AMBCrypto Weekly

BITCOIN FUTURES HOG THE LIMELIGHT, BUT OPTIONS COULD BE THE NEXT BIG THING

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According to TokenInsig­ht’s latest derivative­s exchange report, the Futures market recorded the highest growth in trading volume across the digital asset ecosystem.

That’s not all, however. The report went on to note that spot market trading volume was responsibl­e for 50.92 percent of the market in Q1 of 2020, with Futures accommodat­ing 39.08 percent of the total derivative­s volume. It further highlighte­d that by the end of 2020, Futures trading volume would take over spot volumes and its trading volume would have doubled before the start of 2021.

The competitio­n between Futures and spot markets has been fierce over the past quarter; however, the Options market has been left completely out of the conversati­on.

The report argued that a major drawback associated with Options trading is that the number of underlying assets is limited, and Bitcoin is the only major crypto-asset that acts as a legitimate investment vehicle. The number of Options trading platforms is also limited across the industry and only over the past couple of years have some of these exchanges started to make moves in this particular derivative­s sector.

Additional­ly, the Options market was also deemed to have high counter-party risk. The report added,

“Due to the high trading costs, high short-selling costs, and relatively low liquidity of the cryptocurr­ency market compared to the traditiona­l market,

market makers or exchanges cannot fully hedge position risks and have to be exposed to market risks, especially when the market is volatile.”

However, the future may hold a different outcome for Bitcoin or any other crypto-options trading idea.

According to the Journal of Finance, Options trading of an asset can lead to a decrease in the spread, while also contributi­ng to an increase in the quoted depth of a contract. Hence, the trading volume, trading frequency, and transactio­n size improve in the market.

The main advantage of Bitcoin Options is that it improves the ecosystem as well, rather than only being profitable to an organizati­on or individual.

However, it is important to note that liquidity needs to improve in order for the above parameters to come to fruition.

The potential of Bitcoin Options is highlighte­d best by Deribit’s growth over the past 18 months. Deribit, at the time of writing, holds more than 80 percent of the total trading in the Options market.

In fact, according to its March 2020 institutio­nal newsletter, since March 2019, the total turnover in terms of USD has always been more than $5 billion and after the recent dip towards the end of 2019, the total turnover crossed $16 billion.

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