In­crease in wa­ter shares

The Cobram Courier - - NEWS -

Mur­ray sys­tem ir­ri­ga­tors have 89 per cent high­re­li­a­bil­ity wa­ter shares, up from 84 per cent, the north­ern Vic­to­ria Re­source Man­ager has an­nounced.

Re­source Mark Bai­ley change was re­cent rain.

‘‘Al­though the rain dur­ing Oc­to­ber fell on rel­a­tively dry catch­ments, the flows into the ma­jor stor­ages held or in­creased slightly,’’ Dr Bai­ley said.

‘‘Our pre­vi­ous con­ser­va­tive es­ti­mates an­tic­i­pated flows re­duc­ing.’’

Dr Bai­ley said weather con­di­tions would in­flu­ence any wa­ter avail­abil­ity im­prove­ments.

‘‘The Oc­to­ber rain­fall to­tals were av­er­age to be­low av­er­age across much of north­ern Vic­to­ria, with some catch­ment to­tals very much be­low av­er­age,’’ he said.

‘‘Flows into the stor­ages were well be­low av­er­age.

‘‘The catch­ments are dry­ing and sig­nif­i­cant rain will be needed to gen­er­ate large in­creases in the sea­sonal de­ter­mi­na­tions in the short term.

‘‘Small im­prove­ments will con­tinue if evap­o­ra­tion and river losses re­main lower than our es­ti­mates, which can oc­cur with some rain­fall and cooler tem­per­a­tures.’’

Dr Bai­ley noted the cli­mate out­looks sug­gested drier con­di­tions would con­tinue.

‘‘The lat­est Bu­reau of Me­te­o­rol­ogy sea­sonal out­look in­di­cates be­lowa­v­er­age rain­fall is more likely dur­ing the Novem­ber to Jan­uary pe­riod,’’ he said.

‘‘The bu­reau has is­sued an El Nin˜ o alert, mean­ing the chance of an El Nin˜ o form­ing in 2018 is around 70 per cent and there are signs a pos­i­tive In­dian Ocean dipole is form­ing.

‘‘An El Nin˜ o and pos­i­tive In­dian Ocean dipole in­creases the pos­si­bil­ity of dry con­di­tions.’’

Dr Bai­ley urged wa­ter users to con­tinue plan­ning their wa­ter needs care­fully. man­ager said the helped by

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