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The Sportsman Weekend - - Doomben A Detailed Formguide - WITH GREG SPLETTER

Race 1

It’s look­ing as though we’re likely to be run­ning on rain af­fected ground so we’ll peg it at around a soft-7 and hope for the best. IMPAVIDO got the job done for us last week­end, just, and in the soft con­di­tions we’ll stick with him. Clung on for dear life un­der 57.5kg and is up 3kg here but it’s not a strong field. He’s def­i­nitely some risk but prob­a­bly about right at $2.30. MONACO SNOB has been in top form this sea­son and notched his hat-trick last start with an easy win over this dis­tance at the Sunny Coast. My big query for him is the wet, with a sin­gle maiden win at Ea­gle Farm his only suc­cess in seven tries on wet ground and some of runs in those con­di­tions have been very or­di­nary. I have a feel­ing the breed don’t like it wet, and given he is the stand­out se­cond pick with bag­men does make Impavido look bet­ter. COLOUR OF MONEY to earn prize­money, plac­ing be­hind Monaco Snob last start but he also has a hard time of it on wet tracks, win­less af­ter 14 at­tempts.

Race 2

Mad scam­per time again with the un­raced two-year-olds fac­ing starter, but GUNTANTES might have a bit on them. Raced well to the bend in his trial and re­ally opened up when kicked up a gear by Dale Smith. At­tacked the line which is a good sign from an un­raced young­ster, and the Rothe­says do tend to love it wet. Only time will tell if the $2.15 is good value. READY TO PARTY looked al­most as im­pres­sive in his trial cov­er­ing ex­tra ground out off the fence and had more to give on line. Clocked a sig­nif­i­cantly slower time than the top pick and that’s the rea­son for the price dif­fer­en­tial with this one on the se­cond line at $4.40. SOLDATI ran okay be­hind Ready to Party but as usual these races are more look-and-learn jobs than some­thing to load up on.

Race 3

In­trigu­ing race on pa­per with the sole ex­pe­ri­enced run­ner – and an un­beaten one at that draw­ing well and the three big tri­als win­ners draw­ing out off the track. I was pretty im­pressed with NIEDORP who was a touch slug­gish out of the gate at trial time but mus­tered along out­side and like Guntantes put them away in the straight with a big fin­ish. Looked green in the straight and that ex­pe­ri­ence will do her the world of good. Some query with draw, but if she can give in straight to­mor­row like that she will win. COURSSHEWILL got the job done at Toowoomba on de­but and will also ben­e­fit from that race­day ex­pe­ri­ence. Hard to line her up against some im­pres­sive tri­als win­ners but the win­ner of that early Toowomba race tends to be com­pet­i­tive when they back up in town. COUN­TRY COCK­TAIL flew the start in her trial and that will stand in good stead to­mor­row. Her win­ning time was a lot slower than Niedorp’s but she should be in front of her on straight­en­ing and the Snitzels do tend to run well wet.

Race 4

LULU EX­PRESS was a strong win­ner here a cou­ple of weeks ago beat­ing stronger field with a sim­i­lar weight and although back against the boys to­mor­row she does look hard to beat. There’s no doubt she’s one of those Snitzels that love it wet with two wins and a plac­ing from four wet tracks starts, she has drawn per­fectly and I can’t be­lieve she’ll be go­ing round at $4.40 against what is a weak class three line-up. BUL­LET SHOT car­ried a big weight to vic­tory at his first start for Matthew Dunn up here af­ter some patchy form down south. Looked okay at pro­vin­cial class one level but dipped ev­ery time he was tested be­yond that. MR BEL­LA­GIO drops 3kg with the claim on his lat­est plac­ing be­hind the fly­ing Stella Vic­to­ria and has drawn much bet­ter to­mor­row. He has a nice win in soft go­ing to his credit and de­serves se­cond billing at $5.50.

Race 5

Very keen on NIC­CANOVA here to fi­nally crack it for a win at his fourth run back this prep. Ran the shocker of his life first-up Rocky on a soft-7 but im­proved at his last two here, fin­ish­ing a length or so from slick types Amanaat and Tver­sky re­spec­tively. Aside that woe­ful Rock­hamp­ton re­sult he is un­beaten on wet tracks and with only 55.5kg looks a good thing. Make him your big­gest bet of the day at the $2.35. FIERY HEIGHTS jus­ti­fied his top weight last start with a nose win over a rea­son­able sprint field here at 1200m. He does go well in soft con­di­tions and ac­tu­ally drops a kilo into this stronger as­sign­ment but I don’t think he will be able to stave off the fin­ish of Nic­canova. Bit of a gap to the rest them, but DREAM FIN­NISH is handy on her day and will strip fit­ter for a de­cent first-up hitout be­hind Tver­sky.

