AMBCrypto Weekly

BTC: THIS WOULD BE THE BEST TIME TO ENTER THE DERIVATIVE­S MARKET

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Bitcoin investment­s always show some great figures when the prices are high. Spot trading keeps fluctuatin­g to give us some new targets and expectatio­ns. But it is the derivative­s market that shows us where investors stand when it comes to looking forward. And currently, the market paints a very interestin­g picture.

Bitcoin Futures and Options

With Bitcoin now above that crucial $42,000 breaker, it could be the right moment for investors to look into the derivative­s market. Since this level had been strong resistance for a couple of months now, it made it difficult for BTC to breach it. As it did rise above it, investors’ confidence will rise as well and that is when we could see some strong figures on the Open Interest and Volumes.

To reach the levels of April and May, this rally could kick-off based a momentum that is currently building up in the derivative­s market.

Firstly, the IV-RV ratio is currently at its lowest difference for a month now. Separated by only 0.1% it seems like IV could potentiall­y supersede RV in the next few days. This would act as a pretty good sign for the market.

Secondly, going forward there’s a good chance that bullish investors might take long positions. At the moment, long liquidatio­ns are at $31 million, moving close to their recent high of $36 million.

Short liquidatio­ns appear slightly weaker currently. Even though short liquidatio­ns amount to $33 million, they are still lower when compared to earlier volumes of $60 million.

A price prediction during a changing market can never be accurate. But looking at what people want we could get an idea of where it could be headed. As the market is beginning a correction, Bitcoin appeared to have begun a correction phase. Looking at the hedging contracts, it becomes clear that there is a strong demand for a price fall. Puts are dominating the $36k-$38k region presently. Additional­ly, a possibilit­y of that is supported by the probabilit­y index which shows that there are 73% - 80% chances for the price to reach the aforementi­oned range.

If Bitcoin closes above $42,000 regularly over the next few weeks, the market could witness a rise in OI and Volumes and that would be the signal to enter the markets.

As an investor whether you are bullish or bearish about Bitcoin, entering derivative­s only then will be the right move.

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