Maid looks to clean up
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4. All horses considered starters unless notified by Monday at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rating.
3. DESIGNER MAID (57)
looks in every way a good thing and thus I am expecting things price. would be surprised if she is black odds. Just before I mention her form, the interesting aspect to this filly is that Kris Lees’ mother and father raced the dam, his dad Max trained dams’ sire, Snippets, so it would mean a lot to Kris no doubt that this filly keeps winning for the Lees name. She won on debut by 5.4-lens at Taree then was 14.5-lens last of 11 Warwick Fark on Jul. 18 before being spelled. Trial was great — should just win. 1. PAMPLEMOUSSE (64) ran in a solid Bm64 at this t/d first-up and was a fading 4.2-lens 6 of 8 behind Natalia who is handy enough. Can beat the others but doubt he could Designer Maid. 2. ROUGE RUNNER (60) was 2nd in the same trial that Designer Maid was 3rd in recently. This 5YO from the Brett Partelle camp is a 900m winner at Cessnock. These races were going to be at Cessnock but we switched to Newcastle which hurts him most if would seem.
RACE 2 5. PRINCESS LOTTIE (71) is a very fast mare. She has won 4 races, one at 900m, 3 at 1000m. She went down by a bare margin at Wyong in a Bm70 over the 1000m on Sep. 23 then went back to the trials and won her 800m heat at Gosford 14-days ago. Drawn 1 has the featherweight of 52kg. She’ll be flying the whole way — just up to the others to catch her. 1. PROFESSOR MARX (79) has always been quite a handy type. You may recall he ran 4th in the Inglis 2YO Challenge beaten 1.9-lens and returned 12 months later to finish 6 of 9 in the Inglis Guineas. Fast forward to more recent times and Rod Northam trained gelding was a ripper 3rd in the Bowman Sprint at Muswellbrook over 900m. Goes better first-up than second-up but this is a nice race for him and he’s got Robert Thompson up again bearing in mind his record on the horse is 6 rides for a win, 4 seconds and a third. 4. MISS FAITH (77) won three in row during the last campaign; 900m is short of her best but she is a player.
RACE 3 KRIS Lees has all the aces to play here with three runners who look the top chances to me and I think I have nailed them down as either 4. BRAZENBROOK (N/R) and/or 2. BEDIVERE (N/R). Pretty sure it’s one of them who wins. The two horses come out the same race at Muswellbrook from Nov. 6. Brazenbrook was 7th, Bedivere was 8th with about 0.6-lens between them. They were quite similar runs really but I marked Brazenbrook ‘up’ on the score that she ran equally well at Cessnock before Muswellbrook giving her the extra race start experience on her stablemate. Like I say, there won’t be much between them at the end, I suspect the quinella is ‘the bet’ in
race. Lees’ other runner, 1. CROWD SURFER (N/R) is the potential leader in the race. He led at Muswellbrook last start but folded up rather quickly, way too quickly for a horse that opened at $1.85. I just can’t see any of the others having the form to deny Lees the 1-2-3 here.
RACE 4 3. LEGION OF BOOM (58) was way over the odds at $3 in that 1100m maiden home Scone on Oct. 26. Why? Apart from the home ground advantage and that he had Bucko on for Brett Cavanough, this son of Duporth had run 3.2-lens 3rd at Newcastle to Shadow Bridge on debut and we know that Mark Newnham has a fair opinion of the winner — so the form was always going to win a Scone maiden, and it did. Sure, Legion of Boom, only won by 0.14-lens but there was more authority and merit in the win than the margin would suggest. He’s on up this fellow. 4. MORE CHILLI (58) is another of the Kris Lees brigade in action at home this afternoon. Another Australian Bloodstock string as it happens. This son of Sizzling was 2nd to the now unbeaten Kedah (stablemate) on debut at Muswellbrook then won by a narrow margin at Scone after that on Jul. 23. Trials have been bit hard to read but he does look ‘set’ for this race. 5. JAMAICAN DREAM (57) has won just 1 from 7 but he’s been runner-up 4 times and is trained here by Paul Perry. The tip here is to watch the flucs on Legion Of Boom, if smarties are on him then that means he has improved (like I think would have) from the Scone win.
