Maid looks to clean up

The Sportsman Midweek - - Newcastle Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE

3. DE­SIGNER MAID (57)

looks in ev­ery way a good thing and thus I am ex­pect­ing things price. would be sur­prised if she is black odds. Just be­fore I men­tion her form, the in­ter­est­ing as­pect to this filly is that Kris Lees’ mother and fa­ther raced the dam, his dad Max trained dams’ sire, Snip­pets, so it would mean a lot to Kris no doubt that this filly keeps win­ning for the Lees name. She won on de­but by 5.4-lens at Ta­ree then was 14.5-lens last of 11 War­wick Fark on Jul. 18 be­fore be­ing spelled. Trial was great — should just win. 1. PAM­PLE­MOUSSE (64) ran in a solid Bm64 at this t/d first-up and was a fad­ing 4.2-lens 6 of 8 be­hind Natalia who is handy enough. Can beat the oth­ers but doubt he could De­signer Maid. 2. ROUGE RUN­NER (60) was 2nd in the same trial that De­signer Maid was 3rd in re­cently. This 5YO from the Brett Partelle camp is a 900m win­ner at Cess­nock. These races were go­ing to be at Cess­nock but we switched to New­cas­tle which hurts him most if would seem.

RACE 2 5. PRINCESS LOT­TIE (71) is a very fast mare. She has won 4 races, one at 900m, 3 at 1000m. She went down by a bare mar­gin at Wy­ong in a Bm70 over the 1000m on Sep. 23 then went back to the tri­als and won her 800m heat at Gos­ford 14-days ago. Drawn 1 has the feath­er­weight of 52kg. She’ll be fly­ing the whole way — just up to the oth­ers to catch her. 1. PRO­FES­SOR MARX (79) has al­ways been quite a handy type. You may re­call he ran 4th in the Inglis 2YO Chal­lenge beaten 1.9-lens and re­turned 12 months later to fin­ish 6 of 9 in the Inglis Guineas. Fast for­ward to more re­cent times and Rod Northam trained geld­ing was a ripper 3rd in the Bow­man Sprint at Muswell­brook over 900m. Goes bet­ter first-up than sec­ond-up but this is a nice race for him and he’s got Robert Thomp­son up again bear­ing in mind his record on the horse is 6 rides for a win, 4 sec­onds and a third. 4. MISS FAITH (77) won three in row dur­ing the last cam­paign; 900m is short of her best but she is a player.

RACE 3 KRIS Lees has all the aces to play here with three run­ners who look the top chances to me and I think I have nailed them down as ei­ther 4. BRAZENBROOK (N/R) and/or 2. BEDIVERE (N/R). Pretty sure it’s one of them who wins. The two horses come out the same race at Muswell­brook from Nov. 6. Brazenbrook was 7th, Bedivere was 8th with about 0.6-lens be­tween them. They were quite sim­i­lar runs re­ally but I marked Brazenbrook ‘up’ on the score that she ran equally well at Cess­nock be­fore Muswell­brook giv­ing her the ex­tra race start ex­pe­ri­ence on her sta­ble­mate. Like I say, there won’t be much be­tween them at the end, I sus­pect the quinella is ‘the bet’ in

race. Lees’ other run­ner, 1. CROWD SURFER (N/R) is the po­ten­tial leader in the race. He led at Muswell­brook last start but folded up rather quickly, way too quickly for a horse that opened at $1.85. I just can’t see any of the oth­ers hav­ing the form to deny Lees the 1-2-3 here.

RACE 4 3. LE­GION OF BOOM (58) was way over the odds at $3 in that 1100m maiden home Scone on Oct. 26. Why? Apart from the home ground ad­van­tage and that he had Bucko on for Brett Ca­vanough, this son of Du­porth had run 3.2-lens 3rd at New­cas­tle to Shadow Bridge on de­but and we know that Mark Newn­ham has a fair opin­ion of the win­ner — so the form was al­ways go­ing to win a Scone maiden, and it did. Sure, Le­gion of Boom, only won by 0.14-lens but there was more author­ity and merit in the win than the mar­gin would sug­gest. He’s on up this fel­low. 4. MORE CHILLI (58) is an­other of the Kris Lees brigade in ac­tion at home this af­ter­noon. An­other Aus­tralian Blood­stock string as it hap­pens. This son of Siz­zling was 2nd to the now un­beaten Kedah (sta­ble­mate) on de­but at Muswell­brook then won by a nar­row mar­gin at Scone af­ter that on Jul. 23. Tri­als have been bit hard to read but he does look ‘set’ for this race. 5. JA­MAICAN DREAM (57) has won just 1 from 7 but he’s been run­ner-up 4 times and is trained here by Paul Perry. The tip here is to watch the flucs on Le­gion Of Boom, if smar­ties are on him then that means he has im­proved (like I think would have) from the Scone win.

