First three months of 2019 to be hot and dry

Gatton Star - - NEWS -

IT LOOKS like it’s go­ing to be a hot and most likely dry start to 2019 for the re­gion.

The dis­ap­point­ing news comes after good rain at the start of De­cem­ber had many hope­ful of a bet­ter start to the new year.

Bureau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy cli­ma­tol­o­gist Jonathan Pol­lock said the warm weather the re­gion sweated through at the end of last year will be stick­ing around.

“The hot weather looks very likely to con­tinue – both day­time and night-time have a greater than 80 per cent chance of be­ing warmer than usual around Gat­ton,” Mr Pol­lock said.

The rain­fall that raised many res­i­dents’ hopes in De­cem­ber also looks likely to be a dis­tant mem­ory.

Falls as high as 136 mm at Black Duck Creek were recorded in the fi­nal weeks of De­cem­ber, but Mr Pol­lock said the three-month out­look for Jan­uary to March was look­ing likely to be a dry one.

“The prob­a­bil­i­ties around Gat­ton are pretty close to about a 60 per cent chance that it will be drier than av­er­age,” he said

But he added rain­fall was more “nu­anced” than the tem­per­a­ture out­look and there was still a 40 per cent chance of a wet­ter than av­er­age three months.

“(It’s) def­i­nitely not as em­phatic as the tem­per­a­ture out­looks,” he said.

❝The

hot weather looks very likely to con­tinue – both day­time and night-time have a greater than 80 per cent chance of be­ing warmer.

— Jonathan Pol­lock

“In the short term, the rain­fall out­look for Jan­uary ac­tu­ally shows pretty close to a 50/50 chance for a wet­ter or drier month ahead.

“But over­all the cli­mate driv­ers are tilt­ing us to­wards a drier than usual sea­son.”

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