EL NINO RISK RISES
THE Bureau of Meteorology ENSO Outlook has been raised to El Nino alert, meaning about a 70 per cent chance of El Nino occurring, around triple the normal likelihood. Similarly, in the Indian Ocean, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole may have started. Combined, these two events in spring increase the possibility of a dry and warm end to the year. It also raises the risk of heatwaves and bushfire weather in the south, but it also reduces the risk of tropical cyclones in the north.