The Sportsman Weekend

Tony to score first-up

Kiwi star make his Aussie debut

- WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

RACE 1

How the race will be run: Highway tempo; only this one might be extra fast.

The Favourites: Parksville was run down in the last stages first-up over 1100m by Nags To Riches and Escape Artist who are both handy. Fitter, just the last 100m is a little ‘concern’ on paper at least. Molly Nails has looked good in the short time we have seen her and is very, very well drawn.

The Roughies: Cameron Crockett pair Mr Hussill and Commando Hunt are both already Highway winners, one has drawn well, the other hasn’t but still, they ought to run well.

My View: Tara Jasmine was in another dimension when she resumed with the commanding win at home at Grafton. She is arguably the best horse in race.

The Bet: Tara Jasmine to win

RACE 2

How the race will be run: The Neon Knight is almost certain to lead and has a high cruising speed; fast pace.

The Favourites: Brad Widdup is a master of fillies and mares and

represente­d here by Nags To Riches who has been placed with now typical Widdup precision. Same again here with the nice draw and the 2kg off. Patino Ruby is a talent. She mare is deadly fresh

Jason Collett will know when to push the button.

The Roughies: The Neon Knight has been run down in her two runs so far but they were quite good races and she wasn’t going backwards like you see some of these fast horses do. Box 1.

My View: Stolen Jade is a dual acceptor. I know she has decent weight here – and off bad loss – but she has won a trial since and we know that she is the only filly or mare in the race whose benchmark rating starts with an ‘8’ and that has to be respected.

Stolen Jade each-way

The Bet: RACE 3

How the race will be run: An 1800m but field size ensures a fair tempo for all; thanks to Tampering, Wild Chap and Tochi.

The Favourites: Noted the waves of support for Always Sure who was impressive when he swept home to win here 14-days ago. Not a reason in the world why he couldn’t repeat tomorrow. Is Bazooka ready to go on with it now? He can, he just needs it run to suit and get the outside. Tampering would have been $4 not $6 with a better draw.

The Roughies: All Things is very tough horse who has won 2 of 3 this time in albeit at Goulburn. Right race, right time for him. Bowman on is a good lead.

My View: Sarge told me last Friday that he intended to run Love Me Quietly at Goulburn with a view to backing her up in this race. She raced last Saturday like horse dying for the opportunit­y.

The Bet: Love Me Quietly eachway

RACE 4

How the race will be run: If Prince Invincible and Zorocat show up, it’s solid.

The Favourites: Super Effort has been flying since he joined Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou. He should be going for four straight really, on that basis, he is a major player here. Hot Spring Gold has a big finish which accounts for why one of his rare wins is at Randwick. Looks like he will get his chance tempo-wise if these on-pacers all turn up.

The Roughies: Hoover Lucy is a maiden but she has placed at all three starts and was in fact a lip of being a stakes-winner Brisbane in the winter. Note that she ran third on debut to De An Andretti.

My View: No bigger fan of Tony Be than me. I am sure he has a stakes win in him somewhere between the mile and 2000m. Had few stop/starts but unless the market says ‘no’, I say ‘yes’.

The Bet: Tony Be to win, exacta 3 to beat 12

RACE 5

How the race will be run: Fast.

The Favourites: Nature Strip was $1.45 to win the Concorde on Wednesday but it will be fascinatin­g to see what he actually starts. I am not laying him but we know from past experience he is not unbeatable. Wild Ruler 4 for 4 at Randwick and 3 from with a second at the Randwick 1000m but never against Nature Strip. Trekking is an obvious danger he will really need to run some serious splits to reel him in.

The Roughies: If it rains on the day, forget about Standout, but if it was firm enough, he could run a big race.

My View: I can’t take $1.45 about Nature Strip. He could just go out there and run too fast for them to beat him but I am going to gamble on Trekking having the last crack and winning in last stride.

The Bet: Trekking each-way

RACE 6

How the race will be run: Everyone should get their chance.

The Favourites: Namjaty arrives as a stakes winner and off an unbelievab­le run in the Quezette. Back home now, she is going to take some holding out. Four Moves Ahead is going to be ridden off speed in an attempt replicate the finish she showed in her trial before her ‘fair’ run the Silver Shadow. She’s All Class is aptlynamed. She could easily win this.

