Waller stacks Sydney
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Heavy 8. All horses considered starters unless notified by Monday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating. RACE 1
DEBBIE Kepitis’ $120,000 Karaka Yearling buy 4. RITMICO (60) didn’t exactly trial like Winx ahead of his Newcastle debut which is why he was $21 to $31. The win was very impressive though. There a lot to like about the way he put the race
bed with a noticeable turn of foot. His trainer Chris Waller knows family well as Ritmicos’ dam is a half-sister to the mother of fourtime Group 1 winner Preferment. Harder here for Ritmico course, but he’s got a fair amount of scope. 3. JEN RULES (66) is the $500k Fastnet Rock filly from Snowden Racing. She won on a heavy 9 on debut then resumed with fighting on-pace, close-up third at Warwick Farm. Fitter for the outing, handles the wet, 1300m no issue all. Makes pretty obvious appeal. 2. SO TAKEN (67) fell in to win at Canterbury second-up and was run down late when she should have been winning. Not saying she is ‘weak’ but that was hard to forgive at the $2.60 last time.
5. FIGHT FOR LOVE (N/R) was bought at the same sale at Karaka in 2017. In this case, $75,000 to Jamie Walter (Proven T’breds) and given to Joe Pride. The filly is by Fighting Sun who I still say might have won the Golden Slipper had he not broken down. The mare is a Fastnet Rock who has thrown a two-time Group 2 winner in South Africa. Of more significance is the trial, or trials, to be precise. They may not jump off the screen at first glance, but I have seen heaps of Joe Pride-trained horses trial like that and come out and win. 1. ADANA (N/R) has apparently been gelded since he last ran here on Sep 5. Adana was a $1.1m yearling so has to win it all back the track now given the stud option is gone. Has shown glimpses of being a decent horse – trial the other day was a ripper behind a highly talented
in Nordicus (Dundeel – Miss Finland). Should love the wet. Stablemate 4. BRAZILICA (N/R) might just beat them all on pedigree and ability. She’s a Redoute’s Choice of the VRC Oaks winner Brazilian Pulse has trialled great. Better later and over longer than 1100m but too well bred to fail.
4. MISS SHANTI (69) is a dual acceptor but one would imagine she races here where she has drawn better if it’s just a pure matter of barriers? I am not sure she’s anything even approaching a mudlark so maybe she might not run in either? I do like her though as horse and
am certain has come back well. Just one last word on the wet – because that is the crucial point – she hasn’t hated it per se and being a Pierro, she has every right to at least get through it. One horse that we knows gets through it is 6. THE IRON MAIDEN (67) from up at Wyong. Consider this folks – she has lost 55 times out of 60 runs on good but is 7s 3-1-2 on heavy. Backing up from a huge run at Warwick Farm last Wednesday a heavy 10. What
marvel she is too, 94th start coming up tomorrow and she’s won 10 and placed 23. 2. SAVACOOL (76) was terrific first-up at Rosehill when she got too far back but finished just one and a half lengths off Tip Top
company. She came here on Oct 1 ran one and a quarter length second to Invictus Domina in a race where the proven wet tracker 1. FEELIN THE LOVE (76) ran third. Hats off to Greg McFarlane and his mare 3. OUR WINNIE (73), she is aiming for her sixth straight win – the previous five are all at different tracks; the last one Newcastle where he beat The Iron Maiden – but shouldn’t have IMO.
WALLER and Snitzel combine (again) here via the three-year-old gelding 9. ORCEIN (65) who has The Autumn Sun from last prep. Sure he was beaten four and a half lengths that day but The Autumn Sun won a Group 1 by that margin on the weekend. Fast forward to recent times and Orcein has really hit his straps fast into this new campaign. There was a fair degree of authority in the way he won at the Farm second-up. Snitzel/Zabeel mare – should handle the slop. 1. NICOCHET (69) is a Nicconi gelding from the Jason Coyle yard. The dam is Tangerine, daughter of Encosta De Lago and look at the race name – the ATC Farewells Encosta
Handicap (1550m) – now there’s an omen tip for punters. This fellow is 12s 3-1-4 and one of those wins was on a heavy track. Ran a fantastic fourth beaten two lengths by Signore Fox et al in a 1400m Oct 1 here. Rather and underrated horse – I just wonder how he copes with the 60.5kg on the slop? 2. SKY BOY (68) was a half length in front of Nicochet at finish of the Signore Fox race here two weeks back. That was Sky Boy’s second-up run and believe me when I say, he is crying out for 1550m. He is quite a talented racehorse. Ran fourth to Kaonic and Luvluava one day and was third in a Listed race at Flemington on Oaks day too.
