Debu­tant’s a Smart pick

The Sportsman Midweek - - News -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 3. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Mon­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing. RACE

5. PROUD TRA­DI­TION (N/R) is a Gooree owned and bred geld­ing, a son of Magic Night placeget­ter Ma­jor Con­quest and a grand­son dual G3 win­ner Gam­ble Me. This Medaglia D’oro 3YO sent out some pos­i­tive signs on de­but when a 2.2-lens 4th of 10 in a 1400m maiden on the Kens­ing­ton track on Jan 1. You would ex­pect nat­u­ral im­prove­ment on his side and the blink­ers go first time. 2. BELLADEEL (N/R) is a Dun­deel colt from the Waller camp who is bred to be run­ning mile-2400m eas­ily one day but he lacks noth­ing for pace and speed and you’d think that he’d be able to take full ad­van­tage of bar­rier 1 to­mor­row. Was $2.60 into $2.25 on de­but and was swamped late but the SP a di­rect re­sult of his tri­als. Chris Waller trains two Jakkalberry 3YO’s in to­mor­row, 3. KING OF SEAS (N/R) here and Botti in the last. It’s prob­a­ble that this horse will need the run be do­ing his best work late, etc etc, etc but it’s also pos­si­ble that he runs home over the top of them. He’s been beaten 30-lens in his two tri­als but he’s way, way bet­ter than that. I give him a win­ning chance my­self.

RACE 2

BEEN wait­ing for 4. SMART DE­CI­SION (N/R) ages now. The filly was to have de­buted at Wy­ong a few weeks back but was scratched only be­cause of the ex­tremely wide bar­rier. Then she was set to race at Kem­bla on Satur­day but the meet­ing got washed out. I am not wor­ried that she has to de­but in town in­stead of the provin­cials be­cause was al­ways com­ing here to city very soon, she’s too good for Kem­bla and Wy­ong! Ev­ery­thing she has done up un­til now has been fan­tas­tic. She’s a well bred horse that was pre­sum­ably raised at Wid­den (which is head­starts in life) and trained by John O’Shea which an­other ad­van­tage in life. Go well. 7. SAVIGNE (N/R) is the Ocean Park half sis­ter to Ker­madec, this one owned in the same in­ter­ests and also trained by Chris Waller. She was a good thing IMO first start at New­cas­tle but just got too far back in a race where the leader got a pic­nic with truf­fles and free cham­pagne. They ran home in 33.48s, over­all (slow) 1.24.97s so what more could Savigne do!? A cou­ple here at odds in 12. NIJINKSA (N/R) who didn’t have much luck last start and 5. DAME MAR­GOT (N/R) is bred to be any­thing (Fast­net – Sadler’s Wells mare) and is way bet­ter than the de­but would have us be­lieve.

RACE 3

7. SE­POY ACHEVA (63) has been scratched twice now in re­cent times I think from mem­ory but I am just guess­ing that Chris Waller thought that this might be the best race for her and I am sure she is right be­cause with no dis­re­spect in­tended, it’s barely mid­week stan­dard (mi­nus maybe one or two ex­cep­tions), more like provin­cial grade. If you go along with that, then have to mark Se­poy Acheva on top given that she has strong-ish mid­week form and run quite well on a Satur­day or two. James McDon­ald rides the mare and the trial was enough for me to sug­gest she’s in good nick. 9. LADY EL­IZ­ABETH (58) is way, way bet­ter than a 58 rater. She has only won 2 from 15 but a lot of that is pat­tern / luck re­lated. We know when she gets good speed and a clear run at them that she is of­ten the one with the best clos­ing sec­tion­als. I say it all time – Ja­son Col­lett is back­marker rider in the land and surely Egyp­tian Sym­bol proved that at the Gold Coast! My point is, any worry about bar­rier 1 dis­ap­pears when Col­lett rides. The iron­i­cally named 8. LUCKY LOUIE (61) should be a Gim­crack win­ner but for some bad luck. She would have been worth so much more to the Kelly’s had she won that day but that’s rac­ing I guess. Fats for­ward to more re­cent times and the daugh­ter of Pluck is ‘21324’ in her five runs since she switched to Joe Pride. The horses around her, at her last two are quite good – Nicci’s Gold for one. Bear in mind, Lady El­iz­abeth fin­ished front of her by 0.2-lens at Hawkes­bury when they met on Dec. 16.

RACE 4

DAVID Pfi­ef­fer is hav­ing a good trot at the mo­ment and I imag­ine that un­less I am for­get­ting one, this is trainer’s most ex­cit­ing and promis­ing horse – 8.

PROPHET’S THUMB (66) who could end be­ing an­other I Am Ex­cited or bet­ter. This In­vin­ci­ble filly has won twice (fresh both times) and the only un­placed run was her 6 of 8 in the Listed Her­itage but you’re a hard marker if you don’t for­give for that one. How she was $1.70 and not $1.28 when re­sumes at Gos­ford in any­one’s guess – any­way, she won and won like the good filly is. This isn’t a fait ac­com­pli like last start but bar­rier 2, home track, Corey Brown – tick, tick. boom. Prob­a­bly the most in­ter­est­ing run­ner all day is 4. NOVIERO (66). Ex Water­house/Bott this stun­ning son of Pierro is with Matthew Dale and we know his re­cu­per­a­tive pow­ers when it comes to horses with is­sues. We can only as­sume Noviero’s had a few given those long breaks. Nice trial the other day, qual­ity horse but he may have struck a filly that is Group class? Time will tell. 5. MAMARAIS (68) is big im­prover form the first-up run at Can­ter­bury on Jan 4. It was a sit and sprint – the win­ner ab­so­lutely ut­terly dic­tates and frankly noth­ing be­hind had any chance. The 1200m suits he did once run a close 2nd to Sand­bar, from mem­ory, he should have beaten him that evening.

