Sun­light to burn her ri­vals

The Sportsman Weekend - - Flemington Preview - WITH TONY THOMAS

RACE 1:

Pre­pared to stick with 5. RANIER. Sta­ble says he’s still a work in progress who will be bet­ter the au­tumn but reckon he’s go­ing well enough now to test these. No doubts he should have won here two starts back and then clocked best last 800, 600, 400 and 200 of the race to wear down Yu­long Jan­uary at Caulfield. His last 200m was the fourth fastest all day. Don’t see any rea­son why he won’t han­dle the ex­tra 200m, even bet­ter suited back at Flem­ing­ton and he’s drawn to get all the favours. 6. WILD PLANET won’t be far away. Tremen­dous ef­fort to sit wide with­out cover and hold off Ranier here and then again trapped wide with­out cover when a fight­ing third to Ranier at Caulfield. He’s tough and tal­ented and drawn bet­ter this time around. 9. SYD’S COIN is a smokey with a chance. He didn’t have whole lot of luck be­hind Wild Planet here and then dropped in grade, tracked very wide on the turn, too good at Caulfield over this trip. Def­i­nite each-way chance. 11. SACCHARO caught the eye when mak­ing up ground in the Caulfield Guineas three weeks ago and only just beaten by Am­phitrite here be­fore that. Back to this track a big plus. 2. VASSILATOR chance if he can re­peat his Caulfield Guineas run and 14. ADANA won well at War­wick Farm last start but has drawn badly here.

RACE 2:

2. VERRY ELLEE­GANT is hard to go past. Great ef­fort to fin­ish hard and beat Aris­tia at Caulfield two weeks ago when the pat­tern for most races of day was to be on pace. Looked good be­hind Am­phitrite here be­fore that. Has a touch of class and this dis­tance at this big track looks tai­lor-made for her. The one to beat. 4. ARIS­TIA is still a maiden but she did well sit­ting just off speed and then sprint­ing hard in the straight to beat all but Verry Ellee­gant at Caulfield. Think she’ll also wel­come the wider ex­panses of Flem­ing­ton at this dis­tance range. 5. SIZZLEME is con­sis­tent in this grade. Is stakes placed be­hind Vassilator here, thrashed Yu­long Me­teor three starts back and then fought on last time be­hind Verry Ellee­gant at Caulfield. Will get the gun run here. Watch for 9. MAUI GIRL to a bit of race. Gave noth­ing else chance in win­ning on de­but at Mur­ray Bridge and then went straight to Listed grade at Mor­phettville and fin­ished along­side Stars Of Car­rum and Se­ber­ate (both live chances in the Derby to­mor­row) af­ter lead­ing. Looks to have abil­ity.

RACE 3:

Im­pos­si­ble to tip against 1. OS­BORNE BULLS on the strength of his ter­rific third to Redzel in The Ever­est at Rand­wick three weeks ago. Taken the ex­treme out­side fence and charged home lat­ter stages. He was also very brave in the G1 Ru­pert Clarke at Caulfield be­fore that. Yet to be tried down straight and does have 59kg to con­tend with but

in grade and his class will get him home. He did beat Land Of Plenty Brave Song three starts back and they have both since won. 4. MISSROCK in­vari­ably runs well down the straight. It took Red­kirk War­rior and Redzel to beat her in Light­ning here in March then she wasn’t far away from Red­kirk War­rior, Brave Smash and Mer­chant Navy in the New­mar­ket. Found the line strongly be­hind Ball Of Mus­cle when re­sum­ing at Caulfield and kept fresh since. A roughie here with a chance is 9. HAVASAY. No­ticed him mak­ing a lot of late ground be­hind Ball Of Mus­cle at Caulfield three weeks ago. Should have fin­ished much closer. Since had a soft trial at Cran­bourne and does have a good sec­ond-up record. He beat sub­se­quent Kosciuszko win­ner Belflyer in the Ramornie and was close up be­hind Spright at Doomben June. That horse ran a beauty in the Manikato last week. 8. WIN­TER BRIDE is fast and tough and in great form

can’t be left out.

