Vic­torem to taste suc­cess

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Soft 7 or worse. All horses are con­sid­ers starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 PM. (N/R) denotes no rat­ing.

The Sportsman Weekend - - Randwick Preview - WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

RACE 1

THE She Will Reign con­nec­tion, Portelli, Mel­ham and Darby Blood­stock have a very, very nice colt in 2. DIS­RUP­TOR

(N/R) who looks to me like he has She Will Reign’s abil­ity to han­dle wet tracks. He has the trial form to win this and al­most be the best of the day. ran sec­ond Breed­ers’ Plate win­ner Du­bi­ous at of­fi­cial heats then was a big win­ner in his next heat and beat him­self that last one by hang­ing but was plough­ing late. Grand­son of heavy track Slip­per win­ner Se­bring out of wet sire Snitzel. Love him! 7.

ZOUSHACK (N/R) beat Dis­rup­tor on the heavy 8 in that last trial af­ter hav­ing run a great fourth to him the pre­vi­ous heat. If you want one sire’s name in the pedi­gree on a wet track, it’s this one’s dam-sire Canny Lad. 9. ANAHEED (N/R) has im­pressed at the tri­als. She is a lovely, big, strong Fast­net Rock out of Group 1 win­ner Ros­tova.

RACE 2

2. MEDITER­RANEAN (N/R) should re­ally be called Mediter­rain­ing given his Rough Habit like abil­ity on wet tracks. Lis­ten to this – he is 2s 1-1-0 on heavy yet 9s 0-0-0 good. Those two heavy runs in­clude the best win at Can­ter­bury I can re­mem­ber and a 0.2-len sec­ond (heavy 10) in the Rose­bud. He’s 100/1 on good, big chance on slow, just about wins if it’s heavy 9 or 10. The Danny Wil­liams-trained

6. MY BLUE JEANS (N/R) is well equipped on the slop and peak­ing now fourth-up off cou­ple of rea­son­able runs in High­ways at her last two. Drawn 15 but Col­lett is a mas­ter of find­ing fast lanes, the bloke is the best track walker in busi­ness. 18.

THINK LIKE A FOX (N/R) is an­other of the Danny Wil­liams run­ners here. She is a light­lyraced mare who has placed on a soft 5, never seen any­thing like this but she is not with­out claims. 13. THE FRICK (N/R) is first-up on a test­ing track in a de­cent High­way but he is bred to han­dle, and is proven on, wet tracks. Has no weight to speak of and that is al­ways an ad­van­tage in th­ese con­di­tions.

RACE 3

IT COULD be a huge day for Bert Vieira and Ger­ald Ryan to­mor­row with Trapeze Artist go­ing around in the Ever­est. They have 7. I LIKE IT EASY (65) re­sum­ing here off some puz­zling tri­als, that is to say, they are not the su­per im­pres­sive burst through line head on the chest that nor­mally at­tracts eye. But the last one was bet­ter than it looked, even though she was be­ing reeled in big time af­ter set­ting up a huge lead. I am sure that was her just idling down not stop­ping. Her form is rock solid, notably the de­but sec­ond to Graff at Rose­hill in a mid­weeker back on Apr 2. Hasn’t seen any­thing other than good but it by Pierro (mud­die) out of a Gen­eral Nediym mare.

1. CRISTOBAL (73) has 59kg which is 6kg more than I Like It Easy. I am sure Cristobal is a bet­ter filly and her record shows that but 6kg on this sort of track is quite sub­stan­tial. In Cristobal’s favour though, she has won of soft beat­ing guess who? Miss Fab­u­lass. 9. EVALINA (60) is a Kris Lees-trained filly who looks a lot like dam-sire Lonhro and was ex­tremely con­vinc­ing when she won at Wyong in a 1200m maiden last start. Much harder here but is pro­gres­sive.

