Increase in water shares
Murray system irrigators have 89 per cent highreliability water shares, up from 84 per cent, the northern Victoria Resource Manager has announced.
Resource Mark Bailey change was recent rain.
‘‘Although the rain during October fell on relatively dry catchments, the flows into the major storages held or increased slightly,’’ Dr Bailey said.
‘‘Our previous conservative estimates anticipated flows reducing.’’
Dr Bailey said weather conditions would influence any water availability improvements.
‘‘The October rainfall totals were average to below average across much of northern Victoria, with some catchment totals very much below average,’’ he said.
‘‘Flows into the storages were well below average.
‘‘The catchments are drying and significant rain will be needed to generate large increases in the seasonal determinations in the short term.
‘‘Small improvements will continue if evaporation and river losses remain lower than our estimates, which can occur with some rainfall and cooler temperatures.’’
Dr Bailey noted the climate outlooks suggested drier conditions would continue.
‘‘The latest Bureau of Meteorology seasonal outlook indicates belowaverage rainfall is more likely during the November to January period,’’ he said.
‘‘The bureau has issued an El Nin˜ o alert, meaning the chance of an El Nin˜ o forming in 2018 is around 70 per cent and there are signs a positive Indian Ocean dipole is forming.
‘‘An El Nin˜ o and positive Indian Ocean dipole increases the possibility of dry conditions.’’
Dr Bailey urged water users to continue planning their water needs carefully. manager said the helped by