Cash in on An­other Dol­lar

The Sportsman Weekend - - Randwick Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Good 4. The rail is out 10m from the mile to the win­ning post so it will be im­por­tant to see what hap­pens early in re­gard lead­ers ver­sus back­mark­ers.

RACE 1

THIS has to be the best Bm74 ever run, fair dinkum! Ten of the 14 are last start win­ners, 5 those un­beaten. In­cluded among that quin­tet is one of the most ex­cit­ing horses in sport at present — 9. MORE SUN­DAYS (63).

This Hayes/Dabernig trained, John Sin­gle­ton owner/bred colt is by Fast­net Rock out of 8-times G1 win­ner More Joy­ous. More Sun­days is her sec­ond foal, her first is Woman (by Frankel) and is smart her­self. More Sun­days won bril­liantly at Gee­long on de­but on Aug. 6 then came to Syd­ney and turned in what a good mate good judge de­scribed me as ‘the best trial he has ever seen!’. Holy cow! It was pretty good. Ker­rin McEvoy and gate 5 should see him get a lovely run. Note that he lead when he won at Gee­long but was back nearer to last in the trial be­fore let­ting rip over top of them so he has some ver­sa­til­ity. I wish I could say that 14. SANGITA (62) was a cer­tainty of run­ning be­cause I am rather con­fi­dent that she is the ex­acta horse in the race but as 3rd emer­gency with no signs of any scratch­ings, she might miss out. That brings us to 10. SYMI (66), the sis­ter to Catchy, who was brave and de­ter­mined beat­ing Mis­teed co in a Can­ter­bury mid­weeker on de­but. Has up­side.

RACE 2

5. ABDON (85) is a GB-im­port from the Waller sta­ble who races in colours of Richard ‘Amelia’s Dream’ Pegum. One quick note on his pedi­gree, he is by a G1 son of Dane­hill named Cacique out a mare Kin­ni­aird who won the 3YO fil­lies G1 over 2000m run on Arc day at Longchamp. Abdon is 13s 2-3-1, his only Aus­tralian run to date was an eye-catch­ing 4th at Caulfield in a 1700m Bm84. James McDon­ald gave him a very, very easy trial at Rose­hill on Aug. 20. Bet­ting flucs may as­sist. Sta­ble­mate 2. NAVAL WAR­FARE (89) was a dual ac­cep­tor, he runs here in­stead of in the last race. The son Born To Sea has ap­par­ently been gelded since he ran last of 8 in the Bris­bane Cup on Jun. 9. He has had the two tri­als, one at Sun­shine Coast Aug. 14, the other (a nice one) was at WF 10-days later. Seems ‘overs’ at $23 (Thursday morn­ing TAB mar­ket). 10. GAMBLESTOWN (76) was my top pick in a race at Can­ter­bury on Wed­nes­day but Joe Pride elected to run here in­stead. Granted it is a harder race he has much less weight in this race than he had on Wed­nes­day.

RACE 3

UN­FOR­TU­NATELY, my two top picks are not likely to get a run here and I was pretty con­fi­dent about them both run­ning into the medals namely 14. SEEBLUME (66) and 17. RAP­TURE MISS (61). Both are emer­gen­cies and nei­ther has a jockey no­ti­fied even though Seeblume ac­tu­ally made the field given the scratch­ing of Sax­ton Rock. I’ll keep this race brief be­cause if nei­ther of these two mares run, I wouldn’t know where to look, it’s a lot­tery, but as­sum­ing Seeblume was there — she’s the one. The Can­berra mare, who started out life with James Cum­mings then went to Kris Lees, has a huge fin­ish on her. By now we may know if the back­mark­ers have any chance of win­ning, if they aren’t then Seeblume is the last horse you want to be on here. Make that the sec­ond last, Rap­ture Miss is a fe­male Bern­bor­ough. 4. TABLE MOUN­TAIN (66), 12 NOT BOSSY (570 — sadly a back­marker — 2. ATHONIS (68) and of course 5. SAFE LAND­ING (62) are next best in that or­der if Seeblume stays home.