RACE 5 CLARE Cunningham is in for a big day at Newcastle tomorrow. Not only will she (hopefully) go back-to-back but the second winner, if it comes, is in Cessnock Cup. See below. First things first however, Cunningham saddles up 9. ELKANO (59) here. I thought the horse was a good thing in both of those two runs at Nowra and he went down each time by about 4-lens. The third run of the campaign was by far his best — he was 0.3lens of winning 1600m C1 at Hawkesbury last start and basically in front a stride after the line. If this was Cessnock, I’d be a bit worried but the races going to Newcastle is a huge boost
Elkano’s prospects. 3. KULNURA (65) has win strike rate 1:3 which is not too shabby. He has also placed twice so out of nine starts in total, that’s a solid recommendation for gamble here. 6. HERMOSA REWARD (66) is another of the Lees runners. She is 11s 3-1-2 overall and 3s 1-0-2 at the trip. Trained on the track, drawn well, nothing to knock.
RACE 6 CLARE Cunningham has done a great job with 1. KEEP UP (81) since he came over from New Zealand to her Warwick Farm stables. I remember one day at Warwick Farm he looked as though he was going to win until High Bridge came onto the scene. Don’t forget though,
bridge finished 4th in the The Metrop immediately after that win. Keep Up broke through for a well-earned first win for Cunningham when taking out
Stayers C4 race over 2100m at Hawkesbury on Nov. 8. This race has come along at exactly the right time for Keep Up. Right track, trip, right everything. 2. DYLAN’S ROMANCE (79) who was bred and is part owned by his trainer Marc Conners would have maybe been a better chance around Cessnock given his on-pace/leader pattern. The son of Arc winner Dylan Thomas was nabbed in the final few strides the Queanbeyan Cup last start. Will he run 2300m around Newcastle? Depends of the pressure I guess. 5. LOVE NONE (68) has won 4 races, all of them at Muswellbrook over 1300m as it happens. Well, this is 2300m Newcastle tomorrow but she’s a good, honest mare who ran 1750m last start like a horse looking for more ground.
7. ROSA CATERINA (N/R)
was scratched from a race at Dubbo today that I made her best bet in before saw come out. She is a Brett Cavanough trained daughter of Skilled who has placed at 2 her only 5 starts. She is first-up here over 1200m with no trial that I can find but rest assured Cavanough would her right up the mark given the race carries a $40,000 purse. 4. NICK THE SKIP (N/R) has finished 2nd at 4 of her 6 starts. Indeed, she has been runner-up at all three runs this campaign, two of them by pretty small margins. Horses like either just keep on running second or they eventually break through — time will tell on which category this Rodney Northern/Robert Thompson horse falls into. 5. LET ME GUESS (N/R) has a terrible drew for a horses who leads. That said, she is just too darn consistent to leave out of the placings.
RACE 8 CAN’T believe I am tipping a horse on top who has lost 45 times in 48 starts but I have been
4. TOAST (52) — no pun intended for most runs this campaign. Why, I hear you ask? He is one of those horses that who has ‘next time’ written all over him when he runs such is hi semi-powerful finish. So far, those next times are few and far between but I am with him again tomorrow in what looks a very suitable and rather skinny race. 1. COSMIC REIGN (67) has won 2 of his last 3 which of course stands in stark contrast to Toast’s rather depleted strike rate. On top of that, Cosmic Reign has the top benchmark rating of all in race and Ben Looker is always a plus. 2. SUGAR DANCE (66) has wide draw which makes the task of placing her in where she likes to be — first four — might be a real challenge early on. Hard to know for sure but outside of the alley situation, Sugar Dance has more than adequate form to run one, two or three here.
Kris Lees and Clare Cunningham both look set for a big day at Newcastle tomorrow.