He’ll be Dif­fi­cult to beat

The Sportsman Weekend - - Warwick Farm Preview -

NOTE: RACES are as­sessed for a Soft 5. All horses con­sid­ered starters un­less no­ti­fied by Thurs­day at 1 PM. (N/R) de­notes no rat­ing.

RACE 1

The well named 3. DETERGE

(N/R) is a James Cum­mingstrained son of Cleanse who won her only two starts. This colt is bred on the same cross as stakeswin­ner Resin and three other stake­splaced horses, Mar­ble in­cluded. It is also the re­verse cross that de­liv­ered Bound­ing and En­cryp­tion. Deterge debuts at 1200m off only one trial and it was very good – he was a halflength second in his 900m heat at Rose­hill on Dec 4. One would imag­ine he has done enough to run a strong 1200m de­spite one trial. 2. AEECEE VINCO (N/R) is on the seven days back-up in Inglis Nurs­ery. Mark Newn­ham points out that he had the tough­est run in the $500,000 fea­ture (from the wide draw) but re­fused to sur­ren­der beaten three lengths by some po­ten­tially nice two-year-olds. Has drawn out again but one long run to the one turn so won’t be nearly as costly to him as the 12 of 13 was at Rand­wick last Satur­day. 7. GIRLS GET READY (N/R)

3rd to Aeecee Vinco at Can­berra when they both de­buted then went Can­ter­bury and was an im­pres­sive win­ner. Has the tal­ent.

RACE 2

5. SOSTENIDO (63) was one of my bests when he raced in a High­way at Rose­hill last start when $13. He was a mile off the leader in last spot up un­til turn but saved ground closer in and ended up fin­ish­ing fourth beaten three lengths. It was a mas­sive run by the Wind­sor Park Stud-bred gelding. That race was 1400m, this is 1500m and whilst we don’t have the same long straight here at War­wick Farm, get an ex­tra 100m to wind up. Lucas Cranach son 1. HEM­MERLE (66) would have lost no ad­mir­ers, in fact, would have picked up some, with his first-up third in the same High­way that Sostenido ran in at Rose­hill. That was Hem­merle’s first-up run and with­out a trial so he is only go­ing to be bet­ter for the out­ing. Bear in mind that us one for one second-up and his only other High­way run prior to Dec 8 was a second. He was also beaten a length and three-quar­ters one day by Lis­doon­va­rna in Bm77 at Rose­hill which is great form for a High­way. 2. MOOBI (65) has won his last two at Scone by mar­gins of four lengths and two lengths over 1400m the mile re­spec­tively. There is no bet­ter time for him to try his luck in a High­way than off two boom­ing wins like those. Drawn four and has Greg Ryan com­ing to town to ride him.

RACE 3

BEST bet time – 5. DIF­FI­CULT

TO GET (75). Some­times num­bers say it bet­ter than words can and that is surely the case with this Wy­ong-trained mare. She is one for one at the track and dis­tance, 8s 4-3-1 1000m, 6s 1-3-1 fresh and han­dles good and heavy both. On top of that bar­rier one is very sig­nif­i­cant to her chances given that she has great pace and you would think if they want to hold the fence, the op­por­tu­nity is there or she can sit third and hope gap comes in the straight. Leave it to Corey Brown. One thing we can say for sure is that she is fly­ing. Her two tri­als wins have been as good as I can re­mem­ber ever see­ing her and that’s from a horse that usu­ally tri­als like a bomb. 7. HEART CON­QUERED

(72) brings to­gether Tommy Berry and Team Hawkes. The three-year-old gelding is a last start track/dis­tance win­ner on a heavy 8 beat­ing 3. SIKHING

GLORY (74) and sub­se­quent win­ner De­prive in what looks like a deep form race. Led that day and has drawn three this time. 1. REVENIRE (77) is one for one at the venue and 4s 2-2-0 at the 1000m. The James Cum­mings-trained gelding was only 3-lengths off them in a 1200m race at Rose­hill on Dec 1 but let’s judge him the last time he raced 1000m and that was a second to Sin­gle Bul­let at Rand­wick. The time be­fore he sta­ble­mate Esper­ance also at head­quar­ters so

is at his very best at the trip.

RACE 4

GO­ING to chance one at big odds now in 2. THE GET­AWAY (82).

