Science Illustrated

GROUNDWATE­R COULD SPEED THE LOSS OF ANTARCTIC ICE

Australian research has uncovered groundwate­r beneath the Antarctic ice which may increase glacial loss and the rising of ocean levels.

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Antarctica preserves Earth’s largest ice sheet, and scientists have been warning for decades that any rapid accelerati­on in the mass of ice lost to the oceans could lead to sea-level rises that would affect the whole planet.

Now a new study mapping geology underneath the ice has determined that some of the continent’s most dynamic ice streams could increase their vulnerabil­ity to rapid ice retreat and ice loss. Scientists from the Universiti­es of Western Australia and Tasmania, along with the CSIRO, have been looking for sedimentar­y basins beneath the ice – low-lying areas that can contain lots of groundwate­r. When glaciers retreat, these basins can discharge groundwate­r under the ice, and that water can increase the rate at which ice is lost.

Such basal conditions are critical to predicting future ice loss, says the study. While satellite observatio­ns show a continuous ice loss over the past four decades in both Western and East Antarctica, prediction­s of future events remain highly uncertain because of the difficulty in identifyin­g critical thresholds at which heavy ice loss will occur. These thresholds are often associated with changing basal conditions, but any systematic understand­ing of basins has until now been limited by the local nature of previous studies and inconsiste­nt mapping between them.

The scientists have now developed a sedimentar­y-basin probabilit­y map for the whole of Antarctica, using machine-learning trained on the current understand­ing of Antarctic sedimentar­y basin distributi­ons.

The research found sedimentar­y basins in some of Antarctica’s most dynamic ice-sheet catchments, including Wilkes Land and the Recovery regions in East Antarctica, and especially the Thwaites and Pine Island glacier in Western Antarctica, both of which were found to possess sedimentar­y basins in their upper catchments. Pine Island is Antarctica’s fastest melting glacier, responsibl­e for about 25% of Antarctica’s ice loss.

 ?? ?? Identifyin­g basins of groundwate­r beneath the ice may be key to predicting future ice loss.
Identifyin­g basins of groundwate­r beneath the ice may be key to predicting future ice loss.

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