Poll: Bi­den and Latino vot­ers

Poll: A slight edge in Fla., stronger in Texas

USA TODAY US Edition - - FRONT PAGE - Re­becca Morin

Joe Bi­den holds a slight lead over Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump in this key de­mo­graphic in Florida, though he is founder­ing with Cuban vot­ers.

Joe Bi­den holds a slight lead over Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump among Latino vot­ers in the bat­tle­ground state of Florida, ac­cord­ing to a poll pub­lished Thurs­day.

Al­most half (48%) of Latino likely vot­ers in Florida said they sup­port Bi­den, with 43% say­ing they back Trump, ac­cord­ing to a state poll from Tele­mu­ndo. Less than 10% of Latino vot­ers said they’re un­de­cided (7%) or vot­ing for an­other can­di­date (2%).

Lati­nos will be the largest eth­nic or racial mi­nor­ity group in the 2020 elec­tion, with 32 mil­lion el­i­gi­ble to vote. Florida, which has 29 elec­toral votes, is con­sid­ered vi­tal to Trump’s re­elec­tion bid.

But Bi­den is founder­ing with Cuban vot­ers, a key bloc in the state. Ac­cord­ing to the poll, Trump holds a sub­stan­tial lead over Bi­den, 71% to 23% among Cuban vot­ers. Bi­den is lead­ing among Puerto Ri­can vot­ers, 66% to 23%.

Lati­nos won’t just be a cru­cial vot­ing bloc in Florida, they will also hold key shares of the vote in Texas, Ari­zona and Ne­vada.

The Tele­mu­ndo poll sur­veyed 500 reg­is­tered His­panic vot­ers statewide by tele­phone in those four states, and all in­di­cated they were likely to vote in the gen­eral elec­tion. There is a mar­gin of er­ror of plus or mi­nus 4.5 per­cent­age points for each state poll.

In Texas, Bi­den holds a large lead among Latino vot­ers, 58% to 34%. The poll shows that 7% are still un­de­cided and 1% say they are choos­ing an­other can­di­date. In re­cent days, pun­dits have showed the race is tight­en­ing over­all in the Lone Star State. The Cook Po­lit­i­cal Re­port re­cently changed its rat­ing of the state to a toss up, mean­ing the race could go for ei­ther can­di­date.

But Bi­den is trail­ing 2016 Demo­cratic nom­i­nee Hil­lary Clin­ton among Lati­nos. Ac­cord­ing to 2016 exit polls, Clin­ton won 61% of the His­panic vote in Texas, while Trump won 34%.

Lati­nos make up roughly 30% of the Texas elec­torate, ac­cord­ing to the Pew Re­search Cen­ter.

In Ari­zona, 64% of Latino vot­ers say they sup­port Bi­den, while 28% said they sup­port Trump. A com­bined 8% said they are un­de­cided or sup­port­ing a dif­fer­ent can­di­date.

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