En­cryp­tion primed first-up

The Sportsman Weekend - - Randwick Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4.

RACE 1

IT’S long way from the Ep­som Derby to a TAB High­way but that’s the story with 11. BIODYNAMIC (60) trained by Danny Wl­liams who is to the High­way what Ai­den O’Brien is to the Derby! For the record, this son of Derby win­ner New Ap­proach was beaten 30-lens at Ep­som but that’s not im­por­tant right now. What is is that the 6YO peak­ing for this hav­ing been hit­ting the line well at each of his past three starts es­pe­cially when 2.7-lens 4th in a 1500m High­way at Rose­hill on Jul. 28. Col­lett — the lead­ing rider at Rand­wick for last year — is on again

this. 14. PANZERFAUST (59) is a su­perbly bred full to the stakeswin­ners Kebede and Panzer Divi­sion. The Ar­row­field/Paul Mes­sara filly has been get­ting back and charg­ing late in her two Scone then Muswell­brook runs this cam­paign over 1300m and 1280m. Makes sense that the Rand­wick Mile should suit her strengths and best of all is K McEvoy 53kgs. 6. WALLANDER (65) won more like a 6/4 shot than a $15 pop when he added an­other High­way to the Matthew Dunn tally last start. Why not again? Has to run an ex­tra 100m but was strong through the line last out­ing.

RACE 2

9. SCREAMARR (70) de­serves some re­ward for ef­fort. The son of Winx’s sire, Street Cry, has only win 2 from 22 but the An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings trained 5YO has been in ca­reer best form of late with two 3rds and 4th in his last three runs in very sim­i­lar com­pany. He gets back and fin­ishes off which is prob­a­bly why he doesn’t win many but has the 53kgs again and Andrew Ad­kins is back­ing up on him for a fourth straight time. Chris Waller has 5 of the 11 ‘starters’ here and you would imag­ine he would like noth­ing more than to win the Bob Ing­ham Hand­i­cap given great man’s in­flu­ence on his ca­reer. Not even Nostradamus him­self can pre­dict what hap­pens when Waller has mul­ti­ple run­ners in stay­ing run­ners — I mean, do I have to re­mind every­one what hap­pened when Brent Stan­ley stood in de­fi­ance of a Waller on­slaught here the other week?! With no con­fi­dence at all, I rate the Waller best hopes as 5. VAUCLUSE BAY (82) num­ber one given he was the first

home of his sta­ble­mates in the Brent Stan­ley race. 4. EXOTERIC (82) was 3rd that day, 8. RAQEEQ (78) next in and was most peo­ple’s good thing in said race. Let that be a les­son to all — there are no things in stay­ing races where Waller has more than two run­ners — un­less one of them is Winx.

RACE 3

SPEAK­ING of good things, I had 8. ALMANZORA (70) pegged as ex­actly that when she re­sumed in — shall we say, event­ful mid­weeker first-up a few weeks back. If you have an hour or two, go and read the lengthy stew­ards re­port on the race. It was a night­mare for those of us un­for­tu­nate enough to have watched it. As soon as they jumped, she was gone — and it only got worse. James McDon­ald takes over to­mor­row this time she has drawn 2 not 7 of 11 which should en­sure that is closer in the run and af­ter that, class pre­vail. The daugh­ter of Lonhro is sec­ond-up off a long break which breaks few rules in the Punter’s Hand­book but she has had the time to get over any ill-af­fects. Take note that her only run at Rand­wick be­fore Satur­day was a 5th of

7 to Ever­est run­ner Shoals in the G2 Percy Sykes. 3. BROOK MAGIC (78) is a very fast mare who only knows the one way to race and that flat out from the get-go. The fact that she is com­ing back from 1300m then 1200m to a 1000m is a ma­jor plus for her. So bar­rier 3 and so is Corey Brown who has a Ge­orge Moore/Tommy Smith like com­bi­na­tion with Joe Pride. Three of her 4 ca­reer wins are at 1000m and that is from 6 runs the dis­tance. She is also a Rand­wick win­ner over 1100m. 4. REBEL MISS came from 13th of 14 to fin­ish 4.9lens 3rd to boom­ing Godol­phin win­ner Sooth­ing last start here over this trip. Huge run! One more — 9. LIGHTZ (66), that was the real one at Kem­bla last start where he ran 56.47s!