RACE 5 CLARE Cun­ning­ham is in for a big day at New­cas­tle to­mor­row. Not only will she (hope­fully) go back-to-back but the sec­ond win­ner, if it comes, is in Cess­nock Cup. See be­low. First things first how­ever, Cun­ning­ham sad­dles up 9. ELKANO (59) here. I thought the horse was a good thing in both of those two runs at Nowra and he went down each time by about 4-lens. The third run of the cam­paign was by far his best — he was 0.3lens of win­ning 1600m C1 at Hawkes­bury last start and ba­si­cally in front a stride af­ter the line. If this was Cess­nock, I’d be a bit wor­ried but the races go­ing to New­cas­tle is a huge boost

Elkano’s prospects. 3. KULNURA (65) has win strike rate 1:3 which is not too shabby. He has also placed twice so out of nine starts in to­tal, that’s a solid rec­om­men­da­tion for gam­ble here. 6. HER­MOSA RE­WARD (66) is an­other of the Lees run­ners. She is 11s 3-1-2 over­all and 3s 1-0-2 at the trip. Trained on the track, drawn well, noth­ing to knock.

RACE 6 CLARE Cun­ning­ham has done a great job with 1. KEEP UP (81) since he came over from New Zealand to her War­wick Farm sta­bles. I re­mem­ber one day at War­wick Farm he looked as though he was go­ing to win un­til High Bridge came onto the scene. Don’t for­get though,

bridge fin­ished 4th in the The Metrop im­me­di­ately af­ter that win. Keep Up broke through for a well-earned first win for Cun­ning­ham when tak­ing out

Stay­ers C4 race over 2100m at Hawkes­bury on Nov. 8. This race has come along at ex­actly the right time for Keep Up. Right track, trip, right ev­ery­thing. 2. DY­LAN’S RO­MANCE (79) who was bred and is part owned by his trainer Marc Con­ners would have maybe been a bet­ter chance around Cess­nock given his on-pace/leader pat­tern. The son of Arc win­ner Dy­lan Thomas was nabbed in the fi­nal few strides the Quean­beyan Cup last start. Will he run 2300m around New­cas­tle? De­pends of the pres­sure I guess. 5. LOVE NONE (68) has won 4 races, all of them at Muswell­brook over 1300m as it hap­pens. Well, this is 2300m New­cas­tle to­mor­row but she’s a good, hon­est mare who ran 1750m last start like a horse look­ing for more ground.

RACE 7

7. ROSA CA­TE­RINA (N/R)

was scratched from a race at Dubbo to­day that I made her best bet in be­fore saw come out. She is a Brett Ca­vanough trained daugh­ter of Skilled who has placed at 2 her only 5 starts. She is first-up here over 1200m with no trial that I can find but rest as­sured Ca­vanough would her right up the mark given the race car­ries a $40,000 purse. 4. NICK THE SKIP (N/R) has fin­ished 2nd at 4 of her 6 starts. In­deed, she has been run­ner-up at all three runs this cam­paign, two of them by pretty small mar­gins. Horses like ei­ther just keep on run­ning sec­ond or they even­tu­ally break through — time will tell on which cat­e­gory this Rod­ney North­ern/Robert Thomp­son horse falls into. 5. LET ME GUESS (N/R) has a ter­ri­ble drew for a horses who leads. That said, she is just too darn con­sis­tent to leave out of the plac­ings.

RACE 8 CAN’T be­lieve I am tip­ping a horse on top who has lost 45 times in 48 starts but I have been

4. TOAST (52) — no pun in­tended for most runs this cam­paign. Why, I hear you ask? He is one of those horses that who has ‘next time’ writ­ten all over him when he runs such is hi semi-pow­er­ful fin­ish. So far, those next times are few and far be­tween but I am with him again to­mor­row in what looks a very suitable and rather skinny race. 1. COS­MIC REIGN (67) has won 2 of his last 3 which of course stands in stark con­trast to Toast’s rather de­pleted strike rate. On top of that, Cos­mic Reign has the top bench­mark rat­ing of all in race and Ben Looker is al­ways a plus. 2. SUGAR DANCE (66) has wide draw which makes the task of plac­ing her in where she likes to be — first four — might be a real chal­lenge early on. Hard to know for sure but out­side of the al­ley sit­u­a­tion, Sugar Dance has more than ad­e­quate form to run one, two or three here.

Kris Lees and Clare Cun­ning­ham both look set for a big day at New­cas­tle to­mor­row.

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