Savvy mare is too good

The Sportsman Weekend - - Flemington Preview - WITH TONY THOMAS

RACE 1:

2. AL PASSEM gets his chance here. Beaten nar­rowly by Cliff’s Edge and Sir­c­coni at Caulfield

then did too much work early no sur­prise to see him drop out in the Toorak. Sat on speed and boxed on well in the Sale Cup last start. Down grade here maps to prob­a­bly sit out­side Manuel and then prove too strong late. Has a big weight but last time he was over this course and dis­tance won with 58.5kg in al­beit slightly weaker grade. 3. MANUEL is the ob­vi­ous threat. Go­ing very well at the mo­ment and beaten by a smart one in Fifty Stars here on Cup day. Likes to do his own thing front and from the in­side draw should hold lead. Drops 2.5kg on his Tues­day run and ear muffs come on. Look­ing for an im­proved show­ing from

1. LOY­ALTY MAN. He wasn’t dis­graced be­hind Sir­c­coni at Caulfield three weeks ago. He’ll get a soft run in be­hind the pace and will be fin­ish­ing off strongly.

7. ESHTIRAAK won a weaker race at Bendigo last time in easy style and is up to this.

RACE 2:

Bank­ing on the track sur­face to con­tinue to im­prove and be in the Good 4 range and, if that’s

case, reckon 7. DANON RO­MAN can turn the ta­bles on 5. LUCKY FOR ALL. They clashed at Caulfield on Oct 17 and Lucky For All was able to stick his neck out on the line win nar­rowly. Granted Danon Ro­man got all the favours with a lovely run but think that ef­fort will have cherry ripe to­mor­row. Drawn to get the same run in tran­sit here and he gets a 2.5kg pull in the weights over Lucky For All this time. Can avenge the Caulfield loss. Ob­vi­ously is the main threat. He had to track wider on the turn and reckon he looked beaten 200m but kept com­ing to win strongly. He’s also right at his top now and this big track will suit him. 8. PLEASURING chimed in at the top of the straight as if she was go­ing to win eas­ily but only bat­tled in the run home be­hind Net­toyer at

Val­ley. Bet­ter placed at this cir­cuit. 11. TOP PROSPECT is an each-way hope. Liked the way he got home hard in Horsham Cup last start.

RACE 3:

1. LONG LEAF finds the eas­i­est race he has con­tested for some time and it may be enough to see him break through. Don’t for­get he was one of the best closers in the Golden Slip­per, ran 4th in

G1 ATC Sires Pro­duce and has had two G3 plac­ings since re­sum­ing. His ruin in the G1 Cool­more Stud be­hind Sun­light last Satur­day was okay. He clocked the sec­ond best 400-200m split of race and held his ground in run home. Like the fact he’s step­ping out to 1400m here. Know he has a big weight and the out­side draw but he’ll be given plenty of time to find his feet and then un­leash in the straight. 4. YU­LONG JAN­UARY will make his own luck on speed and was very good at Caulfield three weeks ago when lead­ing

just run down by Ranier (since won again). Should en­joy a sim­i­lar here and will take run­ning down. 6. RINGERDINGDING was an eye-catcher when he stormed home over the fi­nal stages for third to Charge at Moonee Val­ley on a day when it was hard to make ground. His clos­ing sec­tion­als were only fair com­pared other races on the day but they go hard early on. This big track looks ideal for him. Also ex­pect­ing a bet­ter run from 9. WAG­NER on this track. He was okay be­hind Charge at the Val­ley when he didn’t look com­pletely at home on the sur­face.

RACE 4:

Back to this big track will suit 7. MR SNEAKY, who has a win and two plac­ings from three tries over this course and dis­tance. Great ef­fort in the Ru­pert Clarke when storm­ing home late and clocked best 400-200 split all day. Not suited at Caulfield last start in an on-pace race. Looks to be gen­uine speed here and he’ll take a lot of hold­ing out. Same ap­plies for 1. WIDGEE TURF. Tried hard be­hind the smart Icon­o­clasm at Moonee Val­ley in his first run for eight weeks. Bet­ter for the out­ing and he also goes well here, notch­ing a win and two plac­ings from four tries at this track and trip. Drawn to get all the favours in the back of field just needs luck in straight. 3. DOL­LAR FOR DOL­LAR al­most stole the Ru­pert Clarke at Caulfield two runs back and then com­pounded in the Toorak af­ter sit­ting near the front on a hot pace. Bet­ter back at 1400m and he goes well here. 4. DREAM­FORCE fought on well at Caulfield be­hind Sir­c­coni and rates a chance here.

