Speedy Property to salute
Prepared to go with the value in 4. JUSTICE GLORY. Given a break after a slightly disappointing fifth to Watchmespin here last month. Probably settled a little closer than she needed to and the effort told in the run home. Super impressive winning firstup at Sandown before that and has a win over Leather’n’lace to her credit back in February. Will settle midfield and bound be running on strongly. Frightened of 10. SWORN EVIDENCE, who I think is well above average. Dashed clear late to easily beat Pinot at Geelong last month and that horse has certainly franked the form. Back in distance last start didn’t help but found the line with gusto at Ararat. Kept fresh and she’ll be in the finish.
3. COUNTERPLAY was threewide most of the trip when a fighting second to Invincible Star here last week and bound to be in the finish again. 6. OUR CROWN WITNESS demolished her rivals at Geelong last start but this is a bit harder. Still, she’ll make own luck in front and has to be included.
Going to gamble on the untapped potential of 5. OCTABELLO here. Didn’t get clear until the 300m mark and then made up many lengths to nab Black Sail on the line at Flemington last month. That horse then franked
form with a solid second at Caulfield on Wednesday and fourth placegetter Snitzepeg then came out and won at Flemington. Clocked a fast 11.55s for the last 200m, better than Spanner Head did in winning over same trip later that day. The set weights of this race suit him as he drops 4.5kg. Smallish field will allow him to settle midfield and then unleash in the straight. Big threat. 2. BEAU GESTE comes down from Sydney with Group form to his credit. Fought on well behind Viridine at Randwick after being wide most of the way in the small field. Looks ideally suited up to 1400m here. 3. ECLAIR SUNSHINE has had little luck of late and this grade appeals. Just nabbed by Royal Symphony two runs back and then not disgraced behind Perast here. Given three weeks off rates highly. 10. WOULDA THOUGHT SO is another interesting runner. Big win at Ballarat last time when charging home late. Could surprise
No surprises here. Most people will have Nieta (Race 10) as their anchor bet in the quaddie. And for good reason. She wasn’t far off the very smart In Her Time at Randwick three weeks ago but she was third twice to Redzel before that. Pretty good form for a race of this type. She’ll be short but bound to be running home powerfully.
Reckon bookies will want to take on the Caulfield Cup favourite Johannes Vermeer (Race 8). Sure he was in this tougher grade. 8. LORD SUNDOWNER (jn top form) and 6. ALMIGHTY (on-pace runner) are other chances.
1. ONE MORE HONEY simply has better credentials than her rivals. Drops back to G3 grade after a fighting fourth Alizee in the G1 Flight Stakes at Randwick. Three starts back she was beaten less than three lengths behind Formality. Right at her top after three runs this time in, drawn perfectly to get the gun run just off the pace and no qualms about her handling trip. 5. HIYAAM got all the favours along the fence to beat all but Bring Me Roses at Flemington a fortnight ago but it was a performance full of merit. Bred to relish the extra trip here and will go close. Watch for 12. TEODORA run a big race. She was very green but won with plenty of authority at Bendigo 10 days ago. Her last 100m when she really let rip was highly impressive. This obviously harder but worth including. 6. PINOT was heavily backed to win easily at Flemington last start. Drawn terribly but very promising and worth following.
1. TANGLED chased and chased and chased to only just miss catching Ace High in the G1 Spring Champion at Randwick a fortnight ago. Great effort to fight on strongly in what was pretty much a sprint home. That run has him right at his top now and ideally suited the set weights scale. Will get a nice even run off this speed and charge home late. Big danger. Impossible not to like the effort of 4. MAIN STAGE to win at Flemington two weeks ago. In an impossible spot to the turn but then unleashed an amazing sprint to win running away. Doesn’t have settle that far back and can envisage him sitting just behind the speed from his inside draw. Hard to stop. 7. TAVISTOCK ABBEY beat Main Stage at Flemington last month in a gutsy display and had the benefit of a recent Cranbourne trial to sharpen him for this. 5. ATARAXIA comes down from Sydney after a strong win at Randwick and should handle the extra distance here.
Going to give 5. SPECTROSCOPE one more chance here. He was far from disgraced last outstanding chasing home Gailo Chop in the G1 Caulfield Stakes last week
a race where it was hard to make ground. But that only his first start here, he has to reproduce within seven days, he’s only ever had one try at this distance when second in a field of six in Ireland, has never raced big field like this before and will need an awful amount of luck to get clear from his inside draw. Prepared to take him on.
AT THE TRIALS
As mentioned in the preview, Property (Race 7) has had benefit of a really solid trial effort at Cranbourne on October 9. Had to contend with a track start when 5th to Classic Uniform at Randwick three weeks ago
not helped by the sit and sprint affair. Reckon he’s looking for the 2000m and was twice Group placed over this trip in France last year. Drawn to get all the favours in the run and will just need an ounce luck to show his best. 1. ASSIGN is ready to his best after two runs from a spell. Will appreciate dropping back to this grade after chasing home Winx last start. Will make his own luck up or near the speed and take running down. 8. SAMOVARE was forced to lead last start no disgrace see her wilt in the run home behind Bonneval G12 Underwood here three weeks ago. Still, she was only beaten 3 lens and this is infinitely easier. Only question mark is the bad barrier. 11. WHEAL LEISURE is facing a class rise but looked good beating Caulfield Cup hope Hardham last start. And the stable is flying at the moment.
Reckon 10. ECKSTEIN is the value here in a tough race. Great effort last start when a closing seventh to Now Or Later in G2 grade at Flemington two weeks ago. Got shuffled back and lost momentum half way down the straight and then hit the line strongly when finally clear and only beaten just over two lengths. Faced the males here but should be able to stay out of trouble from widish draw, settle back in the field and then charge home straight. Top contender.
