Im­pact ready to strike

The Sportsman Weekend - - Randwick Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a ‘rain af­fected track’, to what ex­tent it is dif­fi­cult to know but rain is about! (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing. All horses are con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day 1 PM.

RACE 1

HATS off to 1. ROYAL CEL­E­BRA­TION (69) for his won­der­ful first-up run when he cov­ered ground from an out­side draw only to be nailed late. The Ron Quin­ton­trained colt has some deep form on his C.V. not least his se­cond to The Au­tumn Sun here over this same trip. This colt is pretty promis­ing and could win a nice race if he can stretch him­self to a mile one day. As for to­mor­row, he is bang on tar­get bear­ing in mind that his win came when se­cond up. Should get a nice run be­ing drawn 4 of 7. Who­ever bought 3. YULONG JAN­UARY (65) as a year­ling is a ge­nius. Sure, he is full to SW’er in Jus­tify That but $20,000 pocket money at most year­ling sales and cer­tainly one of the cheaper horses that Mr Zhang would have bought. His two wins have been great – so much qual­ity and pur­pose about them both –

in terms of the Syd­ney-way, it didn’t hurt this one’s stable­mate Du­bi­ous who won Breed­ers’ Plate last Sat­ur­day. Drawn 1 – surely he leads? 2. SILENT EX­PLORER (66) was an eye catcher when 2-len fifth in the Gem Song/ Royal Cel­e­bra­tion race last start. Third-up now and wants 1400m big time. 5. TOUGH LARRY (65) loved up to his name with that de­but win. Scratched from WF on Wed­nes­day for this. Good luck to the great man, Ken Cal­lan­der, whose fam­ily are in him in a big way.

RACE 2

HIGH­WAY time now and I like the chances of 8. RAPTURE MISS (640) from the Matthew Dale camp – we know his record in High­ways is very good. Rapture Miss, who has Tommy Berry rid­ing is a known back­marker with big fin­ish. The daugh­ter of Smart Mis­sile han­dles all sur­faces and comes back for her se­cond High­way tilt hav­ing gone back home won (in a dead heat) at Moruya. Her run in the pre­ced­ing High­way was

beauty, she made up heaps of ground straight and that was 1400m. She dead heated over 1650m and this is 1600m where she has a record of 5s 2-2-1. Go well. Stable­marte 5. DREAM BUILDER (63) is a Lonhro with a rock solid record of 10s 3-12. The horse strikes this race se­cond-up off a come from be­hind and very im­pres­sive win against some ob­sta­cles in 1400m race in Can­berra. Has won up to 2100m so the mile is per­fect for him and he should race quite a bit hand­ier from draw this time. Speak­ing of Can­berra, the Joseph/Jones/ Jones gal­loper 2. ATHONIS (61) is back at HQ hav­ing run third in a High­way over 1400m two starts ago. Races promi­nently. 14. VER­TEX (56) was fan­tas­tic at big odds when 3rd in a Rose­hill High­way over 1500m last start.

RACE 3

FOR­MER Kiwi gal­loper 10. KEEP UP (69) looked home at WF last start in a mid­weeker be­fore High Bridge got the gap and beat him by 1.5-len. High Bridge was fourth in the Met­ro­pol­i­tan last week so it’s no dis­grace at all. Keep Up is a horse that gets back and comes late, there’s no jockey in the world you want on a horse like that more than Ja­son Col­lett who rode him bril­liantly at the Farm. De­serves a win, he’s been beau­ti­fully man­aged by his trainer Clare Cun­ning­ham. 1. RAQEEQ (77) was un­lucky last start. OMG was he un­lucky! He should have won that race, it was hor­ri­ble see­ing him climb­ing all over their backs over the last bit. James McDon­ald goes on to­mor­row and so ex­pect him to get his op­por­tu­nity. No one is rid­ing bet­ter than J-Mac. On the ‘query side’ of the ledger. Raqeeq has not won on slow go­ing in 8 starts and is 3s 0-0-0 at Rand­wick but I guess a case could be made that the runs here are pretty solid none­the­less and if it got se­ri­ously wet, he might stay at home any­way. 3. TAMARACK (74) was third in the same race as Raqeeq a tragedy beaten in last start. Tamarack is good, solid per­former who has placed at both runs around the trip, one of them was a third to High Bridge and Wed­nes­day’s thump­ing WF win­ner Scratches as re­cently as three runs back.