RACE 4:

Many con­sider Avil­ius to be a strong con­tender for the Mel­bourne Cup. That be­ing case then 10. JAAMEH will take some beat­ing here. Won first two tries over this course and dis­tance be­fore beaten a nos­tril by Avil­ius in The Bart Cum­mings here a month ago. Like the fact he’s been fresh­ened and has drawn to get the per­fect run here. Will be very hard to stop. 8. RUNAWAY looks lead on his own here and that’s the way he likes it. Pretty dom­i­nant in the end in the Gee­long Cup and don’t for­get he led all the way to win VRC St Leger here in April. He’ll take run­ning down. 2. A PRINCE OF AR­RAN caught the eye when

on late be­hind Yu­catan in the Her­bert Power at Caulfield. Strong stayer who will rel­ish this track. Pre­pared to give 9. RIS­ING RED an­other chance here. Noth­ing went right for him at Caulfield last start and he’s much bet­ter than that.

RACE 5:

By any mea­sure, 10. SUN­LIGHT looked de­cid­edly un­lucky when beaten just over three lengths in the Manikato Stakes last week. She was held up un­til well into straight and again got ham­pered near the line. Not say­ing she would have won but she should have fin­ished a lot closer. She is in fan­tas­tic form at the mo­ment and her win two starts back when hav­ing to cross from a wide bar­rier carry 58kg was first rate. Back against her own age here, can set­tle on pace and can tough it out at the end. Was placed down the straight here on de­but. 1. WRIT­TEN BY still gets a bit un­der­rated de­spite his fan­tas­tic record. Gave noth­ing else chance in the Blue Sap­phire at Caulfield. Yet to run down the straight but he did im­press in a jump out here last week, beat­ing lot of his ri­vals here. Will make his own luck on pace and take a run­ning down. 2. ZOU­SAIN was un­der a hard hold in the same Writ­ten By jump out, look­ing like he will have no is­sues with the straight course. It took a su­per­star in The Au­tumn Sun to run him down the Golden Rose and he’s been kept fresh since. Big dan­ger. A roughie with a chance here is 5. LONG LEAF. He im­pressed in that Writ­ten By jump out last week and he will be storm­ing home late. No doubt 6. DI­PLO­MATICO is pretty smart but he jumps dra­mat­i­cally in grade, first run down the straight and has this come too soon for him.

RACE 6:

3. SHILLELAGH hasn’t won since she took out the Kennedy Mile at this meet­ing last year but she’s ready to bounce back to­mor­row. Her last 600m of her barn­storm­ing fin­ish in the Ep­som two runs back was out­stand­ing, pro­duc­ing splits of 11.19, 10.75 and 11.23 to be beaten a length by the star Hart­nell. Her fi­nal 200m split was the fastest of race. She then con­tested the Toorak at Caulfield, again got a mile back in the early stages but then un­leashed in the straight to fin­ish a clos­ing fourth to Land Of Plenty and Hart­nell. This big track looks per­fect for her and she’s back against own sex. Big threat.

5. ALOISIA is ready to find her best form af­ter an eye-catch­ing ef­fort when 3rd Shu­mookh at Caulfield two weeks back. Her last 400m sec­tional was sec­ond fastest of the en­tire meet­ing and her clos­ing 200m split of 11.88 was the fastest all day. Sta­ble has said she has pro­gressed fur­ther since run and will be cherry ripe here. I’ve al­ways been a big

13. OO­HOOD fan reckon she can mea­sure up here get­ting 7kg off the older mares. She was never go­ing to be beat The Au­tumn Sun in Caulfield Guineas but still pro­duced a great run to make up so much ground. Drawn to get a lovely run in mid­field and only needs a bit of luck to be in the fin­ish. One at big odds to run a race here is 8. BRING ME ROSES. Been wait­ing for her get back to this track and dis­tance and she did find the line well be­hind Shoko at Caulfield last week. Will be fin­ish­ing hard. Host of other chances in a tough race.

