Boris in a land­slide

Poll data tips John­son to gain more than 50 seats in elec­tion

Mercury (Hobart) - - WORLD -

UK Prime Min­is­ter Boris John­son is on track to se­cure a de­ci­sive ma­jor­ity of al­most 50 seats at next month’s na­tional elec­tion, ac­cord­ing to an anal­y­sis of thou­sands of in­ter­views from opin­ion polls.

Mr John­son’s Con­ser­va­tive Party looks likely to score about 349 seats in the House of Com­mons, a gain of 57 seats, ac­cord­ing to the re­sults from num­ber-crunch­ing firm Dat­apraxis

and pub­lished by the Sun­day Times news­pa­per in Lon­don.

And the main op­po­si­tion Labour Party is on course to lose about 30 mem­bers of par­lia­ment, the model showed, leav­ing it with 213 seats. Aside from the Con­ser­va­tives, the other big win­ner looks set to be the Scot­tish Na­tional Party. The model sug­gests it will re­gain 14 seats, and will ce­ment its sta­tus as Bri­tain’s third­largest party in terms of num­ber of seats.

The pre­dic­tive model in­cor­po­rated data from 270,000 in­ter­views con­ducted by polling com­pany YouGov. A YouGov poll pub­lished ear­lier at the week­end showed Con­ser­va­tives’ vote share at 42 per cent, 12 points ahead of Labour.

And the Bri­tain Elects poll ag­gre­ga­tor puts the Con­ser­va­tives

on 42 per cent, ahead of the Labour main op­po­si­tion on 29 per cent, the anti-Brexit Lib­eral Democrats on 15 per cent, the Brexit Party on 6 per cent and the Greens on 3 per cent. The Con­ser­va­tives have seen their pop­u­lar­ity surge since Mr John­son took over from Theresa May four months ago. They also seem set to ben­e­fit from Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party pulling out their can­di­dates from more than 300 seats be­ing de­fended by the Con­ser­va­tives.

It came as Mr John­son pre­pared to un­veil his party’s man­i­festo, pledg­ing to move on from Brexit and aus­ter­ity in a bid to se­cure a De­cem­ber 12 gen­eral elec­tion vic­tory.

Mr John­son sees Bri­tain’s third gen­eral elec­tion in 4½ years as the only way to break the log­jam on Brexit.

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