Predicting breakthroughs in 1996, we were far too conservative
Revisiting our tech predictions from 1996, it's clear we got a lot wrong. But what's remarkable is why
When David and I published Reality Check: Here’s the Real Future 20 years ago, some patted us on the propeller beanie and told us nice try, but you’re far too boosterish. The tech breakthroughs we’d forecast on a timeline, they told us, were going to take far longer to arrive than we and our expert sources suggested. So did they?