New blood test may pre­dict end of life

The Western Star - - Healthy Living -

A NEW blood test could pre­dict if you will die in the next decade with more than 80 per cent ac­cu­racy, ex­perts have said.

The ground­break­ing test can es­ti­mate a per­son’s risk of early death, re­searchers in Ger­many found. And they say it could be used to warn peo­ple they do not have long to live – en­cour­ag­ing them to have a health­ier life­style.

The break­through was made af­ter tak­ing blood sam­ples from 44,168 peo­ple.

Sci­en­tists then an­a­lysed 14 fac­tors that ap­pear to af­fect the risk of death, in­clud­ing immunity, glu­cose con­trol, in­flam­ma­tion and cir­cu­lat­ing fat.

Us­ing the in­for­ma­tion col­lected dur­ing the trial, they were able to pre­dict whether some­one was go­ing to die in the next two to 16 years with 83 per cent ac­cu­racy.

Dur­ing the trial, re­searchers from the Max Planck In­sti­tute for Bi­ol­ogy of Age­ing an­a­lysed the blood of thou­sands of adults, with ages rang­ing from 18 to 109 years old.

At first they were tested on con­ven­tional fac­tors of death, such as their BMI, blood pres­sure, smok­ing etc, and then aca­demics used the biomark­ers from the new blood test.

Dr Joris Dee­len said: “It’s a marker of your cur­rent health and phys­i­cal vul­ner­a­bil­ity.

“If the blood test in­di­cates your phys­i­cal vul­ner­a­bil­ity, if it tells you how long you’ll live – and your fam­ily see that and you change your life­style – you could live twice as long.”

Ex­perts have called the study an “ex­cit­ing step” but have em­pha­sised that much more re­search is needed be­fore one of these tests can be used in real life.

PHOTO: IS­TOCK

NEW: A blood test may warn how long you have to live.

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