The Roughies: They went up $51 about Enterprise Pomme and she was into $23 in no time. I can’t see her winning this field but I have a feeling she might place; she is pretty handy.

My View: De An Andretti has to go from a debut provincial maiden to Group 2 but I am sure she is good enough. She has a way to go

prove as good as her sister Libertini, but she might be.

The Bet: De An Andretti to win, Enterprise Pomme to place

RACE 7

How the race will be run: Dreamforce and Man Of Peace to sort it out. Pressure from one the other is crucial to the tempo.

The Favourites: Great to see Zaaki back and the punters haven’t missed him. I find him impossible to line up off his trial which was inconclusi­ve but look at his form. He probably didn’t beat the topliners up in Brisbane margins. The racing fan in me wants to see him win by five. Dreamforce gets control (and Nash) from barrier 3. It might be one-out 12 seconds to the furlong, but he can sustain pressure and find.

The Roughies: Can’t believe they went up $34 about Aramayo. He’s back to Australia after a stint in Singapore and he trialled like an absolute machine the other morning. Big watch.

My View: No knock on Zaaki but I think Lion’s Roar might be able to stretch, even beat the ‘champ’ here. is a G1 winner and even though he will be better at a mile and 2000m later on, don’t mistake him for being dour or horse that takes forever to come to hand.

The Bet: Lion’s Roar to win, Aramayo place

RACE 8

How the race will be run: Fun Fact’s only chance of winning is to lead. Others line up behind looking for their spots.

The Favourites: Doncaster winner Cascadian ran a huge race in the Winx. If you go looking for negatives it is his second-up record. He has raced half a dozen times second-up for two seconds. Food for thought but otherwise, very easy to like him here from the same draw he won the Doncaster. Think It Over half loomed up to win the Winx before his condition gave out. Fitter and he will relish getting up to a mile.

The Roughies: There are two ‘trial horses’ here that might not win but can run really well – Nancho, the Hungarian Horse of the Year in 2019 and Attorney who could really make a case for himself here as Metrop and even Cups horse with bold run.

My View: David Payne has won three Chelmsford’s and none of them come close in talent or C.V to Montefilia. She has an incredible amount of residual fitness having contested the Derby and the Oaks at the end autumn the trials have been first class.

The Bet: Montefilia each-way, box trifecta 1,2,3,14

RACE 9

How the race will be run: Big field, good pace.

The Favourites: Gelding King Of Sparta has been the making of the horse. He won 2 of his 3 since the procedure and who knows where he may end. His biggest problem on the weekend though is his wide draw but then again, he has James McDonald on and does get back and launch so his pattern may negate the barrier. Geist is on her way to a win after that excellent first-up run. Fastconi had zero luck last start.

The Roughies: Enough of them as you would expect in the big field. Chief among them is Cuban Royal who has been finishing with real purpose of late. Ditto for Broken Arrows. Reformist could run a cheeky race at $61 first time out for Edward Cummings.

My View: Eight Diamonds is very well served from the gate and we have seen her let down fast before. Should be at peak of her powers for this race.

The Bet: Eight Diamonds to win, box First 4: Nos. 6,8,10,11,16

RACE 10

How the race will be run: Asham to run them along if he can cross them. Suggesting a happy pace for all.

The Favourites: Atishu made the perfect start to his career for Chris Waller courtesy of a rather impressive win here two weeks ago. One would imagine he will improve again but he might have to

a lot because this is a hot field. Cepheus was huge against the bias at Kembla at his first Australian run also. Nice horse with a good race in him.

The Roughies: Zeyrek is 2400m style of horse but this is 1500m first-up and I remember being all over him at his Australian debut 1400m Rosehill and I reckon he would have gone close had not bungled the start. Market watch is essential.

My View: Will Glen Boss be on Sky Lab come the first Tuesday in November? Maybe, who knows. The horse has a long campaign ahead and maybe I am four or five runs too early on him but it is the ‘Get Out Stakes’ so only roughies need apply.

The Bet: Sky Lab has a long campaign ahead and maybe I am four or five runs too early on him but it is the ‘Get Out Stakes’ so only roughies need apply.

 ??  ?? Tony Be.
Pic: Trish Dunell
Tony Be. Pic: Trish Dunell

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Australia