Hot months in fore­cast

Gatton Star - - NEWS -

MOST of Aus­tralia is likely to see a hot­ter than nor­mal sum­mer pe­riod, ac­cord­ing to the Bureau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy’s (BOM) 2018-19 Sum­mer Out­look.

BOM man­ager of long-range fore­cast­ing Dr An­drew Watkins said the out­look showed most of the coun­try had an 80 per cent chance of ex­ceed­ing nor­mal tem­per­a­tures over sum­mer.

“Sum­mer in Aus­tralia typ­i­cally brings hot tem­per­a­tures for many com­mu­ni­ties and the out­look in­di­cates this sum­mer will be no dif­fer­ent,” Dr Watkins said.

“We’ve al­ready seen ex­tremely hot tem­per­a­tures through parts of north and cen­tral Queens­land in re­cent days and this should act as an im­por­tant re­minder of the kinds of con­di­tions we can get dur­ing an Aus­tralian sum­mer.

“In terms of rain­fall, the out­look shows a drier than av­er­age three months is likely for large parts of West­ern Aus­tralia, Queens­land and the Top End of the North­ern Ter­ri­tory. For the rest of the coun­try there is no strong push in­di­cat­ing wet­ter or drier than av­er­age con­di­tions.”

❝Sum­mer

typ­i­cally brings hot tem­per­a­tures ... and the out­look in­di­cates this sum­mer will be no dif­fer­ent.

— Dr An­drew Watkins

The Bureau’s ENSO out­look re­mains at Alert, mean­ing the chance of an El Niño form­ing in 2018 is at 70 per cent. An El Niño typ­i­cally brings drier and warmer con­di­tions to eastern Aus­tralia but the rain­fall ef­fects tend to be less pro­nounced in sum­mer.

Rain­fall dur­ing spring has been a mixed bag, with above-av­er­age rain­fall through south­ern West­ern Aus­tralia, most of the North­ern Ter­ri­tory, north­ern and west­ern South Aus­tralia, small ar­eas in south east Queens­land and north east New South Wales.

Mean­while, Vic­to­ria and Tas­ma­nia are cur­rently on track for one of their 10 dri­est springs on record.

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