RACE 5:

Like one at odds here in 13. SULLY. Thought he was very good sit­ting on speed and fight­ing on gamely be­hind Ven­tura Storm in the Moonee Val­ley Cup last start. It was a good, tough per­for­mance. Three starts back he was the eye-catcher be­hind Fur­rion, Best Of Days and Run­away at Caulfield and that form has turned out to be pretty strong. VRC Derby placeget­ter here last spring. Think he may be rid­den a bit more con­ser­va­tively here and re­turn to Flem­ing­ton in ideal. He’ll give you a great sight at the big odds. 1. LI­BRAN has his share of weight but he’s drawn well to get the soft run in mid­field. His MV Cup was also ex­cel­lent and he’s ready to win. 11. MIDTERM was brave in the G1 Metrop at Rand­wick and he did well be­hind Run­away

Gee­long Cup. He’ll prob­a­bly roll for­ward here to sit on speed and he’s rock hard fit. 7. JAAMEH likes this course and dis­tance range and is hold­ing his form well.

RACE 6:

If 2. SAVVY COUP can get any sort of luck find­ing a slot from her wide draw here, then she’ll prove very hard to beat. Bolted in with a G1 at Hast­ings two runs back and then out­classed

the Cox Plate but still not dis­graced. She has the big weight from the out­side draw but there seems to be some pace here and she may able to work across into a nice mid­field spot. Things just have go her way a lit­tle and she’ll test these. 11. TEM­PLE OF BEL is el­i­gi­ble for weaker races but she con­tin­ues to im­press with the style of her fin­ish­ing bursts and she’s been look­ing for this trip at this big track. She was again good be­hind Shil­le­lagh last Satur­day. Big threat. 1. ALOISIA de­serves an­other chance. She was okay be­hind Shil­le­lagh last week and may well be look­ing for the 2000m now. 6. ECKSTEIN re­serves her best races this cir­cuit and although she’s a query at the trip, her class will carry her a long way.

RACE 7:

1. REDZEL will win. Won this race last year and is also a dual win­ner of The Ever­est. He’s ef­fec­tive on all track sur­faces, has great gate speed to place him­self pace, likes the straight course and this is prob­a­bly his pet dis­tance. Tri­alled su­perbly at Rand­wick re­cently clock­ing fast clos­ing sec­tion­als un­der a stran­gle­hold. Drawn per­fectly to sit where he wants and it will take a mighty per­for­mance run him down. 2. BRAVE SMASH was only beaten a lip in the New­mar­ket down the straight here in the au­tumn (beat home Mer­chant Navy) and bounced back to his best with a stylish win in the Manikato at the Val­ley. He’ll be storm­ing home late. Like­wise 3. SANTA ANA LANE. Thought his run in The Ever­est in un­suit­able con­di­tions was good. Nice ef­fort a re­cent jumpout down the straight here and will be in fir­ing line. Watch for 4. RED­KIRK WAR­RIOR to run a big race. Re­ports sug­gest he has been work­ing the place down at home and has also done well the jump outs. He has a great first-up record and won three of four over this track and trip, two them in New­mar­kets.

RACE 8:

I think the Derby win­ner 9. EX­TRA BRUT can win again. Su­perb stay­ing per­for­mance to win the Derby and he’s prob­a­bly even bet­ter at this dis­tance range. He’ll set­tle back on what seems to be a gen­uine tempo and with his light weight he’ll be fin­ish­ing hard. Worth the gam­ble. 3. BLAIR HOUSE was only just nutted by Ben­batl in Caulfield Stakes and that horse was then chased home Winx in the Cox Plate. Drawn to get run of the race and is ob­vi­ously horse to beat. 7. LA­TROBE is all class, as ev­i­denced by his Ir­ish Derby win and he chased home well in the Ir­ish St Leger. By­passed Cup for this and he’ll be fin­ish. 1. IT’S SOME­WHAT may well be rid­den more for­ward here and could im­prove sharply.

RACE 9:

I ad­mit to be­ing a lit­tle con­cerned that 11. OR­DER OF COM­MAND has drawn the in­side gate here as not sure if it will be the right part of the track. Hop­ing they may grav­i­tate to the cen­tre and if that’s case, he’ll give it a big shot. Not raced since be­ing beaten a lip by the smart Brave Song in Listed grade down the straight here in July. He has had a re­cent Crabourne trial, was a first-up win­ner last cam­paign and also boasts a solid sec­ond to Na­ture Strip down the straight here. Big chance. Syd­neysider 4. REVENIRE has drawn to come down the grand­stand side. Has a big weight but ready win af­ter two solid ef­forts at Rand­wick. 18. I DID IT AGAIN is a chance if he gets a run. Hold­ing his form well and also will come down grand­stand rail. Not far off Trekking in Listed grade at Caulfield three runs back. 9. EURACK is un­beaten in four starts and suited at this dis­tance. Can’t be left out.

Savvy Coup. Pic: NZ Rac­ing Desk

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