RACE 4

JA­SON Coyle ac­cepted for the Angst with 7. INSENSATA (85)

– that’s how well she is go­ing, but runs here in­stead. I truly be­lieve she is ‘go­ing well’ de­spite the form guide telling us that she is ‘76648’ at her last five runs. Look at the races she was in and bear in mind that is a pro­nounced back­marker. She very par­tic­u­lar mare in the way she needs to be rid­den and it just doesn’t lend it­self to many wins, es­pe­cially against mares like Shu­mookh, Cham­pagne Cud­dles, Princess Posh and the handy Godol­phin geld­ing Best of Days. Go back to the Group 3 Toy Show and she was only 1.5-len Egyp­tian Sym­bol in a walk­ing race. Point is, this is far, far eas­ier than any­thing she has been in for a long time and man, how does she get i with 53kg – god bless the bench­mark sys­tem! An­other very well weighted horse in this race is James Cum­mings’ 9. ETYMOLOGY (85) who has 52.5kg. A big, strong horse like him won’t even feel that when he is let­ting rip late (with Insensata). The sin if New Ap­proach has only won two from 23 but he placed nive times and three thirds from four first-up runs. Tri­alled well. 4. MAGIC ALIBI (92) won the Gai Water­house at Ip­swich, was third in the Sher­aco fresh then made up ground when 2.7-len (se­cond last) Group 2 Golden Pen­dant. Right in this.

RACE 5

JA­PANESE-bred, UK raced im­port 11. FIERCE IM­PACT (78) was well backed when a 0.8-len se­cond to 7. TIP TOP (83) in 1400m Bm88 fresh up short, sharp first Aus­tralian cam­paign dur­ing which time he ran a close third at WF then was boom­ing win­ner over 1400m here. As son of Deep Im­pact he will rel­ish the mile, more so given that he is one for one over the mile. Will be get­ting home hard again as his pat­tern. 2. ABDON (85) had a few ex­cuses for his 11th of 13 be­hind The Lord Mayor in a 2000m race here on Sep 22. He was mile back in the run and had to bump his way out of a hole ran on rea­son­ably well af­ter that. He is back to 1600m but with this sta­ble (Waller), it’s no con­cern. Waller has four en­tered here and they are all a chance led by 5. THE AVENGER (79) in the Denise Martin colours. This horse was sev­enth in the Tip Top/Fierce Im­pact race and will ap­pre­ci­ate get­ting back up to the 1600m bear­ing in mind that he fin­ished all over the top of them win at MV start be­fore over the same trip. Look­ing for a bold run from 8. DROCHAID (82) at each-way odds. Deep race open to many pos­si­bil­i­ties.

RACE 6

RO­MAN Con­sul Stakes time and this Group 2 has a fab­u­lous hon­our roll of past win­ners not least the stal­lions Fast­net Rock and Ex­ceed And Ex­cel. Re­cent win­ners in­clude Zous­tar and Ex­o­sphere. I like the look of 8. SPIN (79) who has al­ways promised to win a good race. He is a good colt. The Peter and Paul Snow­den gal­loper is back in Syd­ney af­ter a highly cred­itable fourth in the Group 2 Dane­hill up the Flem­ing­ton straight. Luck hasn’t al­ways been on Spin’s side but we know the tal­ent is there. The widish bar­rier may also turn out to be a bless­ing for Spin who likes wind-up and come late. If it’s wet – even bet­ter. 1. SAND­BAR (88) is one of the tough­est three-year-old’s in Syd­ney and will ap­pre­ci­ate what is no doubt a drop in class for him, hav­ing run so well the 1400m Group 1 Golden Rose last start. He went across the line 0.5-len be­hind Graff and only 1.5-len from The Au­tumn Sun Zou­sain. Back to 1200m is no prob­lem, he is an on-pacer who bat­tle hard­ened and has a heart as big as him­self. What­ever beats him will most likely win. 3. JONKER (83) by-passed the Golden Rose (be­ing 1400m) af­ter plac­ing in the Run To The Rose for rea­son that 1200m is much bet­ter than 1400m for him at this stage. He is an on-pacer/ leader who will be in it a long way. Never sure what to make of

4. PER­FORMER (83).He’s trad­ing off his Breed­ers’ Plate win but one day might just run over the top of them – or maybe not.

