Prospects not good: ABARES

Shepparton News - Country News - - EUROA SHOW 2018 -

Aus­tralian win­ter crop prospects de­te­ri­o­rated dur­ing early spring fol­low­ing un­favourable sea­sonal con­di­tions in most crop­ping re­gions, ac­cord­ing to a pre­lim­i­nary as­sess­ment con­ducted by Aus­tralian Bureau of Agri­cul­tural and Re­source Eco­nom­ics and Sciences.

ABARES ex­ec­u­tive di­rec­tor Steve Hat­field-Dodds said the Septem­ber edi­tion of Aus­tralian Crop Re­port had iden­ti­fied a lack of timely rain­fall in early spring and frost events as key risks to win­ter crop prospects.

Sig­nif­i­cant frost events had an im­pact in both south­ern NSW and Vic­to­ria, with the ben­e­fits re­ceived from Oc­to­ber rain­fall ex­pected be out­weighed by dam­age that re­sulted from the un­favourable sea­sonal con­di­tions dur­ing Septem­ber.

‘‘We ex­pect 2018-19 win­ter crop pro­duc­tion to be around 15 per cent lower than our Septem­ber fore­cast of 33.2 mil­lion tonnes,’’ Dr Hat­field-Dodds said.

‘‘Wheat is now ex­pected to come in around 13 per cent lower than our Septem­ber fore­cast.

‘‘The story is sim­i­lar for bar­ley pro­duc­tion, down an ex­pected 17 per cent, and canola pro­duc­tion, down an ex­pected 20 per cent.’’

Dr Hat­field-Dodds said the most sig­nif­i­cant falls in crop prospects oc­curred in Vic­to­ria and South Aus­tralia.

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