RACE 4

I WAS all over 8. THE LORD

MAYOR (80) when he made his Aus­tralian de­but ar Rand­wick on Aug. 4 and wasn’t alone, was $9 into $5 on the NOP and I think was $21 in places day be­fore? What­ever case, he was backed for a stack but went aw­ful. No real ex­cuses to my eye but the jockey said he wasn’t suited rac­ing back (and wide) in an on-pac­ers race. Fair enough I sup­pose. Ei­ther way, he’s tri­alled again and he went re­ally nicely when J-Mac rode him, he rides on race day. Mas­sive im­prover! I am not at all con­fi­dent the ‘dan­gers’ will run, they be­ing sta­ble­mates 2. BIRHAM ROCKS (85) who drawn a very wide gate, much less 1. CARZOFF (89) who is sup­posed to be in the Wy­ong Cup on Fri­day. we just can­not go any fur­ther into this race be­cause we (that’s all of us lit­tle pun­ters out there) just don’t know what it will be like on race day so forget about Fixed Odds bet­ting.

RACE 5

WITH the great­est re­spect to one of my favourite horses (Trapeze Artist) who I tipped in the Slip­per, Sires and the Cham­pagne (is how much I love him), I am sur­prised he is $4.60 fav over 1. REDZEL (118) to win the Ever­est. All things be­ing equal, at this point in time I would have Redzel just ahead of Trapeze Artist and a break to the oth­ers. Just say­ing. And rea­son I am say­ing all this is that I re­ally do think he (Redzel) close to a good thing in the Con­corde to­mor­row. All I needed to see from the son of Snitzel was a good trial and rest as­sured, his win in that Aug. 20 heat very, very rem­i­nis­cent of how he was tri­alling be­fore he won last year’s Ever­est. Redzel the Con­corde too in 2017 run­ning smash­ing time and win­ning by a de­cent mar­gin. I think he can do it again to­mor­row but has some very se­ri­ous com­pe­ti­tion in 5. INVINCIBLE STAR (103) whose Ever­est slot hold­ing prospects will be de­cided in an un­der a minute at about 2.35pm, give or take, this week­end. She ran 2nd to Mer­chant Navy in the Cool­more and we know that is world class form now. Her tri­als have been out of this world im­pres­sive — she is greased light­ning this mare! Will she go flat out and try to run Redzel off his feet with this rail where it is? Su­per Too tried it one day and Redzel just ran straight past her over the last 100m. This mare is a bit bet­ter per­formed than Su­per Too so what a race we are gear­ing up for. 4. KAEPERNICK (105) will be run­ning on but surely a 56s 1000m with the rail out 10m means noth­ing will run ei­ther “Big Red” or Tul­loch Lodge mare down.

RACE 6

IF the rail was in the nor­mal spot, 9. LANCIATO (103) would be $4 sec­ond pick here, but 10m out and the ex­treme out­side draw, well, pun­ters/book­ies might take a lit­tle risk with him and I can see why on pa­per, it’s go­ing to be in all like­li­hood a mas­sive win against the pat­tern if he hap­pens win at all. I am noth­ing if not loyal to my horses and I have been with Lanciato for a while now — he has come back enor­mous! I tipped him to win the Mis­sile at $21 and ev­ery­one said af­ter the race that Lanciato was run of race. His sec­tion­als were Black Caviar like! Four of his five 200m splits were sub 11s and 32.60s last 600m was the fastest of the lot. Take note that he is 3 for 3 sec­ondup and 1400m go­ing to suit him a good deal more than a 1:08.41s 1200m. Tommy Berry goes on to­mor­row, he’ll ride Lanciato like Chau­tauqua. 11. DIXIE BLOS­SOMS (108) is a bonny mare from the Ron Quin­ton sta­ble. Boy, she has some won­der­ful num­bers; Track — 9s 4-1-2, Dist — 6s 3-2-0, t/d 2 for 2, first-up she is 7s 2-3-0. Tri­alled su­per, drawn a peach bar­rier. Chris­tian Reith has rid­den her twice, the last time was her win in Guy Wal­ter first-up. Hon­est as they come this mare. 1. LE RO­MAIN (115) was in an­other di­men­sion to his ri­vals first-up and won ac­cord­ingly. Got a great ride by James McDon­ald who not sur­pris­ingly goes on to 4. PIERATA (109) here hav­ing rid­den him to win the Mis­sile. The more I look at Pierata’s record, I won­der to my­self how I haven’t got him up higher, even on top.

