THE EARLY CROW

The Sportsman Weekend - - Caulfield Preview -

THE AN­CHOR

Hu­mi­dor (Race 8) can atone for an un­lucky pas­sage in the Un­der­wood Stakes here a cou­ple of weeks ago with a win in a star-stud­ded Caulfield Stakes. He was held up on the bend be­hind traf­fic and closed im­pres­sively in a sim­i­lar fin­ish to his Mem­sie Stakes win here ear­lier last month. This time last year he was fin­ish­ing hot on

the heels of the placeget­ters in the Caulfield Cup and giv­ing Winx scare of her life so this is his time, at $7.50 is worth mak­ing a win­ner for you whether you like him or not.

THE LAY

Not easy to find a worth­while favourite to lay con­sid­er­ing I’m happy with the prices of most of the short­ies and am on them, but per­haps

for­eigner Com­i­cas (Race 2) is a false fave at $4.50. He hasn’t pro­duced an earth­shat­ter­ing re­sult since his plac­ing in the Golden Shaheen 18 months ago, and will be giv­ing sev­eral nice types here 6kg a head­start. Happy to work around him in my busi­ness on the race.

BELLE AND THE BEAU: ALL-UP

The favourites for the two Guineas races are gen­uine stars and have looked sim­ply bet­ter than their peers in the lead-up to to­mor­row’s as­sign­ment. The belle, Smart Melody (Race 6) is un­beaten in five runs and from the ideal gate looks well priced for us at $2.80. The beau, The Au­tumn Sun (Race 9) is a gen­uine su­per­star in the mak­ing and should also be un­de­feated af­ter shock­ing luck in the Stan Fox ear­lier this prep. He’s priced up to his best at $1.90 but he’s given us no rea­son doubt him, so we’re on. To­gether, this pair give us $5.30 for the all-up and that’s a great price about two of best go­ing round.

THE QUADDIE

I’d be in­clined to split your quaddie money this week, hav­ing half in one with The Au­tumn Sun one-out, and the other half a cou­ple of dan­gers thrown into the third leg. Here’s my broader quaddie:

Leg 1: 1,2,5,14.

2: 2,3,10,12.

Leg 3: 1,4,6.

4: 5,6,9,13,15.

A $100 out­lay should yield us around 42% of the divvy. On the skinny quaddie, 125%. Good luck!

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