Neu­tral­ity’s all revved up

The Sportsman Weekend - - Rosehill Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4 with show­ers pre­dicted. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

ONE time ATC Oaks fron­trun­ner, as in lead­ing can­di­date, 1. ALL TOO SOON (79) re­ally caught the eye with that first-up 5th of 10 here two weeks ago. The David Payne trained daugh­ter of All Too Hard and Gal­lant Tess (dam of Rock Hero) drew 9, was last at the 800m, 8th at the 400m but got to within about 3-lens of winner — all that with 58kgs in a Bm85. This is a Bm78 so fair enough she goes to 61.5khs tomorrow but the ex­tra 100m, added fit­ness, it’s all in her favour. All Too Soon is 3s 1-0-2 sec­ond-up. The An­thony and Ed­ward Cum­mings trained 12. MADAME MARKIEVICZ (58), like All Too Soon, spelled after the G1 Vin­ery in the au­tumn. This daugh­ter of O’Reilly re­sumed with mar­ket sup­port in a 1400m maiden at New­cas­tle but the prob­lem was she was up against Cloak (runs in the Ming Dy­nasty) and whilst Madame got her head in front at one stage in the straight, Cloak’s class and fit­ness pre­vailed. Still, it was a very pos­i­tive re­turn from the High Street mare. 7. BELLA SUC­CESS (68) has been giv­ing away big starts and flash­ing late. She’ll prob­a­bly do the same again on Satur­day.

RACE 2

9. ROYAL STAMP (67) al­most got the job done for us last start at $15. I swear she hit the lead one stage but winner fought back and just beat us. That run was com­ing for a long time for Royal Stamp who has the one pat­tern — get back and run on. She has to be rid­den cold Rachel King rode her to per­fec­tion last Satur­day week, no sur­prise that she’s back on tomorrow. Could be a big day for Marc Con­ners who has Aus­tralia’s fastest horse, Su­per Too, in the Car­lyon down south. Syd­ney’s un­luck­i­est

7. VALETINO ROSSA (67) was luck­less again last time at Can­ter­bury when he switched back to the rails look­ing for clear run­ning but you could hardly call it ‘clear’ run­ning. Some might ar­gue he had enough space late and wasn’t ex­actly sav­aging the line, that might be fair, but if and when things fi­nally go his way, we know he is a ca­pa­ble horse. I will ad­mit though — I am not sold on him at 2000m. 4. IMPAVIDO (73) was $1.55 at one stage in bet­ting Gos­ford last start. Okay, I know Impavido is no Winx but he should have been $1.10 and he won like it too. Hope­fully that’s the con­fi­dence boost he needs to go on with the job. Any lit­tle give in track and maybe could be pro­moted a spot — or two.

RACE 3

THIS is a very, very good High­way tomorrow if only be­cause there are so many chances. Matthew Dunn has the bye this week so it’s over to other High­way King in Danny Wil­liams who fronts up with two here in­clud­ing my top pick, the aptly named 8. HIGH­WAY SIX­TYSIX (66). This lightly-raced mare has shown tal­ent from the very begin­ning. She re­sume don Jul. 7 in a 1200m Rand­wick High­way where Blake Shinn gave her the best ride pos­si­ble and cer­tainly played the piv­otal role in her win. Blake is ob­vi­ously on the side­lines for a while so James McDon­ald takes over tomorrow. I imag­ine he won’t have too many is­sues get­ting her into a good spot from bar­rier 4. There are lot of ‘pos­si­bles’ in this race not least 6. COM­MON PUR­POSE (64) who has won his last two at Goul­burn in dom­i­nant fash­ion. Only 13 run­ners here but Com­mon Pur­pose will start from the out­side al­ley. Not ex­actly ad­van­ta­geous for a horse who has led at 4 of his 9 starts. 12. RISK AND RE­WARD (61) gave a re­ally good ac­count on him­self in the Life­saver High­way here on Aug. 11 rac­ing su­per handy and cross­ing the line 1.7lens 3rd to Matt Dunn’s horse and the Ta­ble Moun­tain. Risk And Re­ward is a 5-lens sec­ond-up winner. 9. NORTH­ERN RIVER (66) and 1. EQUAL BAL­ANCE (74) are both play­ers.