Hav­ing watched a mil­lion War­wick Farm mid­dle dis­tance races at the mid­weeks, it’s amaz­ing how many times favourites get rolled and roughies win. Hope­fully that goes for a Satur­day too given The Get­away has to turn around his ‘x00’ into a ‘1’ but hon­estly, the two ze­roes have not been ter­ri­ble. He was 1500m first-up and $31 to $101 and wasn’t dis­grace­ful. Then last start he was $151 when 10th of 12 to Tip Top in a 1600m race at Rand­wick last Satur­day when it was hard to make ground that stage due a big down­pour just prior the race. He is 3s 1-2-0 and is a very ef­fec­tive back-up horse. Very. 5. VAUCLUSE BAY

(81) is li­able to peak now thirdup at a trip that two of his four ca­reer wins have been at. He, like The Get­away, was in the Tip Top race last week­end fin­ish­ing on quite well to run four length sixth of the dozen. Waller is a ge­nius with these back-up horses re­mem­ber. Waller is also

first-up’ers over a trip and it’s clear to me that he might have 6. FOL­LOW SUIT

(79) ready to run a race given that the son of Show A Heart loves War­wick Farm – 4s 3-1-0 and is 4s 1-2-0 around the trip.

RACE 5

BERRY and Team Hawkes for me here with 5. INTUERI (73) who caught the eye with his first-up 6th be­hind Map­maker in the 1300m Bm88 at Rose­hill on Dec 1. The son of Dream Ahead was pretty safe around the $16 that day and he prob­a­bly ran up to his speck­ing beaten three lengths cer­tainly not los­ing much ground in the straight ei­ther. The chest­nut has raced quite well at Farm in the past and this is very much his trip – or least close to it. Looks a solid each-way chance if odds al­low. Muswell­brook vis­i­tor 3.

DAL­MA­TIA PRINCE (77) has each-way and place claims at the big odds. He did noth­ing firstup but the last time he raced over mile, was four and a half lengths be­hind Avil­lius in Bm91 at Rand­wick. Drawn well and has won seven from 32. Gos­ford Guineas runner-up 6.

ISLAND MIS­SILE (71) is thirdup now and re-vis­it­ing War­wick Farm where he is one for one. The Triple Crown/Snow­den Racing gal­loper looked a bit of chance last start but may have just peaked on the run some­what but still only two lengths from Re­flec­tiv­ity that day over 1300m. This is his first try at the mile but ev­ery­thing in his pat­tern sug­gests it will be to lik­ing. 1. AS­TO­RIA (79) is up 2kg on his last start three-quar­ter length fourth in that Re­flec­tiv­ity race. Go back one run and he was to last week­end’s Vil­liers hero Sky Boy. As­to­ria is one for one at War­wick Farm and is 3s 1-0-1 the mile.

RACE 6

2. SWEET VIC­TORY (75) fin­ished last of 10 first-up but pay more re­spect to the mar­gin than the fin­ish­ing po­si­tion. She was 10 of 10 whole way and noth­ing re­ally made any im­pact to speak

in the straight so she did a pretty rea­son­able job fin­ish three lengths from Sweet Deal and 5. SO MAGIC (73), the lat­ter one did make up ground but thanks in part to a rails hug­ging run. Back Mark Newn­ham’s mare though – he was quite bullish about her when we spoke to him on Wed­nes­day, cer­tainly

enough to sug­gest that he might back her up in the Belle of the Turf at Gos­ford if she runs to his ex­pec­ta­tions. One other things about Sweet Vic­tory, she is 3s 0-1-0 first-up but 2s 1-1-0 with a run un­der the belt. She is also War­wick Farm win­ner from one visit. So Magic has been so well placed (as al­ways) by Ja­son Coyle and is 6s 3-1-1 as a re­sult. I said be­fore she raced last start that she should maybe have won at least one more, maybe two, but what­ever you’re view, she is a typ­i­cally hon­est Coyle mare and like all the oth­ers, if gets it run to suit and gets a clear crack – well, she’ll be in the medals again. The sta­ble­mate 12. NO IN­TER­EST (64) can never be left out. In fact, I reckon I have tipped her on top at ev­ery start for as long as can re­mem­ber be­cause I know that is she gets a tempo as­sist, she mo­tor over the top at big odds. It will hap­pen one day.

