern tip of the Baja penin­sula in Mex­ico, the Na­tional Hur­ri­cane Cen­ter said. A trop­i­cal storm watch re­mained in effect for por­tions of Mex­ico’s west coast from Man­zanillo to Cabo Cor­ri­entes.

Swells from Bud “are likely to cause life-threat­en­ing surf and rip cur­rent con­di­tions” along the west coast of Mex­ico, ac­cord­ing to the hur­ri­cane cen­ter. In ad­di­tion, rain from Bud “could cause life-threat­en­ing flash floods and mud­slides in higher ter­rain.”

Rain­fall amounts of 4-8 inches are ex­pected, with lo­cal amounts up to 12 inches through Wed­nes­day, Ac­cuWeather said. Small rivers and streams may quickly rise out of their banks and turn into deadly tor­rents.

Bud is the sec­ond hur­ri­cane of the eastern Pa­cific hur­ri­cane sea­son, fol­low­ing Aletta, which is rapidly weak­en­ing far out in the open ocean. This is un­usu­ally early for two hur­ri­canes to have formed, as the av­er­age date for the sec­ond hur­ri­cane to form in the eastern Pa­cific is July 14, Colorado State Univer­sity

me­te­o­rol­o­gist Phil Klotzbach said.

The eastern Pa­cific hur­ri­cane sea­son is fore­cast to be quite ac­tive, thanks in part to a de­vel­op­ing El Nino. NOAA pre­dicts that seven to 12 hur­ri­canes will form. El Nino could also put a damper on the At­lantic hur­ri­cane sea­son.

In the At­lantic basin, the hur­ri­cane cen­ter said there’s a 20 per­cent chance that a trop­i­cal de­pres­sion or storm will spin up within the next five days in the

Caribbean or the Gulf of Mex­ico.

How­ever, even if it doesn’t be­come a named sys­tem, the risk of heavy rain­fall, rough surf and gusty thun­der­storms will in­crease later this week from the north­east­ern coast of Mex­ico to coastal Texas and south­west­ern Louisiana, Ac­cuWeather warned.

The next storm that forms in the At­lantic, the Gulf of Mex­ico or the Caribbean Sea will be given the name Beryl.

Swells from Bud “are likely to cause life-threat­en­ing surf and rip cur­rent con­di­tions” along the west coast of Mex­ico.

Na­tional Hur­ri­cane Cen­ter

Rain from the out­skirts of Hur­ri­cane Bud fell on Aca­pulco, Mex­ico, on Mon­day. The Cat­e­gory 3 storm is fore­cast to bring life-threat­en­ing rip cur­rents and flood­ing to por­tions of Mex­ico this week. DAVID GUZMAN/EPA-EFE

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