RACE 4

GREAT race. Not only do we get to see the best horse in the world to­mor­row but also best maiden on the planet 3. OO­HOOD (N/R). I would like to bet that there has never been a maiden horse that won $1m but if Oo­hood gets 2nd, 3rd or 4th in this race to­mor­row, she will crack the mil­lion dol­lar bar­rier with­out even hav­ing won a race! That said, she has placed in Slip­per, Di­a­mond and Sires. Wow, what a filly. Drawn 9 of 9 but I don’t think that’s as big a dis­ad­van­tage to her as it would be to most oth­ers — we know she has a mas­sive fin­ish on her. 1. FI­ESTA (83) is a high qual­ity filly from the Waller yard. She is 6s 1-3-1 and every­one saw how good, nay great, she was in the Slip­per — I thought it was one of the runs of the race. Fi­esta has tri­alled twice for this and she al­ways tri­als same — that is, good. Drawn 1 — just go­ing to need some luck in the straight. Speak­ing of tri­als, OMG 6. FU­TOOH (78). That was a win and a half in her heat, she must have bro­ken the clock for her last 400m split (s). Strong through the line? You’ve never seen any­thing like it. I like her as Flight Stakes horse — you’d have to. Big watch/re­spect on and for the Magic Mil­lions placeget­ter 4. OUT­BACK BAR­BIE (78).

RACE 5

THE best bred horse rac­ing to­mor­row might win this and of course we speak of the Lonhro/ Guelph son 1. EN­CRYP­TION (80) who sadly is not at all well weighted here on 59kgs by virtue of his Black Opal win. The James Cum­mings trained colt was 6th in the Sires’ and the Cham­pagne af­ter that — he on pace and faded (not thrashed) which kind of didn’t sur­prise me be­cause I am not sure he is a true miler or even 1400m horse — at the time, any­way, might be dif­fer­ent this cam­paign now that he is a stronger horse pre­sum­ably and he was very strong late in his last heat. Drawn 1, he should get a lovely run for Glyn Schofield. I am mas­sive fan of 2. IRAKANDJI (79) and reckon he is in for a huge spring once gets to the mile maybe even Derby be­ing a Dun­deel. The Team Hawkes/ Spendthrift colt won the G3 Bail­lieu last cam­paign be­fore a de­cent 3.5-lens 7th in Cham­pagne. His trial was an ab­so­lute rip­per a very, very strong heat at Rose­hill on Aug. 7. The 1300m (and Rand­wick) is the per­fect sce­nario for him — inch as the say­ing goes. 6. MIL­I­TARY ZONE (67) and the Hayes/Dabernig colt 7. SMART ELIS­SIM (67) are the two ‘pro­gres­sive’ 3YO’s in race — the true rep­re­sen­ta­tion of the race name — the Up and Com­ing.

RACE 6

I AM 50/50 about 10. WINX (132) win­ning to­mor­row but in the end I had to put her on top for pretty ob­vi­ous rea­sons. That said, think this is one of the ‘few’ times she’s had ri­vals of the statue, abil­ity and tal­ent 7. KE­MEN­TARI (109) who should have fin­ished closer to her in the Ry­der. But — he lost, she won. Dif­fer­ent story on Satur­day, he has the run and it was a rip­per, she is first-up over trip that favours the Godol­phin charge. Winx’s last trial though, was as good as you would see from her so it’s not like you can doubt con­di­tion, etc. I got close to putting Ke­men­tari on top but had a look at Winx’s num­bers again — 8 from 9 first-up, 5s 4-1-0 at the t/d and 15-3-0 from 19 Rose­hill. Go­ing to be a great race though — can’t see this one a cake­walk for Winx. That said, if she runs past Ke­men­tari at the 300m and puts 4-lens on him, then I’ll be the first one to put my hand up and say I was wrong. 11. UN­FOR­GOT­TEN (105) is first-up out of win­ning The Oaks which makes her a ‘sys­tem’ horse for me. She has an X-Fac­tor. She along with the likes of 8. ACE HIGH (106) and 9. D’AR­GENTO (104) is go­ing to be im­por­tant play­ers in races in the spring so it will be fas­ci­nat­ing to see how they per­form fresh. I reckon if there is a sur­prise in for third (given it should be Winx/Ke­men­tari or Ke­men­tari/Winx first and sec­ond) it might be ei­ther 4. CABEZA DE VACA (101) or 5. IN­VIC­TUS PRINCE (77). Both look to be fly­ing.