RACE 7:

Think this can set up beau­ti­fully for 2. ARA­MAYO. Will be plenty of speed here with the likes Thinkin’ Big, Savoie and Siko­rsky all lik­ing to be on pace. With a strong tempo, Ara­mayo will be able to set­tle mid­field, re­lax and then un­leash in the straight. He was good Spring Cham­pion when beaten nar­rowly and not sure he was com­pletely com­fort­able on the wet ground. Also re­ally han­dled Moonee Val­ley last week but kept com­ing to the line in a dogged ef­fort. No qualms about him see­ing out the trip. Will take plenty of stop­ping. The gen­uine pace will also help 3. EX­TRA BRUT. He was su­perb win­ning here two runs back and then Caulfield didn’t suit him last start when you needed to be on or near the pace. Back this big track is ideal for him. Don’t think the win of 4. STARS OF CAR­RUM at Moonee Val­ley last week was a fluke. Tracked into the race very well and strong on line. An­other who will wel­come the 2500m. 1. THINKIN’ BIG couldn’t beat Ara­mayo home in Spring Cham­pion af­ter he had a tough run. Back to his best at Caulfield when al­lowed to dic­tate in front. Not sure he’ll get his own way this time around but he’s still in the mix. Roughie with a chance is 14. SAVVY OAK.

RACE 8:

I have to stick with 1. HART­NELL. What a grand horse he is. Just su­perb in win­ning the Ep­som at Rand­wick and then tracked into the race well on turn, thought he was gone half way down straight but boxed on well when sec­ond to Land Of Plenty in the Toorak. Given a lit­tle freshen since, nor­mally runs well at this track, has a won­der­ful record at this dis­tance and drawn to get a nice run in mid­field. He’ll look the win­ner at some stage. I’m not pre­pared to write off 16. PEACE­FUL STATE af­ter his fail­ure at Caulfield two weeks ago. Run was bet­ter than it looked as he still made ground on a day when on-pace was ad­van­taged. Great run in the Ru­pert Clarke be­fore that when he was wide through­out. This big track and 1600m suits. Re­mem­ber he was only just beaten by Grunt in the Aus­tralian Guineas here. 4. LAND OF PLENTY was bril­liant win­ning the Toorak but he meets Hart­nell 2.5kg worse. Still, he’s again drawn well and sure to be in the fin­ish. 7. MIS­TER SEA WOLF is a knock­out chance. Clocked fastest last 400m and sec­ond fastest last 200m when clos­ing off be­hind Hart­nell in the Ep­som. Kept fresh since and easy trial win­ner two weeks back. 2. LE RO­MAIN (classy), 11. CLIFF’S EDGE (will be on pace),

17. BEST OF DAYS (hon­est) and

18. ICONOCLASM (im­prov­ing all the time) are other chances.

RACE 9:

1. BOOKER rep­re­sents great value here. Has won down the straight be­fore and was only 3 lengths off Red­kirk War­rior, Brave Smash Mer­chant Navy in the New­mar­ket here in March. Sat well back but stormed home late when just fail­ing be­hind Win­ter Bride at Caulfield and then prob­a­bly didn’t han­dle the wet at Caulfield two runs back. Firmer track sur­face suits and she’s drawn to ad­van­tage here, es­pe­cially if she goes to the grand­stand side. Will give a big sight. There was so much like about the way

6. RESIN toyed with her ri­vals in G3 grade at Rand­wick two weeks ago. It was a soft track, which she likes, but just as adept on firm ground. Bound to be run­ning strongly. 4. I AM EX­CITED was bril­liant beat­ing Ed­uardo (since won) over this course and dis­tance and has been fresh­ened up for this. Big threat again. 2. SNITTY KITTY is fast and has been with­out luck lately. Def­i­nite threat.

Sun­light.

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