Warm win­ter fore­cast for re­gion

Albany Extra - - News - Jes­sica Cuth­bert

Al­bany can ex­pect a warmer win­ter this year with max­i­mum tem­per­a­tures ex­pected to be above av­er­age.

Bureau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy se­nior cli­ma­tol­o­gist Glenn Cook said max­i­mum and min­i­mum tem­per­a­tures are more likely to be above av­er­age this win­ter.

“There is a 70 to 75 per cent chance of above av­er­age day­time tem­per­a­tures, and a 70 per cent chance of be­low av­er­age overnight tem­per­a­tures,” he said.

The out­look for Al­bany for win­ter sug­gests be­low av­er­age rain­fall is slightly more likely.

“There is only a 40 to 45 per cent chance of above av­er­age rain­fall, mean­ing a 55-60 per cent chance of be­low av­er­age rain­fall,” he said.

Mr Cook said it has been a dry May for Al­bany.

“The out­look for the re­gion for June sug­gests rain­fall is most likely to also be be­low av­er­age,” he said.

“Prob­a­bil­i­ties of above av­er­age rain­fall in June in the re­gion are 30 to 40 per cent, so a 60 to 70 per cent chance of be­ing be­low av­er­age in June.

“In the next week rain­fall is ex­pected in the Al­bany re­gion, although falls are ex­pected to be light and mod­els sug­gest the next pos­si­bil­ity of rain­fall af­ter that is mid-next week.”

Last win­ter, tem­per­a­tures around Al­bany were ei­ther close to nor­mal of slightly above nor­mal.

Out­looks sug­gest the tem­per­a­tures this win­ter are likely to be higher than last win­ter. Mr Cook said snow is re­ported on the Stir­ling Range on av­er­age once a year.

“The cold fronts that bring snow are gen­er­ally in­de­pen­dent of the back­ground con­di­tions, so even if the Al­bany re­gion does have a milder win­ter than nor­mal, it would still be quite pos­si­ble for at least one snow event to oc­cur on the Stir­lings,” he said.

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