First three months of 2019 to be hot and dry
IT LOOKS like it’s going to be a hot and most likely dry start to 2019 for the region.
The disappointing news comes after good rain at the start of December had many hopeful of a better start to the new year.
Bureau of Meteorology climatologist Jonathan Pollock said the warm weather the region sweated through at the end of last year will be sticking around.
“The hot weather looks very likely to continue – both daytime and night-time have a greater than 80 per cent chance of being warmer than usual around Gatton,” Mr Pollock said.
The rainfall that raised many residents’ hopes in December also looks likely to be a distant memory.
Falls as high as 136 mm at Black Duck Creek were recorded in the final weeks of December, but Mr Pollock said the three-month outlook for January to March was looking likely to be a dry one.
“The probabilities around Gatton are pretty close to about a 60 per cent chance that it will be drier than average,” he said
But he added rainfall was more “nuanced” than the temperature outlook and there was still a 40 per cent chance of a wetter than average three months.
“(It’s) definitely not as emphatic as the temperature outlooks,” he said.
hot weather looks very likely to continue – both daytime and night-time have a greater than 80 per cent chance of being warmer.
— Jonathan Pollock
“In the short term, the rainfall outlook for January actually shows pretty close to a 50/50 chance for a wetter or drier month ahead.
“But overall the climate drivers are tilting us towards a drier than usual season.”