Pre­dict­ing break­throughs in 1996, we were far too con­ser­va­tive

Re­vis­it­ing our tech pre­dic­tions from 1996, it's clear we got a lot wrong. But what's re­mark­able is why

Bloomberg Businessweek (Asia) - - NEWS - Story Brad Wieners & David Pescovitz

When David and I pub­lished Re­al­ity Check: Here’s the Real Fu­ture 20 years ago, some pat­ted us on the pro­pel­ler beanie and told us nice try, but you’re far too boos­t­er­ish. The tech break­throughs we’d fore­cast on a time­line, they told us, were go­ing to take far longer to ar­rive than we and our ex­pert sources sug­gested. So did they?

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