The Sportsman Weekend
Eleegant mare will win
Back-to-back Turnbulls for Waller’s star
How the race will be run: With rain yesterday and continued showers today tomorrow, track should be on the soft side at least. Rated Good 4 at time of publication but working on it changing. Anyone’s guess who will lead this Black Tahitian, Cannonball and Rampant Lion showed speed in their recent trials/jumpouts.
My view: I’m happy to be with Rampant Lion, especially if the track deteriorates. Held
rails on pace and was under a good hold throughout to win his 800m trial at Cranbourne recently. Importantly that was on a heavy 9 surface and he seemed to relish the conditions. Well bred type by super horse Frankel and his dam is a half sister to the mum of Kementari. Also liked recent jumpout down
straight here by Robusto. He sat off them until last 200m and had covered pretty easily to win with a lot in hand. He’s out of the Group 3 winning mare She’s Clean. Black Tahitian did everything right in his jumpout win and comes from the same family as Caulfield Guineas winner Super Seth. Expecting a bold effort from Lascars, who jumped out okay. He’s by Golden Slipper winner Sepoy and his dam is the granddam of the stars Astern and Alizee.
Suggested bet: Box 1,5,6,7 in all exotics.
How the race will be run: Character sat on speed last start to win and could do so again by default. Expecting Tutukaka to be more prominent and Grinzinger King and Cerberus will be handy.
My view: I think Tutukaka is smart and gets out to his right distance range now. He showed his talent in Queensland during the winter, relishing 1800m to win by a big space in Listed grade at Eagle Farm. Didn’t mind his first-up run over an unsuitable 1400m here and he will derive a lot of benefit from the run. He can sit closer to speed from this draw and he’s well weighted under this scale. Gunstock raced wide without cover most of the way and still produced fastest last 200m of the meeting to win his maiden at Cranbourne. This is harder but he looks a stayer of the future. Hitotsu outclassed his maiden rivals at Donald last start and produced second fastest last 200m of the day in doing so. He should be in finish. Character had blinkers on first time and he won with authority at Cranbourne. He looks over the odds to me.
My view: Tutukaka to win.
How the race will be run: Adele Amour could lead these by default. Mokulua may have to cross from wide draw and Nana Gem won’t be far away.
My view:Think Daisies is excellent value here. She looks as though she will relish this big track and the rise to 1600m. She ran on well late behind Bon’s A Pearla at Caulfield two weeks back and did race a little greenly in the straight. The addition of blinkers will be big factor here and help keep her mind on the job. She can test these. Yearning comes down from Sydney after overcoming difficulties in the run to win well last start. Wasn’t beaten far in a G2 race at Randwick before that, producing some nice closing sectionals. Drawn to get the run of the race. Elusive Express charged home late behind Bon’s A Pearla and is another who will welcome the extra yardage. Also drawn perfectly. Stalking is coming back from a break and had a soft jumpout to top her off. She’s chance.
Suggested bet: Daisies each way.
How the race will be run: Kemalpasa looks the leader along with Vulpine.
My view: Zoutori resumed here three weeks ago and loved the way he hit the line late behind Splintex and Away Game to be beaten less than a length. He meets those two way better at the weights this time, he has a great second-up record and we all know he loves the straight course here as winner of the Newmarket. He was well supported at his return too. The one to beat for mine. Won this race last year. Away Game is so honest and only just failed behind Splintex. She will take running down again. Kemalpasa carried 62kg and gave away 8kg when not beaten far on his return in Adelaide last start. Placed this race year and likes the straight course. Not discarding Kementari first-up either. Liked his recent jumpout down the straight and he has performed well here in the past.
Suggested bet: Zoutori to win.
How the race will be run: Lloyd’s Crown looks the leader here but Mornington Glory can be handy.
My view: They may well have found the key to riding General Beau. He sat back in the field and then unleashed a powerful finish to win with ease at Caulfield two weeks ago. He’s drawn widest here which means he’ll avoid traffic and be able to cover all his rivals late. Reckon he’s still underrated a bit but a class act and hard to beat here. Ingratiating has the blinkers back on and that will help him enormously. Just run down by Ranch Hand here last start but he has a weight swing this time. He’s drawn next to General Beau and they will come home hard together. I have some time for Mornington Glory, who was just a class above his rivals at Bendigo on debut. No doubt this is much harder and he may come around a little soon for him but he’s a talent and has to be included. Bruckner did the job at Caulfield last start kept fresh for this.
Suggested bet: General Beau to win.
How the race will be run: Ecumenical and Annavisto look to cross over lead here, with Best Stone handy.
My view: Mystic Journey showed she may be back to her best form with a terrific effort here three weeks back. She was 3 and 4 wide most of the trip and still kept coming to line behind Turaath this course distance. Fitter for that run, draws a lot better here and she’ll take beating. The value runner is Paradee. She is a G2 winner at Caulfield and was only a length off Homesman in an Australian Cup. She normally goes well fresh and loved her recent jumpout. Looks like good speed on here she will be running home hard. Annavisto is good and she was superb winning at Caulfield last start when on speed. Slight concern if she has to do too much work to cross from the widish draw but is a talent and hard to beat. Instant Celebrity did a great job running home late behind Turaath here and she had respiratory issues that day. Big chance here.
Suggested bet: Mystic Journey to win.
How the race will be run: There doesn’t appear to any other scenario apart from Incentivise leading and controlling the tempo. Persan should use inside alley to be handy Sir Dragonet may cross from out wide. Mount Popa and Verry Elleegant not far off them.
My view: is a champion and she’ll show those traits here. She was just great returning to win the George Main at Randwick two runs back and that will have her cherry ripe for this extra distance. She is even better second up from a spell, loves the sting out of the ground and has a wonderful record this distance. She won this race last year, so this track holds no fear for her. Expect to be keep Incentivise well within her sights here to the turn and then prove too strong at the end. This is the big test for Incentivise – taking on a horse like Verry Elleegant. He was brilliant winning the Makybe Diva here first-up and even better at 2000m. He should be able to dictate terms in front and he too likes it wet. The conditions should suit Colette and she can run on well here, while Sir Dragonet is a hope too.
Suggested bet: Verry Elleegant to win.
How the race will be run: Knights Order should roll along in front, with Pondus, Grand Promenade and Tralee Rose all handy.
My view: Toughest race all day. Grand Promenade loves this track and trip and he draws much better this time after racing wide without cover battling on well behind Nonconformist at Caulfield. Conditions suit him and he’ll go close. Value runner could be the import Port Guillaume. Showed great improvement when he finished off as all as anything in the Nonconformist race. He’s a G2 winner this trip in France and will go close. Tralee Rose will have to get some favours from the outside draw but with even luck she will be very hard to stop. Looking for a big improvement from Dawn Patrol, who did have market support last start. Big watch on Pondus and Sheraz.
Suggested bet: Grand Promenade each way.
How the race will be run: Morvada and Sirius Suspect look the leaders. Aysar and Crosshaven will sit just behind them.
My view: Think is ready to show his best and the addition of winkers could just do the trick, plus a drop in class. He likes this track and trip, draws to get run of the race and, if he can find his best, he’ll win this. Aysar was great in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke at Caulfield two weeks ago and this is infinitely easier. Has a big weight but again drawn nicely the one they have to beat. Tavidance is resuming but has jumped out well and he will welcome a wettish track. Mr Tipla goes well here will be running on.
Suggested bet: Crosshaven each way.