RACE 5

GARRY White was the punter’s pal at Welling­ton on Sun­day, he took two out there – both short­ies and both won. He does place them well. In­ter­est­ing to see that White has two of his string in this race at the top the

weights namely 1. AND SO IT GOES (72) and 2. MIL­I­TARY

ACADEMY (67). You hear train­ers say it all the time that it’s not ideal to race sta­ble­mates against each other but when it’s the per­fect for each horse, then you have to do it. I hope I don’t look silly and go wrong the way but I had And So It Goes on top of Mil­i­tary Academy. The top­pie rates 72 com­pared to the oth­ers 67 which firstly says a bit about And So It Goes bright chances and also that she (the top­pie) has su­pe­rior form to her sta­ble­mate at this point. And So It Goes a few gear changes. I will add that she goes well fresh and this is her trip. Re­gard­ing the weight,

should have won first-up on the Kens­ing­ton track with 60.5kgs last cam­paign. If any­thing may split the White team at the fin­ish, I feel that it is ei­ther long­shot 12. VELACANO (54) or 4. ROYAL WIT­NESS (67) who won first time out for new trainer Joe Pride. How of­ten do we say that!? Lots. Just on Velacano, she is a strik­ing black mare by All Amer­i­can but lots of her damisre Lonhro about her. Her only win in 14 starts was first-up one day at mas­sive odds and I have seen her trial quite well in the past and the fact that she hasn’t tri­alled be­fore this I see a very, very big pos­i­tive. She could be blow out on the day.

RACE 6

4. MY SONG (67) was my ‘Best Bet’ on New Year’s Day on the Kens­ing­ton Track and I feel­ing pretty chuffed at the 200m, geez he was trav­el­ling had been left alone. Two strides later, he’s gaaaaawne. It changed that quickly which is a big, big worry but I like that Glyn Schofield is stick­ing with him and I also fancy him go­ing to 1400m at WF but only if he can get a cheap run. I am sure is bet­ter than Jan 1, goes poorly again to­mor­row though, it’s back to the provin­cials for him. I also tipped 3. CARLUCA (67) on top when he re­sumes on the Kens­ing­ton Track Dec. 21. Carluca was $31/$41/$51 back into $41. He was run­ning into quite nicely at stages but his con­di­tion gave out a lit­tle late and so we have to ig­nore the 7.4-lens mar­gin be­cause win­ner bolted in and had a huge break on the field the whole way. take note that Carluca is now 8s 0-0-1 first-up but is 7s 2-1-0 sec­ond-up. He has placed 3 from 6 at the t/d and 5 from 10 here home. Five of his 6 wins are at this trip. I freely ac­knowl­edge now that went off a run too soon! Has been known to hap­pen. 1. COR­MAC (72) is the only horse whose rat­ing be­gins with a ‘7’ and that has to count for some­thing. Tri­alling well and he loves the Farm. 9. PLAYARD (63) needed room ear­lier at Can­ter­bury and he might have been right in the fin­ish photo. If forced to de­clare a bet, I would be small My Song, small Carluca each-way.

RACE 7

THE afore­men­tioned 9. BOTTI (66) was most peo­ple’s horse to fol­low when he ran 4-lens 3rd Ljung­berg who would bolted in the Magic Mil­lions 3YO Guineas I reckon had he went up there. Never mind. That was Botti’s first run for Chris Waller tak­ing over from Mur­ray Baker who trained the horse’s half brother Lion Tamer who won the VRC Derby but about 6-lens. From what I gather, Botti is be­ing looked at for the NZ Derby then come back to Syd­ney for our Blue Riband. If I owned him, I would make sure to put some cash aside to pay for the Caulfield and Mel­bourne Cup nom­i­na­tion fees. Not say­ing he’s gunna win any of these races but I bet you he makes the field in two or three them! The mile at WF is a lot more suit­ably than a 1400m on the Kens­ing­ton against Ljun­berg. 3. CY­BER IN­TER­VEN­TION (650 could eas­ily give Joe Pride an­other last race win­ner. I reckon he does that more at WF than any­where else too. Any­way, as for this horse, he was bril­liantly rid­den by Ja­son Col­let to win at Rand­wick on Box­ing Day. He was go­ing to win that mile Bm70 from the 800m. Col­lett just lined him up down the mid­dle and pushed but­ton at the right time. The horse did

rest. One word – pro­gres­sive. Quite a few other chances in the last not least the Al­bury vis­i­tor 13. FOOTMARK (60) who has run some good races when he makes that long trip to Syd­ney from Al­bury. Last start win­ner at home over the mile which is his pet trip.

Corey Brown.

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