RACE 4

QUITE keen on Tom Mel­bourne and Al­ward’s sib­ling and sta­ble­mate 12. ARAAJA (86) here. One other pedi­gree note, her dam is a half to Fiorente so she is worth for­tune at stud. The Chris Waller trained chest­nut

first-up from not a bad first Aus­tralian cam­paign where she ended up plac­ing in the 2400m Win­ter Cup. She has won at the trip and goes well enough on slow/heavy to get a tick. She has been run­ning through the line in her two 900m tri­als and

a feath­er­weight of 52kg. Well worth a look each-way. 14. FIERCE IM­PACT (76)

is an­other horse weighted on 52kg. This Ja­panese -bred and GB -raced im­port should prob­a­bly al­most be two for two first prep in Aus­tralia but even if you dis­pute that, you would have to agree that he was su­per im­pres­sive when won here at his sec­ond run. He re­sumed with a most en­cour­ag­ing 2nd to Tip Top over 1400m and is 2s 1-1-0 sec­ond-up. Is one for one on slow. 10. GOODFELLA (90) a smash­ing wet tracker be­ing for one on both slow and heavy. The Bjorn Baker trained gal­loper is back in class from his 15th of 20 the Ep­som when beaten 6.2-len by Hart­nell. Has a lovely set num­bers to be com­pet­i­tive. 6. SONS OF JOHN (96) is a player.

RACE 5

JENNY Gra­ham can pair 5. VIC­TOREM (92) and 12. AWE­SOME PLUCK (93) ran one-two in a Coun­try Cham­pi­onship Qual­i­fier at Port Mac and I think they can run one-two here in the in­au­gu­ral Kosciuszko. Vic­torem was in­cred­i­bly dom­i­nant when he won the Coun­try Cham­pi­onship Fi­nal in the au­tumn thanks in no small part to Ben Looker who is to him what Bow­man is to Winx. He is at one with this horse. Vic­torem is 7s 5-1-0 over­all and one of those wins was on a heavy 10 and he won by a minute. Awe­some Pluck like­wise has mas­sive win on a heavy 9 on his C.V and fair dinkum you would not see a bet­ter trial win than 8.2-len in heat af­ter the races at Port the other day. He is pretty raw and does a few things wrong but he is ma­chine. 1. THE MON­STAR (104) is the class horse in the race and could just about have been a re­serve for the Ever­est such is his form. I mean, he did run 3rd to Pier­ata and Ke­men­tari in the Mis­sile then was 4-lens off Redzel in the Con­corde and 2-len off Ball of Mus­cle in The Shorts. Loves wet as much as any­thing in this race and more than most.

RACE 6

THE Syd­ney Stakes is the Ever­est con­so­la­tion. Last year it was won by In Her Time, she and the run­ner-up Im­pend­ing both went faster than Redzel did when he won the Ever­est. In her Time may yet win the sec­ond Ever­est. This field is now worse than last year – it’s an ab­so­lute cracker. That said, the stars have aligned for 15. EGYP­TIAN SYM­BOL

(105). This Bjorn Baker-trained mare is 6s 4w fresh and is at her best on wet track. Baker has a habit of tim­ing horses for big races and I know that this is a tar­get race for the daugh­ter of 8-times Group 1 placed Our Egyp­tian Raine. He has ticked the jockey box – Ryan Moore! Wow. Tri­als have been as good as ever. There are wet track­ers and then there is 3. JUN­GLE

EDGE (108). Holy smokes look at his record on good and wet and as that lit­tle meerkat says ‘com­pare the air’. No wins from 21 on good, seven 14

heavy, from 21 on soft. Has 10 plac­ings com­bined on the slow/heavy. Drawn 2 so he will be nailed to the rails, I am just hop­ing my mare storms down the mid­dle and beats him. 13.

KEMONO (100) is a fas­ci­nat­ing run­ner. The Ja­panese mare from the Weir camp has fab­u­lous cre­den­tials. Big shout out to 9. TAC­TI­CAL AD­VAN­TAGE (99) and 8. BURN­ING PAS­SION (100).

RACE 7

THIS is it – Ever­est time. What a build-up. The last time I looked it was $7 for four favourites in a 12 horse race where you just can’t say they don’t all have a chance and yes I am in­clud­ing the re­serve, Bada­joz in that. If it was dry – I was Trapeze to beat Redzel and the rest can fight out for third but with the state of play as it cur­rently is, I went for Chau­tauqua. Just kid­ding. I like

10. SHOALS (114) and her a fair but too now. Seems a good draw (2), she loves the wet, she loves Rand­wick, she loves 1200m. The run in the Pre­miere was as good as win­ner (Santa Ana Lane) and run­ner-up (In Her Time) she is just as deadly, if not more so when sec­ond-up. Just so long as she doesn’t get boxed in ‘third fence’, I think she’ll be the fin­ish. 5.

VEGA MAGIC (115) has been to the t/d once and that was his luck­less 2nd in the Ever­est last year. It was a mas­sive run on part. He is top-notch (they all are) and comes here with the big gear change – it’s a huge gear change in fact, those blink­ers go­ing on. Is he bet­ter on dry than wet? To be hon­est I don’t know but is hardly what you call a duf­fer. Can’t leave 1.

