Richmond ‘on LNP radar’ with Nationals challenge
RICHMOND
RONALD MCDONALD
RICHMOND is a really interesting seat because it does not behave like a normal regional electorate.
It has an interesting history and Labor has a margin of just under 4 per cent.
It is on the Coalition’s radar as one they might be able to seize back but probably not in the current climate. Objectors (Vaccination/ Flouride) Party)
MATTHEW FRASER
(The Nationals)
MICHAEL LYON
(The Greens)
RESULTS: 50-strong straw poll in streets of Tweed.
It has moved between the parties over the years but one would think not at this electorate.
One in five people in this seat vote Greens but I would not expect this to grow exponentially.
The Greens stayed put in the recent NSW state election and if there is going to be any growth in their vote it will probably be in Queensland, especially with Adani polarising voters there.
In regional seats such as this running the same candidate from a previous poll as the Nationals are doing, can be a plus – just look at Labor in the seat of Gilmore which they have a chance of getting.
This may be the case in a seat like Richmond – once you get out of the capital cities the personalities and local ethos and integrity of the candidate becomes quite important while with capital city voters the local candidate is frequently less important than the party image.
If Matthew Fraser has had an opportunity to build this up it may actually work in his favour.
But given the tide is moving away from the Coalition at this election, maybe not.
29 6 4 3 3 2 1
No
Liberal
Green
One Nation
Labor
Nationals
United Australia Party
1 Christian Democrat Party
1 Fraser Anning’s Conservative Party
Word on the street
“I think they are all hopeless.” “I don’t think any of them do anything anyway.”
“No matter, it’s not going to change a thing.”