It’s looking as though we’re likely to be running on rain affected ground so we’ll peg it at around a soft-7 and hope for the best. IMPAVIDO got the job done for us last weekend, just, and in the soft conditions we’ll stick with him. Clung on for dear life under 57.5kg and is up 3kg here but it’s not a strong field. He’s definitely some risk but probably about right at $2.30. MONACO SNOB has been in top form this season and notched his hat-trick last start with an easy win over this distance at the Sunny Coast. My big query for him is the wet, with a single maiden win at Eagle Farm his only success in seven tries on wet ground and some of runs in those conditions have been very ordinary. I have a feeling the breed don’t like it wet, and given he is the standout second pick with bagmen does make Impavido look better. COLOUR OF MONEY to earn prizemoney, placing behind Monaco Snob last start but he also has a hard time of it on wet tracks, winless after 14 attempts.
Mad scamper time again with the unraced two-year-olds facing starter, but GUNTANTES might have a bit on them. Raced well to the bend in his trial and really opened up when kicked up a gear by Dale Smith. Attacked the line which is a good sign from an unraced youngster, and the Rothesays do tend to love it wet. Only time will tell if the $2.15 is good value. READY TO PARTY looked almost as impressive in his trial covering extra ground out off the fence and had more to give on line. Clocked a significantly slower time than the top pick and that’s the reason for the price differential with this one on the second line at $4.40. SOLDATI ran okay behind Ready to Party but as usual these races are more look-and-learn jobs than something to load up on.
Intriguing race on paper with the sole experienced runner – and an unbeaten one at that drawing well and the three big trials winners drawing out off the track. I was pretty impressed with NIEDORP who was a touch sluggish out of the gate at trial time but mustered along outside and like Guntantes put them away in the straight with a big finish. Looked green in the straight and that experience will do her the world of good. Some query with draw, but if she can give in straight tomorrow like that she will win. COURSSHEWILL got the job done at Toowoomba on debut and will also benefit from that raceday experience. Hard to line her up against some impressive trials winners but the winner of that early Toowomba race tends to be competitive when they back up in town. COUNTRY COCKTAIL flew the start in her trial and that will stand in good stead tomorrow. Her winning time was a lot slower than Niedorp’s but she should be in front of her on straightening and the Snitzels do tend to run well wet.
LULU EXPRESS was a strong winner here a couple of weeks ago beating stronger field with a similar weight and although back against the boys tomorrow she does look hard to beat. There’s no doubt she’s one of those Snitzels that love it wet with two wins and a placing from four wet tracks starts, she has drawn perfectly and I can’t believe she’ll be going round at $4.40 against what is a weak class three line-up. BULLET SHOT carried a big weight to victory at his first start for Matthew Dunn up here after some patchy form down south. Looked okay at provincial class one level but dipped every time he was tested beyond that. MR BELLAGIO drops 3kg with the claim on his latest placing behind the flying Stella Victoria and has drawn much better tomorrow. He has a nice win in soft going to his credit and deserves second billing at $5.50.
Very keen on NICCANOVA here to finally crack it for a win at his fourth run back this prep. Ran the shocker of his life first-up Rocky on a soft-7 but improved at his last two here, finishing a length or so from slick types Amanaat and Tversky respectively. Aside that woeful Rockhampton result he is unbeaten on wet tracks and with only 55.5kg looks a good thing. Make him your biggest bet of the day at the $2.35. FIERY HEIGHTS justified his top weight last start with a nose win over a reasonable sprint field here at 1200m. He does go well in soft conditions and actually drops a kilo into this stronger assignment but I don’t think he will be able to stave off the finish of Niccanova. Bit of a gap to the rest them, but DREAM FINNISH is handy on her day and will strip fitter for a decent first-up hitout behind Tversky.
Warning: trap race ahead. I was happy to be on Tisani Tomso with the rain around but with his scratching anything could win. Perhaps topically I’ve settled on MISERY who has won two of his last four and was only beaten a lip on the line by Volkoff weeks ago. He has a strong record in the conditions, but he has never won beyond 1110m and the 1050m on a soft-7 will empty tank. As good as any at $5.50 but without much confidence. JUST ORM has an ordinary wet track record on paper but his results are better than they seem. Narrowly beaten by Malvern Estate in open grade earlier this year on a soft-7 and that is strong form for race like this. Gets 6.5kg off his back from his latest win in much weaker company and he’ll need every one of them. VOLKOFF turned it all around at the Sunshine Coast last time winning a stronger race after failing to beat runner home there the run prior. The West Australians rarely handle wet conditions but if she does get through it okay will go close. Go wide in your quaddie and tread lightly.
Things are more straight forward here with DEFENCE MISSILE gunning for his third win and at $3.10 I’ll back him in. Left a similar field standing two runs back on soft ground when five length winner over this course and distance, then had to drop back a furlong but still too strong for them on top of the ground. Obviously relishes sting out of the ground and drops a half kilo here after the claim. PIZONIE found him too good at the Sunshine Coast finishing about a length astern and meets him half kilo worse for the defeat. Didn’t impress in two wet track runs at his first preparation, though admittedly they were in strong stakes grade. Too close to Defence Missile at the $3.70 and is poor value. CLOCKWISE actually makes stronger appeal as a betting proposition out at $14 resuming from a spell. Picked up her precious black type with a placing in the Dalrello last campaign and proved it was no fluke with a decent run in a very strong edition of the Bill Carter won by Eawase. She is must for your quaddie, and even worth a small saver each way at the ridiculous quote.
Tricky barrier for DIAMONDS ARE tomorrow but with a bit of luck he can overcome it and even though this is handy field I’m not sure how he’s a $10 pop. Resumed with a strong run to beat all but Just Orm in Bm75 here, and that horse is favourite for the open sprint earlier on card on the back of the win. He drops 4kg into this, and last campaign won three on trot including a narrow victory here on a soft-7 carrying 59kg. Crazy price. HINGUS ROSE at $6.00 is little shorter than I would have expected despite getting perfect conditions tomorrow. Close-up in the blanket finish behind Impasse last time and did win in the wet run prior, though horse she beat has since been disappointing. PRUE’S ANGEL was awful at the Gold Coast in August but did lift her game last time to place behind Tawfiq Boy and subsequent winner Divine Dice. Drawn well and likes it wet, I think she’s a better candidate for favouritism than Hingus Rose.
Interesting Bm85 to round out the day and while I may kick myself afterwards I’m jumping onto HANG second-up. Nice enough run at Toowoomba at his first hitout for Michael Nolan finishing a half a length from the winner over 1200m. Better suited out to this trip where he won Toowoomba Guineas, and ran fourth in the Gunsynd Classic behind Villermont. Handles it wet and has a bit of class about him. I’ll be annoyed if ZOFONIC DANCER wins again after repaying our faith with a hard fought win in a class six over this trip two weeks ago. Last time he met Hang he was only a half length or so behind him in the Gunsynd, but I just have niggling feeling about on a wet track. He’ll still be in my quaddie. JAMINZAH ran great race at his first run up here for the Waller team running on strongly behind the flying Prioritise over this track and distance. He will feel extra 5.5kg tomorrow, and doesn’t have a flash record in the wet. I’d him further out than the top two picks in betting and as such he is poor value at $4.40. SPME01Z01MA - V1