RACE 4

HARDLY sur­pris­ing that 5. JETWINGS (76) was $11 into $7.50 when he re­sumed at Can­ter­bury on Aug. 8 all of three years or some­thing since he last fronted up there. He went to HK after his Aussie de­but then went to NZ very briefly and is now back home with Ger­ald Ryan. The rea­son he firmed was his trial — it was a very good one. In re­gard to his 9th of 10 on race day, we re­ally have to be for­giv­ing. It was a far­ci­cally run and Jetwings was back and bailed away — he looked to have some­thing quite sub­stan­tial of­fer at the 200m but was ‘eased’, maybe not ‘eased’ he wasn’t be­ing pun­ished by the jock who must have sensed some­thing? A post race vet­eri­nary ex­am­i­na­tion re­vealed Jetwings to be lame (2/5) in the off hind leg Big for­give on a nice horse. Once again we are look­ing at a num­ber of other chances, it’s that sort of day in pretty much ev­ery race on Satur­day. 6. UP­SCALE (79) has been quite good in her last two runs. The Kris Lees trained mare is fourth-up now bear­ing in mind she has 12 months off so maybe this is the peak for her. 1. SHE KNOWS (87) is a very ad­mirable mare. Tough and con­sis­tent, I’d be the first stand up and cheer if she can carry 63.5kgs win. I am tip­ping a mas­sive run from

3. ALL TOO HUIYING (78) who is bet­ter over longer but has tri­alled well and has un­der­gone a tie-back pro­ce­dure since he last raced.

RACE 5

THE San Domenico has al­ways been a good horses race and al­ways su­per in­ter­est­ing be­cause it’s of­ten the first time we get to see the cream of the pre­vi­ous sea­son’s 2YO’s sprint­ers re­turn in spring. Six 9 run­ners are first-up tomorrow so if you like your tri­als, then you can re­ally back judg­ment and have a go. Me? I am all over 8. NEU­TRAL­ITY (68) from the Snow­den camp. This in­cred­i­bly hand­some chest­nut son of Se­bring is a $400,000 Easter Year­ling out of Dama De Noche, the dam Noc­tur­nelle (dam of Dracharys). This guy won here on de­but on Derby Day (Nov. 4) like a good horse. Failed and spelled after the Sil­ver Slip­per. His tri­als have been as good as any of his gen­er­a­tion has put in re­cent weeks in­clud­ing the two 1. PER­FORMER (83), the Breed­ers’ Plate winner and long time 2018 Golden Slip­per fav. One has to re­spect him, he’s a good colt. That said, I do think the big threat Neu­tral­ity is 9. RINGERDINGDING (67) who was (IMO) the run of the race in the Rose­bud. Dif­fer­ent run and he just about wins that race. He is su­per un­der­rated.

RACE 6

SNOWDENS again here. The depth of their 3YOs in awe­some and we are go­ing to see a very nice one here in 9. SIGNORE FOX (63) who could be Golden Rose, Caulfield Guineas, Car­bine Club horse mean­ing that he is good, very good. He should have been $1.01 at Hawkes­bury first-up off his tri­als. he was $1.75 into $1.55 and walked in. On pa­per, pro­vin­cial maiden to G3 in a step up but not for him; he has come back like a se­ri­ous, se­ri­ous big race con­tender. He is so well bred; son of Ex­ceed And Ex­cel out of a mare who won a G2 at Saratoga and G1 placed at Bel­mont. I am huge fan of 8. CLOAK (63) who is also in a G3 straight out of a pro­vin­cial maiden but pretty much ev­ery­thing I said just now about Signore Fox stands equally true for the su­per hand­some Cloak. I could see this horse win­ning a Spring Cham­pion and maybe even be­ing in the VRC Derby. The same goes for 2. TOULOUSE (72) who is aimed for one race and one race only — that’s the VRC Derby — but that is not to say his class won’t win him one along the way. He’ll be get­ting home big time here, so too, 4. EX­CELTIC (68). Just by the by, John Sargent has high ex­pec­ta­tions of 12. HOME WIN (61), brother to Sweet Idea and Show­time. Home Win is/was $61 on the TAB Fixed mar­kets.

