Bloomberg Businessweek (Asia)

The compact SUV goes from cute-ute to king of the road

▶▶Small sport-utes are poised to surpass the Camry and Accord as America’s favorite family ride ▶▶“There’s really been a shift in taste across the board”

- −Keith Naughton

Craig and Tiffany Sollman of Greenville, S.C., are the kind of car buyers America’s sedan makers once could count on: He’s 41, she’s 33, and their baby boy, Micah, just turned 3 months old. The Sollmans, though, never really gave much thought to a sedan before plunking down $24,000 recently for a tan Toyota RAV4 sportutili­ty vehicle. “The ride is great, it gets good gas mileage, and there’s enough room in the back for baby accessorie­s,” Craig said in an e-mail, because he and his wife are too busy with Micah to chat on the phone. “My wife’s best friend delivered a daughter within a month of us, and they also went out and got a Toyota RAV4.”

Thanks to drivers like the Sollmans, the family sedan’s decades of dominance—from the Chevy Bel Air in the 1950s through the Toyota Camry of today—are coming to an end. Compact SUVs including the RAV4, Honda CR-V, and Ford Escape are the new family car of choice. Small sport-utes started outselling the Camry, Honda Accord, and other midsize sedans last summer; this year they’ll overtake traditiona­l cars, selling about 3.1 million vs. 3 million, to command the largest share of the U.S. auto market for the first time, according to researcher LMC Automotive.

“Sedans used to be the bread-andbutter segment, but now compact SUVs have become the go-to vehicle,” says Jeff Schuster, senior vice president for forecastin­g at LMC. “There’s really been a shift in taste across the board.”

Driving this dramatic departure is a society that likes to ride high and live large. Modern SUVs bear little resemblanc­e to the rugged roustabout­s of yore. They don’t guzzle: A CR-V gets 33 miles per gallon on the highway. They don’t rattle your bones: Many are built on smooth-riding car chassis, not truck frames. And they’re affordable: The average price is $26,400, just $700 more than a midsize car, according to automotive pricing website Edmunds.com.

They’re also more broadly appealing than the small SUVs Toyota Motor and Honda Motor introduced in the late

“Improvemen­ts over the last 5 to 10 years have been remarkable. There isn’t a big difference now between similarly sized sedans and SUVs.” ——Jeff Schuster, LMC Automotive

1990s. Back then, they were disparaged as “cute-utes,” lacking the power and prestige of the big, testostero­ne-fueled Hummers and Navigators Detroit was churning out.

Today, much like flip phones begat smartphone­s, cute-utes have morphed into stylish models packed with the latest safety and infotainme­nt technology. “The compact SUV is very similar to a midsize car, only taller with more flexible cargo capacity,” says Jessica Caldwell, a senior analyst for Edmunds.com.

Compact SUVs owe a debt to the humble minivan. The rise of those sliding door-equipped behemoths three decades ago showed there was a better way to haul kids and their gear to school and soccer games than just cramming everybody into the back seat of a Ford Taurus. But for all their utility and respectabl­e fuel efficiency, minivans were saddled with a dowdy mom-mobile image that prevented them from overtaking traditiona­l family sedans. Annual sales of minivans have fallen by half over the past 10 years. Today, compact SUVs—seen as more of a cool kids’ conveyance—outsell minivans more than 6 to 1.

Safety also is a factor. Craig Sollman, who works at the local water utility in Greenville, says his wife feels more secure in their RAV4 because she rides above traffic. “People feel safer when they are up higher and have a better view of the road,” says Edmunds.com’s Caldwell. “Whether it’s true or not, that doesn’t matter, because that’s the perception.”

In this case, reality does match perception: Small SUVs have a rate of 23 driver deaths per 1 million vehicles, compared with 35 for midsize cars, according to an analysis of federal crash data by the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety.

The SUVs have a weight advantage, “and more weight is protective in crashes,” says Russ Rader, a spokesman at the IIHS. “There’s also a safety advantage in sitting up higher in the vehicle because that puts a driver a little above the point of impact in crashes.”

These attributes have given compact SUVs cross-generation­al appeal. Baby boomers, who spurred the SUV craze a quarter-century ago, are moving down from big rigs such as Ford Motor’s Explorer and Toyota’s Highlander into the smaller models as their children leave the nest. Meanwhile, those children, who “grew up in SUVs,” are choosing them as they enter their baby-on-board years, says Bob Carter, Toyota’s top U.S. sales executive. “The under-35 millennial­s are buying ’em up,” he says.

To help meet demand, Toyota began importing RAV4s to the U.S. from Japan last year, supplement­ing the automaker’s Canadian factory, which has been operating full tilt. Sales of the model jumped 18 percent in 2015, to 315,412 vehicles, pushing it past Ford’s Escape to become America’s secondbest-selling compact SUV. Carter predicts that within five years the RAV4 will surpass the Camry, which has been the top-selling car in the U.S. for the past 14 years. Honda’s CR-V remains the No. 1 compact SUV, with 2015 sales totaling 345,647. It came within 10,000 of topping the Accord sedan, which finished second to the Camry.

Low gasoline prices of about $2 a gallon have helped fuel the latest run on SUVs—and are even encouragin­g a revival in compact pickups. But analysts say small sport-utes won’t need cheap gas to sustain sales. Accidentav­oidance gizmos, electronic liftgates, fancy sound systems, and Web and text capabiliti­es coveted by connected consumers have made small SUVs far more customer-friendly than the utilitaria­n trucks that inspired their creation.

“Improvemen­ts over the last 5 to 10 years have been remarkable,” LMC’s Schuster says. “There isn’t a big difference now between similarly sized sedans and SUVs.”

Smaller SUVs also have shed their rough-and-ready looks for swoopy styling that borrows more from the sedans they’re replacing than the off-roaders they once aspired to be. “We’ve moved beyond the boxy, small SUV,” says Mark Wakefield, managing director and head of the Americas automotive group at consultant AlixPartne­rs. “It has evolved into a tall car that drives like a car and has almost no sacrifices.”

The bottom line Demand for small SUVs is fast eclipsing that for family sedans, which had been America’s most popular car type since the ’50s.

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