RACE 7

WALLER has seven ‘run­ners’ here and I have him col­lect­ing the tri­fecta in the (boxed) or­der of 11. SATONO RASEN (101), 15. UN­FOR­GOT­TEN (105) and 4. ONE FOOT IN HEAVEN (107). The rail could play havoc with the Waller run­ners given that so many of his horses go back in their races. The nor­mal pat­tern the above three is ‘back’ so again, any bias with this rail place­ment is go­ing to be cru­cial to their col­lec­tive chances. The Deep Im­pact son Satono Rasen has been in Aus­tralia for three runs, two of them in G1’s, the other in a G2. He hasn’t been mind blow­ing by any mea­sure by let’s wipe the slate clean and start again for a sec­ond prepa­ra­tion which be­gins on the right foot — i.e., a nice, easy 3.5-lens 8 of 8 in deep heat at Rose­hill on Aug. 20. Oaks win­ner Un­for­got­ten was close to the run of the race be­hind Winx in Winx, that a su­per re­turn from a very, very good mare. Note that she is 4s 1-0-0 first-up but 3s 2w sec­ond-up so if she goes bet­ter here than she did in the Winx, she’ll be very close at fin­ish. 4. ONE FOOT IN HEAVEN (107) is a hun­dred times bet­ter than his two Aus­tralian runs, a bit like Satono Rosen in that re­gard. So, as with our Ja­panese friend, let us star afresh on Satur­day.

RACE 8

8. PRETTY IN PINK (75) equals very, very nice filly! She is trained by John O’Shea for Se­gen­hoe which reminded me of the pair’s North­ern Me­teor filly Bound For Earth who was $21 when she up­set the hot-pot Guelph in the 2013 Fu­ri­ous Stakes. Pretty In Pink is a Se­bring filly who ran down and cleared away from the speedy mil­lion dol­lar year­ling King on de­but at Gos­ford in a 1000m maiden An­zac Day. The filly went to Scone for a May 12 date with the Listed Wood­lands and was un­be­liev­ably im­pres­sive. You can’t come from be­hind Invictus Salute and beat her by 2-lesn go­ing away un­less you are very, very good. The $10 is a lux­ury about this filly — she’s tri­alled su­per too since! Box 3 and Tye Ang­land. These other fil­lies are so even that it is hard to align them in any sort of pref­er­ence but from a pure trial point of view, I did like what I saw from 5. FUN­DA­MEN­TAL­IST (80) at WF the other day and am per­son­ally mark­ing ‘up’ ‘up’ any horses that went around in the Atkins be­hind The Au­tumn Sun as this filly did — she ran third. 1. OOHOOD (96) has got to be the first and only maiden in the world to win $1m surely. She’ll win a race one day, it might be here but then again — what is the rail place­ment go­ing to mean to her? 12. MISS FAB­U­LASS (680 boom horse — ques­tions will be asked and an­swered in this. I am not knock­ing her but I can’t put her $3.40 up against the $10 for Pretty In Pink and think it’s any value no mat­ter how good she might be.

RACE 9

THIS race (in terms of my own pick) will be de­pend on where 9. AN­OTHER DOL­LAR (89) runs. Will it here or will it be in the Mona Lisa at Wy­ong on Fri­day? I tipped her in both be­cause I reckon she’s fly­ing and she meets the re­quire­ment of my adopted sys­tem which is ‘first-up out of an oaks”, in her case it was a close 2nd to Youngstar in the Queens­land ver­sion. If she runs at Wy­ong, all of my sup­port switches to 7. BEST OF DAYS (87) who was in­cred­i­bly un­lucky and very im­pres­sive at his Aus­tralian de­but when 3-lens off Kaonic in that 1400m Bm89 here on Aug. 18 specked a bit, $9 into $7. The James Cum­mings trained horse is 2s 0-1-1 when sec­ond-up and he had tri­alled re­ally well be­fore his Rand­wick run. 3. SAMBRO (94) won the Hawkes­bury Guineas then Queens­land in con­sec­u­tive starts be­fore a spell and has tri­alled quite well. I can’t imag­ine this is any­where close to his Grand Fi­nal but you could say the same about An­other Dol­lar I guess.

An­other Dol­lar.

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