Encryption primed first-up
NOTE: RACES are assessed for a Good 4.
IT’S long way from the Epsom Derby to a TAB Highway but that’s the story with 11. BIODYNAMIC (60) trained by Danny Wlliams who is to the Highway what Aiden O’Brien is to the Derby! For the record, this son of Derby winner New Approach was beaten 30-lens at Epsom but that’s not important right now. What is is that the 6YO peaking for this having been hitting the line well at each of his past three starts especially when 2.7-lens 4th in a 1500m Highway at Rosehill on Jul. 28. Collett — the leading rider at Randwick for last year — is on again
this. 14. PANZERFAUST (59) is a superbly bred full to the stakeswinners Kebede and Panzer Division. The Arrowfield/Paul Messara filly has been getting back and charging late in her two Scone then Muswellbrook runs this campaign over 1300m and 1280m. Makes sense that the Randwick Mile should suit her strengths and best of all is K McEvoy 53kgs. 6. WALLANDER (65) won more like a 6/4 shot than a $15 pop when he added another Highway to the Matthew Dunn tally last start. Why not again? Has to run an extra 100m but was strong through the line last outing.
9. SCREAMARR (70) deserves some reward for effort. The son of Winx’s sire, Street Cry, has only win 2 from 22 but the Anthony and Edward Cummings trained 5YO has been in career best form of late with two 3rds and 4th in his last three runs in very similar company. He gets back and finishes off which is probably why he doesn’t win many but has the 53kgs again and Andrew Adkins is backing up on him for a fourth straight time. Chris Waller has 5 of the 11 ‘starters’ here and you would imagine he would like nothing more than to win the Bob Ingham Handicap given great man’s influence on his career. Not even Nostradamus himself can predict what happens when Waller has multiple runners in staying runners — I mean, do I have to remind everyone what happened when Brent Stanley stood in defiance of a Waller onslaught here the other week?! With no confidence at all, I rate the Waller best hopes as 5. VAUCLUSE BAY (82) number one given he was the first
home of his stablemates in the Brent Stanley race. 4. EXOTERIC (82) was 3rd that day, 8. RAQEEQ (78) next in and was most people’s good thing in said race. Let that be a lesson to all — there are no things in staying races where Waller has more than two runners — unless one of them is Winx.
SPEAKING of good things, I had 8. ALMANZORA (70) pegged as exactly that when she resumed in — shall we say, eventful midweeker first-up a few weeks back. If you have an hour or two, go and read the lengthy stewards report on the race. It was a nightmare for those of us unfortunate enough to have watched it. As soon as they jumped, she was gone — and it only got worse. James McDonald takes over tomorrow this time she has drawn 2 not 7 of 11 which should ensure that is closer in the run and after that, class prevail. The daughter of Lonhro is second-up off a long break which breaks few rules in the Punter’s Handbook but she has had the time to get over any ill-affects. Take note that her only run at Randwick before Saturday was a 5th of
7 to Everest runner Shoals in the G2 Percy Sykes. 3. BROOK MAGIC (78) is a very fast mare who only knows the one way to race and that flat out from the get-go. The fact that she is coming back from 1300m then 1200m to a 1000m is a major plus for her. So barrier 3 and so is Corey Brown who has a George Moore/Tommy Smith like combination with Joe Pride. Three of her 4 career wins are at 1000m and that is from 6 runs the distance. She is also a Randwick winner over 1100m. 4. REBEL MISS came from 13th of 14 to finish 4.9lens 3rd to booming Godolphin winner Soothing last start here over this trip. Huge run! One more — 9. LIGHTZ (66), that was the real one at Kembla last start where he ran 56.47s!
GREAT race. Not only do we get to see the best horse in the world tomorrow but also best maiden on the planet 3. OOHOOD (N/R). I would like to bet that there has never been a maiden horse that won $1m but if Oohood gets 2nd, 3rd or 4th in this race tomorrow, she will crack the million dollar barrier without even having won a race! That said, she has placed in Slipper, Diamond and Sires. Wow, what a filly. Drawn 9 of 9 but I don’t think that’s as big a disadvantage to her as it would be to most others — we know she has a massive finish on her. 1. FIESTA (83) is a high quality filly from the Waller yard. She is 6s 1-3-1 and everyone saw how good, nay great, she was in the Slipper — I thought it was one of the runs of the race. Fiesta has trialled twice for this and she always trials same — that is, good. Drawn 1 — just going to need some luck in the straight. Speaking of trials, OMG 6. FUTOOH (78). That was a win and a half in her heat, she must have broken the clock for her last 400m split (s). Strong through the line? You’ve never seen anything like it. I like her as Flight Stakes horse — you’d have to. Big watch/respect on and for the Magic Millions placegetter 4. OUTBACK BARBIE (78).
THE best bred horse racing tomorrow might win this and of course we speak of the Lonhro/ Guelph son 1. ENCRYPTION (80) who sadly is not at all well weighted here on 59kgs by virtue of his Black Opal win. The James Cummings trained colt was 6th in the Sires’ and the Champagne after that — he on pace and faded (not thrashed) which kind of didn’t surprise me because I am not sure he is a true miler or even 1400m horse — at the time, anyway, might be different this campaign now that he is a stronger horse presumably and he was very strong late in his last heat. Drawn 1, he should get a lovely run for Glyn Schofield. I am massive fan of 2. IRAKANDJI (79) and reckon he is in for a huge spring once gets to the mile maybe even Derby being a Dundeel. The Team Hawkes/ Spendthrift colt won the G3 Baillieu last campaign before a decent 3.5-lens 7th in Champagne. His trial was an absolute ripper a very, very strong heat at Rosehill on Aug. 7. The 1300m (and Randwick) is the perfect scenario for him — inch as the saying goes. 6. MILITARY ZONE (67) and the Hayes/Dabernig colt 7. SMART ELISSIM (67) are the two ‘progressive’ 3YO’s in race — the true representation of the race name — the Up and Coming.