6. GRAND ROSSO loves this track and distance. Impressive beating Chocolate Holic here then battled on well behind Santa Ana Lane in the Sir Rupert Clarke here. Back grade and drawn to get the run of race.
2. BURNING FRONT is ready to hit his straps after two runs from a break and he’s unbeaten in four tries at this track. Would have preferred 1600m but will still give a shake. 4. TASHBEEH didn’t have much luck behind Pure Pride at Flemington two weeks ago but it was a glimpse of his best form and worth some thought in this company.
I’ve got a lot of time for the talented three-year-old 10. PROPERTY. He was only a couple of lengths off Catchy twice as a twoyear-old, including the Blue Diamond, and did beat Pariah here
rated as Soft 6 but still rounded off the trial in 46.47s for the 800m, pretty slick going. It took Catchy to beat him at his only other first-up effort and don’t forget he holds a win over Pariah to his credit. Ready to run boldly tomorrow.
BEATING THE CLOCK
All reports from Caulfield this week suggest the Henry Dwyer-trained Swampland (Race 9) is right at the top of her game. She has been kept fresh since a luckless second to Savanna Amour over this course and distance last month. She worked solidly at Caulfield on Tuesday, showing she was in February. Very impressive winning his 800m Cranbourne trial recently when, despite a soft 6 track rating, he still broke 46.5s for the trip. There’s a stack of speed on to suit him and can see him unwinding in the straight to win running away. 9. SUPER TOO is hard to resist. Broke the longstanding Randwick 1000m track record before again leading throughout to win easily at Moonee Valley three weeks ago. No doubt this is harder but her sustained speed has to be respected. 5. BADAJOZ is in rare form and simply too good here last start. Rich Charm ran fourth to him then came out and won well here on Wednesday. Speed on will help him. 1. FAATINAH is an Oakleigh Plate placegetter here who is drawn to get the run of the race.
Have looked at this race inside out and upside down — every which way but still keep coming back to 11. BONNEVAL. She’s just so well weighted here given she is already a three-time G1 winner. She only has to give Amelie’s Star 1.5kg and that horse has yet to even contest a G1 race. Brilliant winner of the Underwood here beating Hartnell and simply think she was a victim of muddling tempo behind Gailo Chop here last week. I like the fact she’s drawn out a little as that allow Kerrin McEvoy to find a slot in midfield and stay out of trouble. Superior stayer who will take a power of beating. The value runner is 9. INFERENCE. Loved the way he hit the line late behind Gailo Chop last week, clocking second fastest last 200m of the race. He will relish the 2400m and another who looks attractively weighted. Despite her lack of experience in this sort of class, have to respect 16. AMELIE’S STAR. Was never going to lose in an effortless win in the Bart Cummings at Flemington two weeks ago. Remember Almandin was in the race and she easily accounted for him. Unbeaten in two tries at this trip. 4. JON SNOW is in ripping form and ready for this distance. Fought on well behind Gailo Chop last week. Drawn to again sit off the speed and he has great stamina. 7. VENTURA STORM is an Italian G1 winner over this trip and he will be finishing hard. Big 1. HUMIDOR fan but not convinced is a 2400m horse or that Caulfield his ready to run a big race in the stronger company she faces tomorrow,
Main Stage (Race 3) was impossible to miss when he unleashed a massive finishing burst to win over 1800m at Flemington two weeks ago. He produced the best sectional times for track. Likewise 3. JOHANNES VERMEER, who I’m prepared to gamble against at this trip.
3. SILENT SEDITION is a class act has yet to miss a place in four second-up appearances. Also yet to miss a place in four tries at this trip and five tries at this track. Liked the way she hit the line behind Keen Array down straight at Flemington first-up. That will have her cherry ripe for this. Don’t be put off by the wide draw. She had barrier 18 when she was beaten a lip in G1 Coolmore Classic at Rosehill in the autumn. 8. NOW OR LATER was superb in winning
G2 Blazer Stakes at Flemington two weeks ago. Still well back in the ruck with 300m to go but, when she saw daylight, charged late to win running away, clocking a slashing 11.2s for her last 200m. G1 placegetter in Ireland and at her peak this. 1. FOXPLAY is the class act and did well behind Happy Clapper in the G1 Epsom at Randwick last start. Reckon this is her right trip and bound to in the finish.
12. EURO ANGEL again had no luck behind Now Or Later last start and one of these days she’ll put it all together. 2. GLOBAL GLAMOUR (classy but bad barrier), 5, FRENCH EMOTION (good run last start) and 13. SHILLELAGH (likes Caulfield) all chances.
One more chance for 1. FUHRYK who has eaten my money last couple. Well documented how luckless she was when resuming and then again not much went right here behind Savanna Amour. Given a month between runs, drawn to get the run of the race and suited at this weight scale. 3. NIETA will welcome a drop in grade after finishing not the far off In Her Time at Randwick three weeks ago. Finished third to Redzel twice previously, and that form stacks up pretty well for this grade. 8. CONCEALER has always displayed plenty of ability but has her issues along the way. Remember she was in market when unplaced behind Extreme Choice and Flying Artie the Blue Diamond last year. Goes well fresh. 4. LYUBA has three seconds from four tries at this course and distance and will be running on. every split during the race, including the fastest last 400m of 23.61s and 12.11s for his 200m. Steps up to the 2000m and strikes a smaller field tomorrow. Will take plenty beating.
THE STATS SPEAK
Lots of things to like about the chances Silent Sedition (Race 9). She has had four tries at 1400m for two wins and two thirds, five tries at Caulfield for a win and four placings and four second-up appearances for two wins and two placings. All the better for her first-up run at Flemington and bound to look the winner at some stage in the straight.