EL NINO RISK RISES

Port Douglas & Mossman Gazette - - NEWS -

THE Bu­reau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy ENSO Out­look has been raised to El Nino alert, mean­ing about a 70 per cent chance of El Nino oc­cur­ring, around triple the nor­mal like­li­hood. Sim­i­larly, in the In­dian Ocean, a pos­i­tive In­dian Ocean Dipole may have started. Com­bined, these two events in spring in­crease the pos­si­bil­ity of a dry and warm end to the year. It also raises the risk of heat­waves and bush­fire weather in the south, but it also re­duces the risk of trop­i­cal cy­clones in the north.

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