Bureau says Shepparton can expect a warm, but wet spring
The sun was out for the first day of spring, but the region can expect plenty of rain ahead, with the Bureau of Meteorology forecasting a warm, but wet season.
Shepparton is an 80 per cent chance of above-median rainfall from September to October and there’s a 75 per cent chance of seeing between 100 mm and 200 mm of rain.
Cooler days and warmer nights will also be a feature of spring across eastern Australia.
Bureau climatologist Andrew Watkins said predictions for a wetter and warmer spring followed a particularly wet and warm winter.
“Nationally, we’ve seen the wettest winter since 2016,” he said.
Dr Watkins said the main reason behind the bureau’s prediction for a wetter-than-average spring was the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).
“We’ve currently got a negative IOD — a phenomenon which typically brings an increased chance of rainfall to southern and eastern Australia,” he said.
“This negative IOD is expected to persist throughout spring, but is currently weaker than the last negative IOD event we saw in 2016, which brought Australia’s wettest May-October period on record.”
Another relevant climate driver, the El Nin˜o-Southern Oscillation (or ENSO), is likely to remain neutral with no declaration of a La Nin˜ a event expected in the coming months.