Beware shine of dividends

It’s time to diversify your investment risk, writes Anthony Keane

SHAREHOLDERS are the nation’s biggest income winners despite shaky financial markets and pre-election tax worries.

Dividends are delivering returns two or three times larger than bank deposits, and fresh talk of future Reserve Bank rate cuts adds to their attractiveness.

However, sharemarket volatility is forecast to continue and investors are being urged to diversify their money into other income-producing assets to guard against the next fall. While the overall sharemarket is paying a 4.2 per cent dividend yield, many of our biggest companies pay above 5 per cent.

Dixon Advisory managing director Nerida Cole said strong dividends hadn’t made up for the underperformance in the past decade of Australian shares, compared with US shares.

“There are risks investing with Australian equities at the moment, with economic headwinds, but it’s difficult for people to find those other investments that they’re comfortable with,” she said. “Right now is a really good time to review your portfolio because the sharemarket is up. We’ve recovered from those falls in November and December last year.”

Ms Cole said other options included:

investment trusts, which had performed strongly recently but might now have limited upside.

bond investments with returns above 5 per cent.

which delivered stronger growth and “better total returns”. Last month’s profit-reporting season “wasn’t quite as bad as NAB ............................ 7.9% Westpac ...................... 7% CBA ........................ 5.8% ANZ ....................... 5.8% Wesfarmers .............. 5.5% perhaps was anticipated, but also highlighted that Australian company profits are not growing”, Ms Cole said.

Reece Birtles, chief investment officer at Martin Currie Australia, said higher dividends were a feature of the reporting season.

“Driving this seems to be the expected result of the imminent MONDAY, MARCH 11, 2019 BHP ........................... 5.4% Rio Tinto ...................... 5% ASX overall ................4.2% Term deposits .............. 2% Online savings .......... 0.9% federal election,” he said. “Company boards are evidently taking the possibility of a government change very seriously.”

Labor’s controversial plan to axe dividends’ franking credit cash refunds for self-funded retirees has dominated debate in recent months but its proposal does not affect 90 per cent of investors, who will still receive the full tax benefits.

State Street senior investment strategist Raf Choudhury said his firm’s analysis showed dividend yields from shares were relatively stable. He said government bonds were paying about 2 per cent and term deposits an average 1.95 per cent.

“With inflation currently at 1.9 per cent and forecast to reach 2.3 per cent by 2020, real yields are flat or negative,” Mr Choudhury said.

“Many income-focused investors have already accepted that they may need to tolerate a moderate level of risk in their search for yield.”

Current dividend and income yields