RACE 7

HAVE you ever seen a more im­pres­sive Aus­tralian de­but from an im­ported horse than 9. AVILIUS (95) turned in at Rand­wick on Aug. 4? Wow. Bar­rier 10 of 10, 9th at the 400m, down the out­side — boom! Apolo­gies to Dar­ren Flin­dell for steal­ing his line, but, that was a win that will stick in the mind long while. Avilius went up $2.80 with the TAB and was $1.70 in a twin­kling even with­out the in­evitable scratch­ings we see this city. James Cum­mings says: “The best thing about it is that he’s ex­actly the same as when he went into his first start, not show­ing any glimpse of want­ing to overdo it. I don’t think I’ve had a horse more suited to this pro­gram, go­ing into a 1900m race sec­ond up.” See­ing is believ­ing but gee whiz, he’s short enough isn’t he!? Baring an un­fore­seen cir­cum­stance 10. BLACK ON GOLD (95) ran in Thurs­day’s Hawkes­bury Cup. He was my sec­ond pick here.

3. EM­PEROR’S WAY (96) was 0.2-lens 2nd in the Premier’s Cup Pre­lude last start. This horse is in great shape and fourth-up now, he is trained to the minute for the GF on Satur­day. Two oth­ers worth men­tion­ing are 4. TES­TASHADOW (98) and 6. SONS OF JOHN (87) who bother ran cred­itable races in the Pre­lude. The ‘old’ ver­sion of ei­ther horse would win this.

RACE 8

MOST fair minded peo­ple would prob­a­bly go along with the ar­gu­ment that 11. MISS QUE (82) should have beaten 3. TREKKING (85) when they met here two weeks ago. Take noth­ing away from the very tal­ented Trekking, he was su­per, but Miss Que was a gen­uine vic­tim of her 9 of 9 al­ley and showed enormous fight to stick on get beaten a mere neck. I am not a weights and mea­sures man per se but it might be at least worth men­tion­ing that she goes from 53kgs to 54.5kgs where Trekking up from 54kgs to 58kgs. That sub­stan­tial rise in weight for is one of the rea­sons why I have 12. RE­NEWAL (77) marked down as dan­ger to Miss Que. This Team Hawkes trained 4YO has won 3 of his 6 starts, was 3rd an­other time and has two 4ths, that last one / last run 3.2-lens in the G2 Phar Lap to Un­for­got­ten. He came a long way last prepa­ra­tion in those fours runs which is a very good sign in­deed for what lay ahead for him this spring. He has the qual­ity to sug­gest a fea­ture race is within his reach and his trial was out­stand­ing. If there is a blowout here, it’s one horse and one horse only — 5. ROCK FORTHE LADIES (82). First start new trainer lovely (quiet) tri­als; was $34 in places.

RACE 9

IF you have time, go and watch

2. EA­GLE BAY (77) first-up at Rand­wick on Aug. 4. he’ll be easy to find — stone mother­less last, flash­ing home over the last 200m

fin­ish 9th of 15 beaten 4.8-lens. Look at the last 200m sec­tional — 11.00s — OMG! fastest (33.10s) last 600m too. Just glo­ri­ous numbers. Drew 15 that day, has 5 tomorrow. He was $15 to $26 fresh so there per­haps im­prove­ment in him and he is 2s 0-1-1 sec­ondup. hard to say if 3. PARET (77) runs or not. I’ve seen this camp scratch for less on rac­ing morn­ing. If he runs, he’s an ob­vi­ous player given those back to back wins but I will say (as devil’s ad­vo­cate) he has been on the end of ev­ery pos­si­ble favour in both. 6. SANC­TIONED (75) is third-up here off two lovely runs, the last one was a 2.5-lens 4th in

‘Ea­gle Bay race’ at HQ three weeks ago. The ex­tra 100m suits him. I was all over 12. KEEP UP (70) when he was sup­posed to race at a WF mid­weeker re­cently, he was scratched. I can­not say I am any­where near as con­fi­dent here but he is $51.

Miss Que (green) just fails to nab Trekking in their last clash

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