BATHURST RACE PREVIEW PLUS RAY THOMAS’S BEST BETS
Reason To Smile is the one to beat. She has been placed in all three starts including most recently when third to Black Magnum on Acton track at Canberra. Hot As Hell showed good acceleration and race sense to win a recent Hawkesbury barrier trial. He should be hard to beat on debut but must concede Reason To Smile 5kg. Megalodon, prepared by Golden Slipper-winning trainer Gary Portelli, showed ability winning his only barrier trial at Kembla Grange. On Settling Down has race experience.
Betting strategy: Reason To Smile to win but watch market moves for Megalodon
Art ‘N’ Ollie disappointed when she faded out of the contest behind Ricci Royal last start. The drop in grade suits and she is back on her home track. Drummed Out beat Art ‘N’ Ollie to the line when third at Mudgee but he meets the mare worse at the weights. Cash Strapped just got up in a blanket finish at Nowra but is racing consistently. Destiny’s Revenge doesn’t win often but is never far away.
Betting strategy: Art ‘N’ Ollie to win
Buffy was sent out favourite at Kembla and, after leading into the straight, tired to run seventh behind Catmosphere. She had never missed a place in five previous starts and deserves another chance. Fame Shines ran second at the provincials three starts back and is well placed today although awkwardly drawn. Fame And Fortune was disappointing last start but her debut Dubbo win was impressive. Westlink runs on well and Denim Street doesn’t win often but she is well weighted.
Betting strategy: Box trifecta 1,2,4,6
Achieved, a daughter of Winx’s sire Street Cry, did enough on debut to suggest she will be hard to beat. She got back in the field and wasn’t suited around the Wyong 1000m course but stuck to her task. This is not a strong field. Strykingly So has had 14 starts without a win but his recent form is encouraging. Prince Zariz ran a better race at Mudgee and expect improvement from Norma Jeane.
Betting strategy: Achieved to win, quinella 2,13
Frogmarch is racing in great form and will give these something to catch. I expect he will settle either outside likely leader Oskastar or tuck in behind that horse but either way he will be in the box seat. Salesman is the best horse in the race but he hasn’t had a trial and usually needs a run to strike form. Our Revenue is racing well but has an awkward barrier. Ricci Royal is a nine-year-old but his Mudgee win was very good. Oskastar can’t be ruled out.
Betting strategy: Frogmarch to win, box trifecta 1,2,3,5,6
African Rainbow should prove very hard to beat. She was impressive winning first-up at Newcastle then wasn’t disgraced when seventh in the Inglis Guineas behind Moss Trip. Made her run wide out with Home Ground inside her when a close second to that horse at Wyong last start. African Rainbow gives the impression 2000m won’t be an issue. Yorkshire Rock is the only danger. He had his chance at Queanbeyan when third to Lovespeed Girl in a class 1. He is racing consistently although 2000m will test him. She Excites and Olive Beauty for the multiples.
Betting strategy: African Rainbow to win
In a tough race, Stone Cold should go close. He is resuming after a very good preparation that began in November, ended in March, and included 1000m wins at Wagga and Nowra and another four minor placings in a 11-start campaign. He did win first-up last campaign without a trial and should be hard to beat today. Wrong Bias is resuming after more than 18 months off but she did win her maiden at Eagle Farm first-up last time in, she has drawn the rails and Greg Ryan rides. Mr De Niro and Northern Conqueror are also chances.
Betting strategy: Stone Cold each way with a saver on Wrong Bias