Hot months in forecast
MOST of Australia is likely to see a hotter than normal summer period, according to the Bureau of Meteorology’s (BOM) 2018-19 Summer Outlook.
BOM manager of long-range forecasting Dr Andrew Watkins said the outlook showed most of the country had an 80 per cent chance of exceeding normal temperatures over summer.
“Summer in Australia typically brings hot temperatures for many communities and the outlook indicates this summer will be no different,” Dr Watkins said.
“We’ve already seen extremely hot temperatures through parts of north and central Queensland in recent days and this should act as an important reminder of the kinds of conditions we can get during an Australian summer.
“In terms of rainfall, the outlook shows a drier than average three months is likely for large parts of Western Australia, Queensland and the Top End of the Northern Territory. For the rest of the country there is no strong push indicating wetter or drier than average conditions.”
typically brings hot temperatures ... and the outlook indicates this summer will be no different.
— Dr Andrew Watkins
The Bureau’s ENSO outlook remains at Alert, meaning the chance of an El Niño forming in 2018 is at 70 per cent. An El Niño typically brings drier and warmer conditions to eastern Australia but the rainfall effects tend to be less pronounced in summer.
Rainfall during spring has been a mixed bag, with above-average rainfall through southern Western Australia, most of the Northern Territory, northern and western South Australia, small areas in south east Queensland and north east New South Wales.
Meanwhile, Victoria and Tasmania are currently on track for one of their 10 driest springs on record.