Weir stayer looks the Man

The Sportsman Weekend - - Flemington Preview -

RACE 1:

In­trigu­ing race to say the least. 1. SIX­TIES GROOVE is de­served favourite on back of two very soft wins over 2000m here. He does shoot up to 2500m, where he has never won, and also up to 59kg, 3kg more than he car­ried last start. Plus the tempo of the race could make it a sprint home. Can he use his great clos­ing speed to the same ef­fect with the big weight? Un­doubt­edly the horse beat but I’m pre­pared to gam­ble on 5. CROCODILE ROCK im­prov­ing enough to re­ally test the favourite. Things didn’t go his way when re­sum­ing here be­hind Ser­e­nade The Stars three weeks ago. Has a good sec­ond-up record and don’t for­get he split Al­mandin Aooft over this course dis­tance last spring. Reckon he can lead here, set his own tempo and with 5kg pull in the weights, hold off Six­ties Groove. Fin­gers crossed. 4. KIL­I­MAN­JARO will also be im­proved with his first-up ef­fort and gets to right dis­tance range here. Very spar­ingly raced has some qual­ity about him. 7. SER­E­NADE THE STARS did well over this course and trip three weeks ago a re­peat will see him in the fin­ish again.

RACE 2:

6. PREZADO does look hard to beat here. Re­sum­ing here but first-up last cam­paign he was beaten a length by Na­ture Strip over the 1100m here. Looked good in jumpout win at Flem­ing­ton last week and doesn’t strike an overly hot field here. The one to catch. The hard-fit, in-form gal­loper is 3. IN­VIN­CI­BLE AL. Scored a soft win at Mor­phettville and then charged home to win as he liked over this course and trip. Since had an easy time in a Cran­bourne trial to ready him for this and will be hard to beat. 4. BANDIPUR took an age get to Rebel Miss at Rand­wick last start but he does drop 3kg here. The only time he’s been at this track and trip was when a good sec­ond to Prezado but he meets the win­ner worse at the weights this time. There is a roughie with a chance here in shape of 10. RITORNO. Liked the way he ran on be­hind Brave Song here three weeks ago and also ben­e­fited from a re­cent Cran­bourne trial.

RACE 3:

11. SERGEANT was su­per im­pres­sive win­ning at Echuca last start. Looked to be a bit keen and trapped wide on speed but pressed for­ward take up the run­ning and then ex­ploded in the straight to win by a big space. Looks en­dowed with above av­er­age abil­ity and this looks a per­fect next step for him. 2. RUBAN BLEU has been very good in his three city tries and drawn to get the lovely run here. Will just need some luck to be in the fin­ish again. 8. EAST INDIAMAN went to Balaklava and scored a very soft win at a short price last time. Sta­ble has good opin­ion of him and he’ll be in this for a long way. 6. TAVISAN is for­mer Kiwi who led all the way to win well at Cran­bourne at his first Aussie run. Nat­u­ral im­prover who shapes as a strong chance again.

RACE 4:

Think 6. SHAR­ING rep­re­sents good value here. Wasn’t suited by the sit and sprint when re­sum­ing here a month ago but still got home okay be­hind Miss Gun­pow­der. Form out of that race is sound as Miles Of Kr­is­han, who fin­ished fourth, has since won twice in town. She is a win­ner over this course and dis­tance and only beaten 3 lens by the very handy Span­ish Reef over this track and trip in Fe­bru­ary. Drawn ideally to get the gun run and rates highly. 4. HARMATTAN is re­sum­ing but did well in a re­cent jumpout here and looks tuned up for a bold bid

re­main­ing races. And with gen­uine rea­son given his em­phatic wins at his last two starts at this track. Granted he has to carry 59kg and has to step up 2500m but pun­ters will not be fright­ened off him.

THE LAY

Moss ‘N’ dale (race 8) nor­mally goes well at this track but he has plenty to con­tend with given hasn’t raced for over a month and has drawn awk­wardly here. Was twice G3 placed when last in work in 3yo fil­lies grade and that form stacks up well for this. Best dis­tance may be longer but will sprint well fresh here. 8. SPAN­NER HEAD has won her only start over this course and dis­tance and boxed on well be­hind Naan­tali at the Val­ley last week. Has to be in­cluded. Like­wise 7. BELLARIA, who was just nut­ted at Sandown last start and is right her top now.

RACE 5:

There is a tough of wow fac­tor about 11. GOLD MAG. Bolted in at Bendigo on de­but and then went to the mid­weeks at Sandown and couldn’t have been more im­pres­sive in trounc­ing his ri­vals. Put the is­sue be­yond doubt clock­ing 10.64 be­tween the 400m-200m and still came home with 11.64 last 200m, the best of the day. This is tougher but kept fresh and may sim­ply be too good for them. 6. DOU­BLE JEOP­ARDY goes well down the straight here, beat­ing Ducimus here in May and not dis­graced be­hind Brave Song last time. Drawn the grand­stand side of the straight course, which could be ad­van­ta­geous. 7. TAHI is drawn the rails and found the line well be­hind Over­step here three weeks ago. In top form and sound chance again. 12. ILLUMICON

in bar­rier 13. Will be helped with the claim for Liam Rior­dan but pun­ters may want slightly bet­ter odds than what are cur­rently on of­fer.