I AM 50/50 about 10. WINX (132) winning tomorrow but in the end I had to put her on top for pretty obvious reasons. That said, think this is one of the ‘few’ times she’s had rivals of the statue, ability and talent 7. KEMENTARI (109) who should have finished closer to her in the Ryder. But — he lost, she won. Different story on Saturday, he has the run and it was a ripper, she is first-up over trip that favours the Godolphin charge. Winx’s last trial though, was as good as you would see from her so it’s not like you can doubt condition, etc. I got close to putting Kementari on top but had a look at Winx’s numbers again — 8 from 9 first-up, 5s 4-1-0 at the t/d and 15-3-0 from 19 Rosehill. Going to be a great race though — can’t see this one a cakewalk for Winx. That said, if she runs past Kementari at the 300m and puts 4-lens on him, then I’ll be the first one to put my hand up and say I was wrong. 11. UNFORGOTTEN (105) is first-up out of winning The Oaks which makes her a ‘system’ horse for me. She has an X-Factor. She along with the likes of 8. ACE HIGH (106) and 9. D’ARGENTO (104) is going to be important players in races in the spring so it will be fascinating to see how they perform fresh. I reckon if there is a surprise in for third (given it should be Winx/Kementari or Kementari/Winx first and second) it might be either 4. CABEZA DE VACA (101) or 5. INVICTUS PRINCE (77). Both look to be flying.
THE second highest rated horse in action at HQ tomorrow is 1. LE ROMAIN (115) who still 17 points behind Winx’s 132 rating. Amazing. This Kris Lees trained gelding has the great fresh record of 6s 2-2-1, he is 5s 1-3-0 at the t/d and 13s 4-6-0 at Rosehill. They are great numbers. The son of Hard Spun has trialled twice for this and both have been exactly what Lees would have wanted expected from his great sprinter/miler. The Tulloch Lodge entire 7. SIEGE OF QUEBEC (86) is a superbly bred stallion by Fastnet Rock. I think he topped the Magic Millions sale in his year? Anyway, he’s back business tomorrow and in great nick. He has won both trials and they were very deep heats indeed! Drawn 11 of 11 so I guess we are expecting him to be fired out of the gates and cross over? Maybe what happens in the first 200m will decide what happens for him in the last 100m. The Anthony and Edward Cummings cotrained 6. NO DOUBT (87) is a watch horse. He has always been highly regarded by the camp, and for good reason, and I thought his trial was a really positive one Right in this — it all depends on how forward Le Romain is.
WALLER stable recruit 2. I AM COLDPLAY (102) was my best bet when she ‘supposed’ to make her Australian debut last Saturday but she was scratched on race morning. How many times does that happen in Sydney and the provincials? Answer; far too many — it’s my biggest bug bear and why I stopped betting Fixed Odds long ago and I am not the only one — know enough people who got sick of dual acceptors, race morning scratchings that they just gave Fix Odds betting away. We might be only small punters but we still deserve a fair go. I can only assume that she runs here; ‘if’ she runs, she’s my ‘XX special’ this time. 6. NETTOYER (88) is a handy mare from the Wendy Roche stable. The daughter of Sebring may have only won 1 from 10 but she has placed 6 times and ran in behind some really good fillies and mares last campaign. In fact, she ran 9 of 17 in the Queen of the Turf but was only beaten 3.8-lens by Alizee. Nettoyer won a trial here over 1000m on Aug. 7 and was mighty impressive in doing so. Drawn wide but goes back anyway? If so, got the right jockey on to get her wound up late (Rachel ‘Lanciato’ King’). 5. LUVALUVA (95) is first-up here and when we spoke to John Sargent he said she was a run shorter then where was when she resumed with a crackerjack run behind Kementari and Pierata in the Hobartville. Fair call, she is going to the Caulfield Cup all being well. That said, is a class mare and I thought her trials have been great. Bet you she is the ‘Black Booker’ out of this race — she’ll take everyone’s eye.
SPEAKING of eye-catchers and Black Bookers, reckon all of us found 3. SOUCHEZ (86). I mean, seriously, how could you miss him. Clear last at the 400m, zoom, zoom down middle and gets beat a diminishing 1.6-lens by his stablemate Eusebio. This son of Kementari’s sire Lonhro is 4s 2w second-up and you hope that the big field generates a good tempo which he will need to unleash that powerful finish. The two ‘interesting’ horses here are the Kris Lees’ recruit, 13. MILSEAIN (82) and the Godolphin import 1. BEST OF DAYS (87) who looks like most magnificent beast on the screens I have been watching. As for Milseain, she is sister to Werther and is 5s 1-1-3 back home in NZ. Her last start was 2.6-lens 3rd in The Oaks to Savvy Coup. This mares’s only win came on fresh and the trials have been pretty good. Ditto the last bit for 7. THE PINNACLE (85) who I am expecting a big run from fresh.