Race 6

Warn­ing: trap race ahead. I was happy to be on Tisani Tomso with the rain around but with his scratch­ing any­thing could win. Per­haps top­i­cally I’ve set­tled on MIS­ERY who has won two of his last four and was only beaten a lip on the line by Volkoff weeks ago. He has a strong record in the con­di­tions, but he has never won be­yond 1110m and the 1050m on a soft-7 will empty tank. As good as any at $5.50 but with­out much con­fi­dence. JUST ORM has an or­di­nary wet track record on pa­per but his re­sults are bet­ter than they seem. Nar­rowly beaten by Malvern Es­tate in open grade ear­lier this year on a soft-7 and that is strong form for race like this. Gets 6.5kg off his back from his lat­est win in much weaker com­pany and he’ll need ev­ery one of them. VOLKOFF turned it all around at the Sun­shine Coast last time win­ning a stronger race af­ter fail­ing to beat run­ner home there the run prior. The West Aus­tralians rarely han­dle wet con­di­tions but if she does get through it okay will go close. Go wide in your quaddie and tread lightly.

Race 7

Things are more straight for­ward here with DE­FENCE MIS­SILE gun­ning for his third win and at $3.10 I’ll back him in. Left a sim­i­lar field stand­ing two runs back on soft ground when five length win­ner over this course and dis­tance, then had to drop back a fur­long but still too strong for them on top of the ground. Ob­vi­ously rel­ishes sting out of the ground and drops a half kilo here af­ter the claim. PI­ZONIE found him too good at the Sun­shine Coast fin­ish­ing about a length astern and meets him half kilo worse for the de­feat. Didn’t im­press in two wet track runs at his first prepa­ra­tion, though ad­mit­tedly they were in strong stakes grade. Too close to De­fence Mis­sile at the $3.70 and is poor value. CLOCK­WISE ac­tu­ally makes stronger ap­peal as a bet­ting propo­si­tion out at $14 re­sum­ing from a spell. Picked up her pre­cious black type with a plac­ing in the Dal­rello last cam­paign and proved it was no fluke with a de­cent run in a very strong edi­tion of the Bill Carter won by Eawase. She is must for your quaddie, and even worth a small saver each way at the ridicu­lous quote.

Race 8

Tricky bar­rier for DI­A­MONDS ARE to­mor­row but with a bit of luck he can over­come it and even though this is handy field I’m not sure how he’s a $10 pop. Re­sumed with a strong run to beat all but Just Orm in Bm75 here, and that horse is favourite for the open sprint ear­lier on card on the back of the win. He drops 4kg into this, and last cam­paign won three on trot in­clud­ing a nar­row vic­tory here on a soft-7 car­ry­ing 59kg. Crazy price. HIN­GUS ROSE at $6.00 is lit­tle shorter than I would have ex­pected de­spite get­ting per­fect con­di­tions to­mor­row. Close-up in the blan­ket fin­ish be­hind Im­passe last time and did win in the wet run prior, though horse she beat has since been dis­ap­point­ing. PRUE’S AN­GEL was aw­ful at the Gold Coast in Au­gust but did lift her game last time to place be­hind Tawfiq Boy and sub­se­quent win­ner Di­vine Dice. Drawn well and likes it wet, I think she’s a bet­ter can­di­date for favouritism than Hin­gus Rose.

Race 9

In­ter­est­ing Bm85 to round out the day and while I may kick my­self after­wards I’m jump­ing onto HANG se­cond-up. Nice enough run at Toowoomba at his first hitout for Michael Nolan fin­ish­ing a half a length from the win­ner over 1200m. Bet­ter suited out to this trip where he won Toowoomba Guineas, and ran fourth in the Gun­synd Clas­sic be­hind Viller­mont. Han­dles it wet and has a bit of class about him. I’ll be an­noyed if ZOFONIC DANCER wins again af­ter re­pay­ing our faith with a hard fought win in a class six over this trip two weeks ago. Last time he met Hang he was only a half length or so be­hind him in the Gun­synd, but I just have nig­gling feel­ing about on a wet track. He’ll still be in my quaddie. JAM­IN­ZAH ran great race at his first run up here for the Waller team run­ning on strongly be­hind the fly­ing Pri­ori­tise over this track and dis­tance. He will feel ex­tra 5.5kg to­mor­row, and doesn’t have a flash record in the wet. I’d him fur­ther out than the top two picks in bet­ting and as such he is poor value at $4.40. SPME01Z01MA - V1

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