RACE 7

JAMES Cum­mings won a Group 1 last week (the Ep­som) and might chalk up an­other one this week­end with 4. ARAMAYO (76) the horse to beat in the Spring Cham­pion. This horse is clas­si­cally bred like few oth­ers. His dam is a half-sis­ter to In The Wings and look at the brood­mare sires; Shirley Heights, Sea Hawk then 1955 Ir­ish Derby win­ner, Panaslip­per. He was so im­pres­sive win­ning the Spring Stakes over the mile at New­cas­tle in a race where Greysful Glam­our was third and she might win the VRC Oaks. Heck, this horse might win the VRC Derby – but it’s all sys­tems go to­mor­row he hasn’t peaked yet. How good is 12. FRANKELY AWE­SOME (69)? We will find out to­mor­row but up to this point, she has looked awe­some. A daugh­ter of the un­beaten Frankel and trained by Kris Lees, the Cress­field-owned and bred filly has been leagues above her ri­vals in her two starts – a New­cas­tle maiden the a Scone C2. This is a Group 1 against boys but she could be any­thing. If she places here – wow, if she wins – wow, wow, wow. 2. TARKA (84) is aim­ing to give David Payne back-to-back VRC Der­bys. I thought he was a good thing last start in the Gloam­ing but went down to 1. THINKIN’ BIG (86). Can’t knock wither of those two horses but it seems to be that Aramayo is a bet­ter colt and the filly has the X-fac­tor that nei­ther of those two don’t pos­sess.

RACE 8

BOB Haire, the owner, breeder and orig­i­nal trainer of 5. I AM SE­RI­OUS (99) sent her to Chris Waller’s for one rea­son and one rea­son only – to win a stakes race. This is pay-day. Waller has done a huge job with the mare, he’s been un­lucky more than once trust me, but best of all he has her ready and able to win. Sure she is back to a mile from a 1900m and 2000m but they were both almighty plac­ings Avil­ius who might win the Bart Cum­mings to­mor­row and who knows, even be a force in Mel­bourne Cup. The only thing that has my slightly wor­ried is bar­rier 1. I can’t see how that a pos­i­tive for her on a wet track (if it’s gluey) and when we know she needs a good 300m to haul them in. In J-Mac trust! That said, re: the wet, there is a lot of Lunchtime(GB) in her – she is mud­lark. 1. DIXIE BLOS­SOMS (108) has won the Angst for the last two years and I am pre­pared to sug­gest she is go­ing as well, not bet­ter, but as well. She should won have the Tramway first-up, no doubt in world the protest should been up­held! She was pinned to the rails up run­ning when sixth in Golden Pen­dant, I sus­pect she’ll be one-off the fence from gate 4 this time and be chal­leng­ing late. One has to ad­mire the Pen­dant win­ner 2. SHU­MOOKH (105) who was headed by Cham­pagne Cud­dles in the Pen­dant but rose again and claimed a thor­oughly de­served Group 2 win. Her form is so deep.

RACE 9

MAGIC Mil­lions co-sale top­per ($1.3m on 2017) 14. TCHAIKOVSKY (71) has won back less than $80,000 in his six starts but there is some­thing there. We saw as much when he was third in the Pago Pago then went to Gos­ford and smashed Wag­ner in a very deep 1200m maiden on soft 6. track. That was his only win and I em­pha­sise that it came a soft

Peter and Paul Snow­den have gone into their trick bag and found some blink­ers for the colt and hope­fully that will spark him into ac­tion and re­mind of his breed­ing he should be win­ning races! Last chance to­mor­row for him with me – its win/ place or so long farewell. 1. TOP STRIKER (80) can never be ruled out of any race he con­tests. He is a great trier, a good, hon­est on­pacer whose record would be even bet­ter had he not drawn so many damn wide bar­ri­ers. He has drawn gate eight to­mor­row which is bet­ter than he usu­ally gets so now it is a mat­ter of how he car­ries the 61kgs. 7. DAWN DAWN (75) is a gen­er­ous tal­ent with a fine record in devel­op­ment and great trial be­hind her.

Fierce Im­pact.

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