RACE 7

ALL eyes, well a lot any­way, will be on 4. IN­VIN­Z­ABEEL (97) here by virtue of the fact that he is hav­ing his first run for Mark Newn­ham af­ter hav­ing has his pre­vi­ous 44 with Chris Waller. I spoke to Mark Newn­ham dur­ing the week and read­ing be­tween

lines, rightly or wrongly, it does seem that he has this horse ready and able to win. You don’t win two tri­als with­out blink­ers then put them on a horse who races best in shades, not do you chose his pet trip at his home track and not ex­pect him to live up to end of the bar­gain. As men­tioned, first crop son of I Am In­vin­ci­ble has won a cou­ple of tri­als go­ing into the run and he’s looked re­ally sharp es­pe­cially for a horse of his age num­ber of starts. I thought 3.

SPECTROPSCOPE (98) might have been in the Vil­liers last week and was all geared up to tip him on top given his ex­cel­lent run in the Fes­ti­val. Prior to that, one-time Don­caster hope­ful has run two solid races over the 1400m of to­mor­row’s dis­tance – his record at which is 5s 1-0-2. Blink­ers off again – he’ll be fly­ing home as per usual. 7.

SIR BACCHUS (89) was in most people’s Black Book first-up over 1100m. He sprinted well fresh but was run off his legs next time at 1400m – I thought he may be look­ing for fur­ther but maybe it was just second-up off a big run took a toll. 1. PE­CANS

(104) $4.80 in the Fes­ti­val and beaten two lengths into fifth. Back home, doesn’t rate 104 for noth­ing.

RACE 8

I HAVE never seen a bet­ter $126 (TAB Fixed Odds Wed­nes­day night – $101 Thurs­day morn­ing) shot than the lo­cal 13. EMSHALKY (58) whom I re­ally liked first-up at $41 at New­cas­tle. The daugh­ter of Al Ma­her ran 10th of 14 beaten five lengths but I strongly sug­gest you go back and look at the run in depth be­cause she was about to make the run from back when she got tight­ened up quite badly and lost all mo­men­tum. Sure, was never go­ing to win from where she was but she would def­i­nitely have fin­ished a few places up and a cou­ple of lengths closer at the end. Her only win was second-up and at 1400m and she goes around here with 50kg af­ter the claim which is a feather­weight for any horse but more so for one with her frame. Even if you think I am nuts for tip­ping her on top, you can’t go wrong with $5 the place at $20. That’s a $100 or col­lect for the place! Team Hawkes pulled off one of the train­ing per­for­mances year with

5. KAPAJACK (72) win­ning on de­but in a Satur­day bench­mark 78 race the other week. Only good horses can do that, so he has my ut­most re­spect – was never, ever go­ing to lose that day ei­ther, it was nar­row but plenty com­pre­hen­sive at the same time.

9. PEM­BROKE CAS­TLE (69)

and 12. CHARRETERA (62) are in the mix.

RACE 9

LOOK­ING for­ward to see­ing what the James Cum­mingstrained 9. IN­TU­ITION (80) can de­liver first-up off two good tri­als, the last one was a rip­per where he seemed to han­dle his sta­ble­mate and race ri­val 7.

TESSERA (81) with ease. This son of Street Cry handy mare Radar has won five of 13 over­all and was a War­wick Farm win­ner at his only ap­pear­ance here in the win­ter. He is a fully ma­ture four-year-old now and we know that the Street Cry’s only get bet­ter as they get on so that is an ob­vi­ous pos­i­tive ahead of this new cam­paign. Clearly the top­pie 1. BON AMIS (88) is

horse to beat given that his record cur­rently stands at 13s 6-4-0. He won his first four runs be­fore some luck­less but highly cred­itable runs in the Pro­vin­cial Cham­pi­onships se­ries not least the Fi­nal where he ran two and a half-length fifth to Serene Miss co. Ja­son Deamer has­trained him to win both runs this time in – each of them were over 1100m at Rose­hill bear­ing in mind that he ran 1.02.79s with a 33 and change last 600m. The times from the first win to the second say he is only get­ting bet­ter but doubters might ques­tion him at 1200m. I’m not nec­es­sar­ily one of them but it’s not like he’s won at the trip ei­ther. 11. BEL SONIC (79) and the roughie 10. VICEROY (80) are in con­tention.

Dif­fi­cult To Get. Pic: Grant Guy

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