The Sportsman Weekend
Athiri to score first-up
Godolphin mare looks too good
How the race will be run: Some showers predicted today and tomorrow, so keep an eye on track conditions. Should be plenty of speed on here, with Faretti crossing from out wide to sit on pace. Dirty Thoughts will use rails draw to hold her place pace and The Gauch, Hela and Crestani won’t be far away.
My view: Think The Gauch will be greatly improved from his first-up effort over 1100m here three weeks back. He chased a hot speed and it was only last 100m where he wilted slightly to be beaten less than a length. There is enough speed drawn inside and outside him here to allow him to settle in his comfort zone behind the leaders and then unleash in
straight. Unbeaten this trip and unbeaten second up. And he can handle all track conditions. Tough to beat. Dirty Thoughts set the hot speed in that same race behind He’s A Balter and she fought on well the run home. She’s drawn to be in a similar spot and her rider just may try to be a little more patient with her given the extra 100m. Very honest in this grade. Hela is an interesting runner. She has a touch of quality about her but does look to be at her best as races get longer. Still, she will be advantaged by a strong tempo and look for her charging late. Faretti resumed and beat a handy field at Geelong. He’ll make his own luck on speed can will be in the finish again.
Suggested bet: The Gauch to win.
How the race will be run: Ocean Beyond should hold an on-pace role from the rails draw, with Chicago Cub likely to push forward. Prezado and Athiri won’t be far away.
My view: Always had an opinion of Athiri and, judging by a recent barrier trial at Gosford, she is ready for her best season yet. Loved the when she put her rivals to sword final stages, winning as she liked and under a hard hold to the line. Behind her that day was her very smart stablemate Larkspur Run. She wasn’t at her best during the winter but she did win in Listed class first-up off a break Dec. Like her draw here as she can settle just speed and then be allowed to unleash in the straight. Hard
stop. Stablemate Pandemic could be the danger. He’s a Listed winner at this track, normally goes well fresh, has also trialled
in NSW and will be the one hitting the line hard late. He’s A Balter rises in grade but he drops 4.5kg here and he is race-hard fit. Was very good running down his rivals over this trip here three weeks back and is improving all the time. William Thomas likes to race fresh he does normally go well here. He will be finishing hard.
Suggested bet: Athiri to win.
How the race will be run: Not a lot of natural on-pacers here which could mean Scorched Earth can lead and dictate terms. Xtra Gear Ancient Girl will be handy.
My view: Does look like Heresy’s race to lose here. Her formlines are far superior and the set weights scale suits. She rane on strongly to beat all but Gimmie Par in G3 grade here firstup and then charged up along the rails only beaten a neck by Bruckner and Artorius here three weeks back. Back against the fillies here looks an ideal type for the 1400m. Should win. Scorched Earth was very good sitting on speed when third ro Gimmie Par on resuming and then had to do the chasing work and only run down late at the Valley two weeks back. She may be able to lead on her own and settle better and if she can make it a sprint home, take catching. Devout Hero ruined her chances when slowly away at Lakeside last start but she still hit the line nicely and has the benefit of having that run at this trip. Drawn to get a lovely trail here. Bon’s A Pearla welcomed getting to 1400m at Lakeside last start and has claims again.
Suggested bet: Heresy to win.
How the race will be run: Military Expert led at Kembla last start and may find the front here by default. Lightsaber will also be a lot closer and Brigantine and Athelric should be prominent.
My view: Think Brigantine has talent and he was never in danger winning at Randwick last start. Sat just off speed into the straight and liked his acceleration 250m out to out the issue beyond doubt. Even better suited by the extra 100m here and think he can win again. Stablemate Athelric looks the danger. Think has been wanting the 1400m where he can settle a bit better under a more moderate tempo. Looked little unlucky when just failing at the Valley last start and cherry ripe now. Lightsaber is another who will relish this distance and he was good behind Bruckner in stronger grade last start. He is a Sires Produce winner this trip. Military Expert just failed in G3 grade after leading last start and will take running down again.