JEFF Penza is the story here. He is one of the big reasons why 11. DOLLY’S DUE (60) can win tomorrow. Penza has ridden her at 13 of her 21 starts. The mare has won five times, on at all of them. She’s placed eight times, Penza on at of those. He rode the Nowra-based daughter of Duporth when she ran a huge race behind Deity at WarwickFarm last start on Oct 3. Can’t see any issues with her in the wet. Little note for the breeding buffs – Dolly’s Due’s third dam is Sudden, dam of Burst. 10. KATHAIRE (61) has been an eye-catcher in her last two runs at Hawkesbury over the 1100m. She’s been off speed, extricated midstretch and finished off hard enough each time. That would suggest that the 1300m might be in her favour tomorrow. Soft track numbers are very good, unknown on heavy, but have to give her the benefit of the doubt until proven otherwise. Speaking of jockey who like / suit horses – Chad Lever knows Kathaire inside and out. Heaps of chances in the race, I just went looking for some value but that’s not to delegitimise
prospects of some of the more fancied types from the powerhouse stables namely 8. HIGH LOW BET (62) and 4. NAI’A (66). If it was dry, 2. NO INTEREST (71) would have been close to a good thing but the wet?
I might regret this but I am going to take on Girl Tuesday ONLY IF IT IS A FULL FIELD OF 11. If there are scratchings, all bets are off. I am looking at the field as it stands on Monday morning noon time. Anyway for what it is worth, my logic is that even though Girl Tuesday has been smashing her rivals in those three straight wins, I have doubts on the quality of the races, unlike what 7. KEEP UP (67) has been going around in since Clare Cunningham took control of the ex-Kiwi. He’s been very well managed by her and re that ‘0’ from last start when he was favourite, Cunningham pointed out (rightfully) that the jockey should have got going a bit earlier and left it too late with too much to do. You watch Jason Collett pull off a beauty here! This is his type of horse to ride. 11. LADY EVELYN (64) beat Scratches at Rosehill two runs back then went to Port Mac and was a distant third in the Cup bearing in mind she was a distant seventh at the 400m. Jason Deamer has had her ticking over nicely this whole campaign – she’s run a creditable race to varying degrees at just about every run. I am not silly enough to leave 2. GIRL TUESDAY (76) out completely. She’s won by big margins at all three runs but like I was saying, for the price she is compared to the price I think Keep Up will be, I’ll have having my little fiver on Cunningham gelding.
‘LOVING horses’ is a fast way to the poor house when they don’t win much but you won’t hear of dumping them no matter. Enter 11. THY KINGDOM COME (69) who is just the most impressive looker you would see. His action is so fluent – early days I was thinking Group horse. The day he won his maiden by six lengths at Kembla Grange, you’d be agreeing! The long story short is that he resumes here tomorrow with two trials, both quite acceptable, and racing at the 1300m which is not too far nor too short. The wet? No idea. James Cummings could trifecta this race with his trio (ranked only by me) 4. SCHUBERT (750, 8. DEITY (74) and 9. Kementari’s three-quarter-brother REGENT (70). My first thoughts among the three were for Schubert who had no luck when a length fifth of eight behind Catesby in that handy little Bm76 at Warwick Farm on Oct 3. Schubert has trialled well beforehand and he good numbers at the trip on slow. One has to acknowledge the presence of 1. CONARCHIE (79) who together with the aforementioned The Iron Maiden is quite possibly the best ‘muddie’ on the whole card tomorrow.
WHEN making your lists of ‘certainty beaten’ at the end the season, make sure you don’t forget 2. AND SO IT GOES (73). Dear oh dear oh dear. Disaster from start to finish. Should have won. Not having a crack at J-Mac because he’s
freak, but Corey Brown is back on tomorrow as you would expect, he rides heaps for Garry White but was unavailable the Oct 1 ride on the mare. As much as I think she’ll win this time, I have at least five others than wish was rich enough to back namely 8. EXCELLENT DESIGN (71) who has drawn barrier 3 and has Hugh Bowman riding,
5. REGIMEN (73) trialled super, 11. SEE THE SHOW (68) who is a talent and even 9. FOX SWIFT (71) who is first run for John O’Shea. O’Shea flying at the moment and this mare is a stakeswinner who handles the soft. She is the market watch of day IMO. I am sure she’s going to run a race but at the end the – all roads to lead to And So It Goes with even luck.
Trainer Chris Waller (left) and jockey Hugh Bowman react after Winx won the Turnbull Stakes.