No idea what to expect from our first meeting back at Eagle Farm, especially with the possibility of either some rain – or even torrential rain – today and tomorrow, but there’s a bit of value to be had on what is very competitive card. Looking to go round the favourite in this opening juvenile race and settled on the next one down POCKET PISTOL who chased a smart one home last start. Nice effort to keep in touch with Mishani Spirit who is still unbeaten, and they broke the clock at 50.98s for the 900m that day coming home in 33secs neat. At his previous run he bolted in at Doomben after being hassled for most of the trip by a couple outside him and he had good freshen-up leading into 900m dash. Currently $35 from the sweet draw that’s a great each way bet in a race with very few winning hopes. Undoubtedly the one to beat is the toppy DUBIOUS who never looked like picking up leader in the Breeders’ Plate back in September but lunged late to nab him on the line. The beaten brigade did look ordinary I’m not surprised given winner clocked 56.45secs which is really zipping along for a youngster. Shaken up to win his trial the other day (nice run the third horse, Splintex) and from an awkward draw I’m happy to risk him and back mine each way. COUNTRY COCKTAIL improved sharply last time when battling on behind the impressive Betaima but the improvement was expected after doing plenty wrong on debut. Drawn badly but she does have ability and as aforementioned there aren’t many here that can win.
MISHANI VAIDRA picks herself here after running on strongly last time behind runaway winner Lota Creek Gold over 2000m. She had won two of her first three runs back already over shorter trips but gave every indication last start that she will run out 2200m here. The horse beat the run prior, Sofie’s Gold Class, won at her next outing and she looks thrown in after the claim, rising just a half kilo into an easier race. Drawn well and while she’s not over the line the $3.20 will probably disappear before racetime. SHOCKFACTOR made up good ground last time in an easier Bm75 at Doomben after a good effort behind She Goes Pop at her home track. It’s taken her while to wind up this campaign but she has hit her straps now and did show up in good company when last in work. Nice one for the multiple at $15. BROCSON has had 50 starts but has struck a purple patch of form and is entitled to be a bit shorter than $21. Beat She Goes Pop at the Gold Coast two runs back then almost caused a boilover at 60/1 when narrowly defeated by Ruby Guru in a Bm75. Needs some luck from the wide gate but definitely over the odds.
Talk about déjà vu, every runner here is coming out of the same race, a three-year-old open over 2000m at Doomben won by A MAN TO MATCH and he’ll beat them again tomorrow. Sat well off the speed as is his custom but exploded in straight to put four lengths on them. He had been promising something big like this at his previous four outings and now that he has put it all together it’s a brave man who would back against him. He’s been well found at $1.55 but he beat them so very easily that I can’t see much hope of them turning the tables, and on a day with very few standouts he does look great anchor bet. TRUSTY LAD was well supported to beat the favourite last time but had no answers. He did hit the line nicely but was still a long way behind A Man To Match on the line and couple of kilos turnaround isn’t nearly enough to tempt me away from the fave. CEOL NA MARA actually beat hotpot home two runs back but copped a seven length turnaround last time and while she’s a place chance she won’t beat the top pick again.
Tricky race with many chances and no standouts. In the end I’ve been enticed into ELIXIR at $10 who resumes tomorrow and did show up at his first campaign. Didn’t run a super time on debut at the Gold Coast back in July but he covered extra ground from the outside gate and did win comfortably in the end. Battled on behind Mittere and Ef Troop at his only other run can show up fresh. ARCHER’S PARADOX showed for us at cricket score odds first-up running a good race behind Zoustyle, then picked up nice consolation with a comfortable victory at her next run against much easier opposition. Drawn hopelessly here for racing style else I’d probably have had her on top. Still a chance but needs luck and doesn’t really appeal at $5.00. MAYBE MARKLE gave them a caning second-up at Doomben two weeks ago winning by six after a reasonable firstup run at the provincials. May have been flattered by the wet track and if there is rain about tomorrow she’ll take some catching.
