Election battle for ScoMo

PART-TIME, blue-collar workers could put the Morrison government’s re-election chances at risk as new analysis shows the voter group is turning its back on the Coalition.

Analysis of Newspolls conducted between July and September show up to 10 seats across the country could be up for grabs as Queensland remains the only mainland stronghold for the Coalition.

Support nationally for the Coalition dropped to 38 per cent, down three points from the previous quarter.

Victoria, traditionally Labor’s strongest state, has experienced the largest swing against the government, with Labor leading by a margin of 58/42 per cent.

In Scott Morrison’s home state of NSW, the Coalition suffered a three-point swing against it, with its primary vote dropping to 39 per cent. It puts Labor ahead by 52/48 on a two-party preferred basis.

Support for the government in Western Australia is down two points to 37 per cent. On a two-party preferred basis, federal Labor leads 54/46, a ninepoint decline since the 2019 election. Queensland is the Coalition’s last stronghold with a 55/45 per cent lead, with primary support unchanged since the last quarter.

Support for the Coalition lifted three points to 40 per cent in South Australia but it still lags Labor 47/53 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.