REDZEL (118) out of the medals. He is su­per­star sprinter who drew what seems like a pos­i­tive draw for him in bar­rier. Surely he leads here and he has su­perb heavy track fig­ures. I just won­der that last lit­tle bit if it’s su­per and he’s been pres­sured. If he gets a soft run, he’ll be sweet as though. My roughie is the three-year-old 12.

GRAFF (94). I am work­ing on The Au­tumn Sun be­ing the best three-year-old in ages and it took him to beat Graff Golden Rose.

RACE 8

11. DIXIE BLOS­SOMS (108) is cry­ing out for 2000m even though it will her first time to the ten fur­longs to­mor­row against some pretty re­spectable horses. She should have won the Tramway on protest, was pinned up on the rails but clos­ing off in the Golden Pen­dant then showed in Angst that she wants more ground now as an older mare. Four of her six ca­reer wins are here at home and she is 2s 1-0-1 on heavy. Can maybe travel a wee-bit closer now hope­fully still fin­ish off with that turn of foot she is known for. 12. EGG

TART (108) has the con­di­tions to suit be­ing three for three on heavy. She run 3rd at her last two runs, one to Winx, the other to my Caulfield and Mel­bourne Cup horse Ace High. That last run was on a good 3 bear­ing in mind she is three from 15 on top of the ground but as I say, she’s un­beaten in the slop. 4. MOSS ‘N’ DALE (106) is a Peter Ge­lago­tis-trained geld­ing who won his last at MV then SA, the last one was the Tokyo City Cup in very em­phatic order. This guy is for one at HQ and his wet track abil­ity is re­flected in his record of 5s 3-2-0. I am sure 1. WHO SHOT THE­BAR­MAN (114) will be rid­den dif­fer­ently to­mor­row than what he was in the Hill Stakes. He could have a hand in the fin­ish if thing go his way.

RACE 9

CHRIS Waller has the two

aces here in 5. ONE FOOT IN HEAVEN (106) and 1. PATRICK ERIN (106). One Foot In Heaven is fourth-up now at 2600m com­ing off two runs 2000m in the Kingston Town (to Avil­lius) and Ace High in the Hill Stakes. He is up to 2600m now but that no worry with this trainer (ob­vi­ously) and bear in mind four of his six wins are at the 2400m. He is rac­ing like a horse who wants this trip too. The Ir­ish-bred Fast­net Rock son of three-times Group 1 win­ning Eu­ro­pean Cham­pion Mare Pride is 9s 4-1-2 on slow so he has to get a tick heavy with­out re­ally know­ing first, if will han­dle it, or if in­deed the track will be heavy. Tommy Berry sticks. Patrick Erin was ter­rific in the Metrop aided by a won­der­ful ride by Corey Brown re­tains

as you would ex­pect. He goes up from 51kg to 59.5kg but he car­ried 59kg when he ran well in the Welling­ton Cup over two miles. Dyed in the wool stayer.

RED CAR­DI­NAL (105) is a Dar­ren 2. Weir-trained who peaks on the day like all of Weir’s horses can and do. Untested in wet ground but he is by Mon­t­jeu so you’d think ‘yes’. Up from 2000m to 2600m two time 3200m win­ner.

RACE 10

GET Out Stakes to end Ever­est day – that is, a race with a host of chances. Those of you/us who fancy trial watch­ing will have three horses to back to­mor­row; Dis­rup­tor, Egyp­tian Sym­bol and

8. BEA­CON (74). This son of Lonhro has been su­perb in his two heats – one of them was a 3rd to his sta­ble­mate Roo­sevelt who pumped his ri­vals to win the last at WF on Wed­nes­day. Bea­con is 2s 1w fresh and whilst he has never seen it wet, Lonhro and Fast­net Rock (mare) is a com­pelling mix. Drawn 2 for ‘The Gun’. The dan­ger the sta­ble­mate 2. REVENIRE (78) who is also first-up and has like­wise tri­alled ex­tremely well. He proven on slow heavy and is 3s 2-1-0 fresh. 5. BROOK

MAGIC (79) has some won­der­ful num­bers as well for a 1000m race first-up on rain soaked turf. 4. BLUE TY­COON (76) is a watch, His trial was good the other day. Think he is a top of the ground horse maybe. 9. FAN­NING (74) is best of the rest at odds.

Shoals.

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