AT THE JUMPOUTS

Po­etic Dream (race 7) was dev­as­tat­ing in a Flem­ing­ton jumpout re­cently. He jumped well, shot straight to the front and the fur­ther they went, fur­ther he was in front. Rare to see such a big gap an re­sumed as a geld­ing and was good win­ning at Sandown last start. He will be even bet­ter here.

RACE 6:

Sweat­ing on 19. THE PAS­SAGE gain­ing a start here. This looks a per­fect race for him. Loved his ef­fort when chas­ing home the smart Man­tas­tic at Caulfield a fort­night ago. Think he will be suited by the ex­tra dis­tance and drawn to get run of the race. Will go close if he gets a start.

3. I BOOGI failed at his only start at this trip but that was a while ago and he is much more sea­soned now. Up in weight but down a lot class af­ter his fourth to Mor­ton’s Fork last week. Drawn hor­ri­bly but just needs some luck to fig­ure here.

13. HARIPOUR beat Man­tas­tic at Caulfield and then bat­tled on Sandown a month ago. Get­ting out to his right dis­tance now and will give it big shake. Like­wise

5. THE STATES­MAN, an­other im­port who is all the bet­ter for his re­cent runs. Watch the mar­ket on 17. SIR ED­WIN LANDSEER, hav­ing his first start here for Team Wil­liams.

RACE 7:

Think 7. PO­ETIC DREAM is a po­ten­tial star. Showed great tal­ent in Europe and then was

open class jumpout and his over­all time was slick too. Has enor­mous tal­ent and is primed for a big first-up show­ing.

THE STATS SPEAK

Thean­swermyfriend (race 8) seems to have con­di­tions to suit which will al­low him to re­turn win­ning form. Has won two and sec­ond twice from four starts at this course and dis­tance and all his wins have been on firm sur­faces, which heav­ily backed at his Aussie de­but at this track in March and looked a bit keen when close up be­hind No­zomi. Has a trial at Wodonga last month and then went like a bomb in jumpout here, win­ning by a mas­sive space with his head on his chest. Reckon the straight course plays into his hands here and he’ll be very hard to stop. 2. VOODOO LAD has fit­ness on his side. Took a good one in Vega Magic to beat him at Caulfield last start. Yet to win down the straight but did run sec­ond to Red­kirk War­rior in a New­mar­ket here last year. He’ll go well. 1. HOME OF THE BRAVE is a for­mer Euro­pean sprinter with great stakes record. Has tri­alled very well in Syd­ney for his Aussie de­but and if he any­where near his best, he’ll go very close here. 10. BRAVE SONG won well here last start and although this is harder, he can run a race.

RACE 8:

I’m hop­ing 6. THEAN­SWERMYFRIEND is al­lowed to roll to the front and do his own thing, which he should be able do from the good draw. If so, he can repli­cate some good form over this course and dis­tance, in­clud­ing a Listed win last year and beaten lip by Sov­er­eign Na­tion in class in March. Should be right at his top af­ter two runs back. Think 8. MR GAR­CIA is a big watch horse here at big odds. Bril­liant win­ner his Aussie de­but here on Oaks day last year and given time off af­ter fifth in the Bal­larat Cup. No doubt his best jour­neys are slightly longer but reckon he’ll be storm­ing home here. 13. SOUCHEZ has run some nice races here and he’s bet­ter for his first-up ef­fort, while 5. COOL CHAP is drawn to get the cosy run and can test these.

RACE 9:

Stick­ing with 6. MAN­TAS­TIC. Sim­ply too good for his ri­vals at Caulfield last start af­ter a sound sec­ond to Guizot at Caulfield and meets that horse again here but 1.5kg bet­ter off the weights. Pro­gress­ing through grades well, this big track looks made to or­der for him and he’ll go very close. 5. GUIZOT the dan­ger off the strength of that win over Man­tas­tic and he’ll be in the fin­ish again. 8. SIKANDARABAD did a good job to win at

Sandown mid­weeks and is an im­prov­ing stayer with sound claims again. 10. AL GALAYEL was rid­den up­side down at Rose­hill last start af­ter chas­ing home Haripour and Man­tas­tic at Caulfield. Big hope again.

he gets to­mor­row. Ready to show his best.

SEC­TIONAL STAR

Gold Mag (race 5) faces a stiff rise in class but there was lot to like about the way be brained his ri­vals at Sandown last start. Clocked a slight 10.64 from the 400m to the 200m and a 11.64 for fi­nal 200m in a bril­liant dis­play. Likely to start a very short priced favourite and will go close.

Man­tas­tic.

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