BATHURST RACE PRE­VIEW PLUS RAY THOMAS’S BEST BETS

BATHURST

The Sunday Telegraph (Sydney) - - SPORT - with Ray Thomas

RACE 1

Rea­son To Smile is the one to beat. She has been placed in all three starts in­clud­ing most re­cently when third to Black Magnum on Ac­ton track at Can­berra. Hot As Hell showed good ac­cel­er­a­tion and race sense to win a re­cent Hawkes­bury bar­rier trial. He should be hard to beat on de­but but must con­cede Rea­son To Smile 5kg. Me­ga­lodon, pre­pared by Golden Slip­per-win­ning trainer Gary Portelli, showed abil­ity win­ning his only bar­rier trial at Kem­bla Grange. On Set­tling Down has race ex­pe­ri­ence.

Betting strat­egy: Rea­son To Smile to win but watch mar­ket moves for Me­ga­lodon

RACE 2

Art ‘N’ Ol­lie dis­ap­pointed when she faded out of the con­test be­hind Ricci Royal last start. The drop in grade suits and she is back on her home track. Drummed Out beat Art ‘N’ Ol­lie to the line when third at Mudgee but he meets the mare worse at the weights. Cash Strapped just got up in a blan­ket fin­ish at Nowra but is rac­ing con­sis­tently. Des­tiny’s Re­venge doesn’t win of­ten but is never far away.

Betting strat­egy: Art ‘N’ Ol­lie to win

RACE 3

Buffy was sent out favourite at Kem­bla and, af­ter lead­ing into the straight, tired to run sev­enth be­hind Cat­mo­sphere. She had never missed a place in five pre­vi­ous starts and de­serves an­other chance. Fame Shines ran sec­ond at the provin­cials three starts back and is well placed to­day al­though awk­wardly drawn. Fame And For­tune was dis­ap­point­ing last start but her de­but Dubbo win was im­pres­sive. Westlink runs on well and Denim Street doesn’t win of­ten but she is well weighted.

Betting strat­egy: Box tri­fecta 1,2,4,6

RACE 4

Achieved, a daugh­ter of Winx’s sire Street Cry, did enough on de­but to sug­gest she will be hard to beat. She got back in the field and wasn’t suited around the Wy­ong 1000m course but stuck to her task. This is not a strong field. Stryk­ingly So has had 14 starts with­out a win but his re­cent form is en­cour­ag­ing. Prince Zariz ran a bet­ter race at Mudgee and ex­pect im­prove­ment from Norma Jeane.

Betting strat­egy: Achieved to win, quinella 2,13

RACE 5

Frog­march is rac­ing in great form and will give th­ese some­thing to catch. I ex­pect he will set­tle ei­ther out­side likely leader Oskas­tar or tuck in be­hind that horse but ei­ther way he will be in the box seat. Sales­man is the best horse in the race but he hasn’t had a trial and usu­ally needs a run to strike form. Our Rev­enue is rac­ing well but has an awk­ward bar­rier. Ricci Royal is a nine-year-old but his Mudgee win was very good. Oskas­tar can’t be ruled out.

Betting strat­egy: Frog­march to win, box tri­fecta 1,2,3,5,6

RACE 6

African Rain­bow should prove very hard to beat. She was im­pres­sive win­ning first-up at New­cas­tle then wasn’t dis­graced when sev­enth in the Inglis Guineas be­hind Moss Trip. Made her run wide out with Home Ground in­side her when a close sec­ond to that horse at Wy­ong last start. African Rain­bow gives the im­pres­sion 2000m won’t be an is­sue. York­shire Rock is the only dan­ger. He had his chance at Quean­beyan when third to Lovespeed Girl in a class 1. He is rac­ing con­sis­tently al­though 2000m will test him. She Ex­cites and Olive Beauty for the mul­ti­ples.

Betting strat­egy: African Rain­bow to win

RACE 7

In a tough race, Stone Cold should go close. He is re­sum­ing af­ter a very good prepa­ra­tion that be­gan in Novem­ber, ended in March, and in­cluded 1000m wins at Wagga and Nowra and an­other four mi­nor plac­ings in a 11-start cam­paign. He did win first-up last cam­paign with­out a trial and should be hard to beat to­day. Wrong Bias is re­sum­ing af­ter more than 18 months off but she did win her maiden at Ea­gle Farm first-up last time in, she has drawn the rails and Greg Ryan rides. Mr De Niro and North­ern Con­queror are also chances.

Betting strat­egy: Stone Cold each way with a saver on Wrong Bias

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