Awesome Pluck was super impressive last start but he will have to get on his bike to run down MY GIRL HAYLEY who has everything going for her tomorrow. After promising plenty she really come good over the last 12 months, winning four races for season and placing in much stronger company than she strikes tomorrow. Run down by the talented Shesees Everthing two runs before the break when giving that girl 4.5kg, then was close-up behind the flying Tversky and Fiery Heights in genuine open grade. Her best runs are fresh from a break, she likes to lead and should just about get there from barrier two, she is coming off a trial win at this circuit last week and I can’t see anything here that is likely to push forward and take her on, unless the sixth emergency Ooshe gets a run. She’ll get a couple of cheap sectionals approaching the bend and at $10 is a mile over odds. Should be nearly half that. AWESOME PLUCK gave us heads-up two runs back covering a ton of extra ground behind Cadogan who has since franked the form with another big win. Damian Browne was content to give them a huge start last time sitting back at the tail but picked up very quickly to win with a leg in the air. That’s good news. The bad news is that he has a few hurdles to overcome tomorrow, not least of which is a further drop back in distance from 1200m to 1000m which won’t help. He also taking on several runners here who have acquitted themselves well in open class and even stakes company, and will be giving several of them a tidy start. If the track is playing for swoopers it brings him right into it sure, but if on-pacers are getting their chance then I’d have him pegged as the lay of the day at $2.35. MALVERN ESTATE was narrowly beaten in the Listed Goldmarket earlier year and typically runs a bold race fresh. He does go very well on wet ground so if the heavens open up he will give it a shake. Each way claims at the $11 otherwise.
Very impressed with the first-up win of SURPRISE BULLET at Doomben two weeks ago and in a race with many chances he is as good as any. Covered a lot of extra ground in the run and was very wide on the turn but kept coming to win by a widening length and a quarter line over the 1350m. Couldn’t one last prep but finished second at every outing against pretty good company up around the 2000m trips. No doubt he’ll strip fitter here and will be running on strongly again. Wet or dry he will be hard to hold out. AL’S KINGDOM won two of his first three runs back from a break before leading them up at Doomben and knocking behind Sofie’s Gold Class. He’ll be burning some fuel early on to take up a forward position again and at $3.60 he’s not an attractive betting proposition. Can win but will be running on empty over the last 100m. RANCHO MONTOYA will probably sneak into the field tomorrow and, although hard to catch, has a very good A-game when he brings it. Hinted at something better last start when a closing third on his home track and has drawn to get a nice trail along the fence tomorrow. Include at the $15.
Very happy to stick with my bloke DESERT MAN here in a typically competitive class three plate. Drew poorly last start and did some extra work in the run still stuck on gamely home finishing just a half a length from Unlikely Story. Out of sorts at Ipswich the run prior after storming home to win a similar race to this Doomben. Drawn perfectly to lead on his ear or trail the speed and with only 55.5kg on his back after the claim will have plenty to offer in straight. Super each way bet at $16 for a horse that must surely still have a little upside after four runs back from two years spell. LA SCOPA has bit of class about her and did show up in the autumn, placing in the Princess Stakes at the Sunny Coast over a mile. Made up good ground when resuming in town last time but there are couple of question marks. She has drawn awkwardly, she may have been flattered by the wet track and she might be looking for further now, but she does have ability I’d be finding a spot for her in your quaddie. SASSO CORBARO is under the odds at $4.50 having to jump from gate 17 but she has shown up in stronger company in the past. Placed behind Savatiano back in May and wasn’t all that far from Pierata Alizee in stakes grade this time last year. Looks as though she is getting ready for another shot at Magic Millions day and will improve on whatever she does tomorrow.
Intriguing Bm90 field and I think they’ll go like the clappers up front so I’m looking for something to sit off them and finish over the top. To that end jumping back onto HINGUS ROSE who I always thought was a wet tracker but she has been going super on top of the ground throughout this long campaign. Won two in the wet back in spring but hit the line strongly at Doomben three weeks ago to beat a decent Bm85 field with 56.5kg. She’s still back at the 1200m here which I think is key to her chances and from gate nine she will find some cover back behind the speed battle have plenty in hand for the run home. Nice each way hope at $9.50 and if the rain comes she’ll be half that. BIG TREE does show some ticker he drops down to just a kilo over the limit tomorrow for his third-up run. Gave Bat A Kat something to catch at home last time under the big weight and you know with him engaged that there will be no cheap sectionals up front. Spent two years off the scene and is coming good, throw him in as a knockout hope at $17. BAT A KAT was incredibly disappointing when we were on first-up but atoned at the Gold Coast, running down Big Tree to score nicely. That horrid first-up result was his first time out of the top two and although drawn poorly will be competitive again.
I was disappointed to see OINK settling so close to the speed last start and here’s hoping they let him drift back run along under his own steam tomorrow. Outstanding first-up run when he pushed the talented Femme Fireball over 1350m then drew the outside gate and went forward and, to be fair, was only beaten a lip on the line. From eight tomorrow he is more likely to be back in the ruck and while he does tend to be a magnet for bad luck, with a clear crack at them will go close. CADOGAN was extremely impressive last start but is very short at $2.45. Ran away to win by a bit over two lengths but he up in weight here, up in distance and class. Can win but he will find this a different ballgame to those he beat the other day. SNITCH isn’t bad odds at 10/1 for a horse that is looking to make it six in row. Beat Oink last time and has drawn well again.