Suggested bet: Brigantine each way.
How the race will be run: Stack of speed on here with Starry Legend, Ranveer, Direct, See You In Spring and Sliders all vying for the front.
My view: General Beau is the class act here and he may well be helped by so much speed. He can position himself off the speed battle and then chime in in the straight his class should get him home. Don’t forget he has beaten Anamoe and was only a length off Ingratiating when resuming. Like the fact he’s been kept fresh and one to beat. Loved the recent jumpout of Fake Love and she looks to have come back in great order. She will settle just off pace as well here and she can threaten. Forbes is pretty smart and he’s trialled well for his return. The hot pace will suit him he’ll be charging late. Ranveer looked good in a recent jumpout.
Suggested bet: General Beau to win.
How the race will be run: Galgani looks the leader here, with Need New Friends and Aidensfield to be handy.
My view: Got a lot of time for Annavisto and this looks a perfect race for her. Loved her return when she tried hard down the running and just failed to overhaul Turaath here three weeks back. And confirmed the form by winning in strong grade at Flemington last week. She’s much fitter now, drawn to get the gun run and should win. Good And Proper resumed in that same Turaath race wasn’t far away in third spot. Gets the perfect trail from the inside draw and will be in firing line. Lunakorn looks way over the odds for mine. She needed run behind Turaath here and she has a much better second-up record. She will be finishing quickly. Aidensfield failed in midweek grade last start but is better than that and also maps to get a good run.
Suggested bet: Annavisto to win.
How the race will be run: No Effort looks to control the race again in front here. Knights Order and Grand Promenade won’t be far away.
My view: This looks the perfect race for Nonconformist. His two WFA runs since resuming have been first rate and he was beaten less than a length behind Superstorm and Elephant in the Feehan at the Valley last start after racing wide throughout. He’s drawn better this time and should be able to get a soft run in midfield. Won his only start this course and distance and looks hard to hold out here. Angel Of Truth was okay chasing home late behind No Effort here three weeks back and will welcome the step up to 2000m. Likewise imported stayer Delphi, who was good behind No Effort and maps to get a great run here. Tralee Rose is all the better for her firstup run and will also welcome the step up in trip.
Suggested bet: Nonconformist to win.
How the race will be run: Groundswell will look to dictate from in front but likely to have Buffalo River for company. Streets Of Avalon will cross from wide draw to sit on speed. Behemoth and Probabeel won’t be far away, along with Aysar.
My view: Have to stick with Probabeel, who is all class. She was superb beating the mares here on resuming and she is even better second up. She beat Arcadia Queen in the G1 Futurity second-up last campaign at this course and trip. he has since had a top-up jumpout and went like a bomb. She is weighted right up to her best in this handicap but she draws well to do no work in the run and then be allowed to unleash in the straight. Behemoth is right back to his best. He won this race last year with 60kg, so he’s not badly weighted this time around. Great effort to win the Memsie last start and he too has the perfect draw. Two big lightweight chances here in Regardsmaree and Poland. is cherry ripe now while Poland gets the blinkers on. I’m Thunderstruck a big hope if he gets a run.
Suggested bet: Probabeel to win.
How the race will be run: Enchantingly looks the leader, with Bella Nipotina, Night Raid, Miss Albania, Belsielle and Malicorne all handy.
My view: Best value runner all day for mine is Kahma Lass. She will be better as her races get longer but there a lot of speed on here and like the fact she is drawn out as she will be charging home late. She won G1 1000 Guineas in NZ last spring and beat home Bonham, who then went on to win at G1 level. Loved her recent jumpout and she is a big threat. Bella Nipotina going so well and she is adaptable too. Can take a sit off speed here and be very hard to run down late. La Mexicana is also very honest looks at her peak now. Geist beat a smart colt last start in Sydney and is a big improver.
Suggested bet: Kahma Lass each way.