RACE 7

THE sec­ond high­est rated horse in ac­tion at HQ to­mor­row is 1. LE RO­MAIN (115) who still 17 points be­hind Winx’s 132 rat­ing. Amaz­ing. This Kris Lees trained geld­ing has the great fresh record of 6s 2-2-1, he is 5s 1-3-0 at the t/d and 13s 4-6-0 at Rose­hill. They are great num­bers. The son of Hard Spun has tri­alled twice for this and both have been ex­actly what Lees would have wanted ex­pected from his great sprinter/miler. The Tul­loch Lodge en­tire 7. SIEGE OF QUE­BEC (86) is a su­perbly bred stal­lion by Fast­net Rock. I think he topped the Magic Mil­lions sale in his year? Any­way, he’s back busi­ness to­mor­row and in great nick. He has won both tri­als and they were very deep heats in­deed! Drawn 11 of 11 so I guess we are ex­pect­ing him to be fired out of the gates and cross over? Maybe what hap­pens in the first 200m will de­cide what hap­pens for him in the last 100m. The An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings co­trained 6. NO DOUBT (87) is a watch horse. He has al­ways been highly re­garded by the camp, and for good rea­son, and I thought his trial was a re­ally pos­i­tive one Right in this — it all de­pends on how for­ward Le Ro­main is.

RACE 8

WALLER sta­ble re­cruit 2. I AM COLD­PLAY (102) was my best bet when she ‘sup­posed’ to make her Aus­tralian de­but last Satur­day but she was scratched on race morn­ing. How many times does that hap­pen in Syd­ney and the provin­cials? An­swer; far too many — it’s my big­gest bug bear and why I stopped bet­ting Fixed Odds long ago and I am not the only one — know enough peo­ple who got sick of dual ac­cep­tors, race morn­ing scratch­ings that they just gave Fix Odds bet­ting away. We might be only small pun­ters but we still de­serve a fair go. I can only as­sume that she runs here; ‘if’ she runs, she’s my ‘XX spe­cial’ this time. 6. NETTOYER (88) is a handy mare from the Wendy Roche sta­ble. The daugh­ter of Se­bring may have only won 1 from 10 but she has placed 6 times and ran in be­hind some re­ally good fil­lies and mares last cam­paign. In fact, she ran 9 of 17 in the Queen of the Turf but was only beaten 3.8-lens by Al­izee. Nettoyer won a trial here over 1000m on Aug. 7 and was mighty im­pres­sive in do­ing so. Drawn wide but goes back any­way? If so, got the right jockey on to get her wound up late (Rachel ‘Lan­ci­ato’ King’). 5. LU­VAL­UVA (95) is first-up here and when we spoke to John Sar­gent he said she was a run shorter then where was when she re­sumed with a crack­er­jack run be­hind Ke­men­tari and Pier­ata in the Ho­bartville. Fair call, she is go­ing to the Caulfield Cup all be­ing well. That said, is a class mare and I thought her tri­als have been great. Bet you she is the ‘Black Booker’ out of this race — she’ll take every­one’s eye.

RACE 9

SPEAK­ING of eye-catch­ers and Black Book­ers, reckon all of us found 3. SOUCHEZ (86). I mean, se­ri­ously, how could you miss him. Clear last at the 400m, zoom, zoom down mid­dle and gets beat a di­min­ish­ing 1.6-lens by his sta­ble­mate Euse­bio. This son of Ke­men­tari’s sire Lonhro is 4s 2w sec­ond-up and you hope that the big field gen­er­ates a good tempo which he will need to un­leash that pow­er­ful fin­ish. The two ‘in­ter­est­ing’ horses here are the Kris Lees’ re­cruit, 13. MILSEAIN (82) and the Godol­phin im­port 1. BEST OF DAYS (87) who looks like most mag­nif­i­cent beast on the screens I have been watch­ing. As for Milseain, she is sis­ter to Werther and is 5s 1-1-3 back home in NZ. Her last start was 2.6-lens 3rd in The Oaks to Savvy Coup. This mares’s only win came on fresh and the tri­als have been pretty good. Ditto the last bit for 7. THE PIN­NA­CLE (85) who I am ex­pect­ing a big run from fresh.

En­cryp­tion.

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